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Monument Mining Ltd reports 115% Net Income decline and 16.0 pp EBITDA Margin decline from 42.7% to 26.6%

28.09.2016 • About Monument Mining Ltd ($MMY) • By InTwits

Monument Mining Ltd reported FY2016 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Monument Mining Ltd is a company in decline: FY2016 revenue growth was -47.4%, 5 years revenue CAGR was -14.7%
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: 26.6% in FY2016, 42.7% in FY2015, 33.1% in FY2014, 64.5% in FY2013, 72.1% in FY2012
  • Monument Mining Ltd has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 64.5%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 24.1%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 10.2 in FY2016, 17.6 in FY2015, 30.4 in FY2014, 52.4 in FY2013, 73.9 in FY2012
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is at 1.0%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Monument Mining Ltd ($MMY) key annual financial indicators

mln. $201220132014201520162016/2015
P&L
Revenue61.70991.27648.58344.83823.595-47.4%
Gross Profit46.49857.49816.28115.8935.530-65.2%
EBITDA44.46858.90916.10219.1396.287-67.2%
Net Income59.56132.838-2.63111.383-1.680-114.8%
Balance Sheet
Cash19.40041.93324.73429.35320.913-28.8%
Short Term Debt0.0160.0150.2590.2380.138-42.0%
Long Term Debt5.9300.0000.4520.1470.000-100.0%
Cash flow
Capex73.86352.44530.39917.60510.216-42.0%
Ratios
Revenue growth17.8%47.9%-46.8%-7.7%-47.4%
EBITDA growth17.0%32.5%-72.7%18.9%-67.2%
Gross Margin75.4%63.0%33.5%35.4%23.4%-12.0%
EBITDA Margin72.1%64.5%33.1%42.7%26.6%-16.0%
Net Income Margin96.5%36.0%-5.4%25.4%-7.1%-32.5%
CAPEX, % of revenue119.7%57.5%62.6%39.3%43.3%4.0%
ROIC30.7%24.3%3.0%4.9%1.0%-3.9%
ROE52.4%17.9%-1.2%4.9%-0.7%-5.6%
Net Debt/EBITDA-0.3x-0.7x-1.5x-1.5x-3.3x-1.8x


Monument Mining Ltd ($MMY) key quoterly financial indicators

mln. $FY16Q1FY16Q2FY16Q3FY16Q4YoY change
P&L
Revenue86451.8%-58.9%-64.2%-50.5%
EBITDA3220-0.2%-73.3%-71.6%-93.5%
Net Income0-530-92.4%-249.9%-31.0%-90.9%
Balance Sheet
Cash2624222123.8%-5.8%-19.7%-28.8%
Short Term Debt0000-19.4%-12.1%-15.5%-42.0%
Long Term Debt0000-80.6%-93.4%-100.0%-100.0%
Ratios
Gross Margin28.0%27.0%25.4%10.3%2.3%-5.8%-12.9%-33.0%
EBITDA Margin 34.3% 26.6% 35.9% 6.3%-0.7%-14.2%-9.3%-41.8%
Net Income Margin 1.4% -80.7% 56.1% 5.6%-17.3%-102.8%27.0%-25.0%

Revenue and profitability


Monument Mining Ltd's Revenue dropped on 47.4%. Revenue decline showed acceleration in FY16Q4 - it was 50.5% YoY. Revenue decline was accompanies by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin dropped on 16.0 pp from 42.7% to 26.6% in FY2016.

Gross Margin dropped on 12.0 pp from 35.4% to 23.4% in FY2016.

Net Income marign dropped on 32.5 pp from 25.4% to -7.1% in FY2016.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


Monument Mining Ltd's CAPEX/Revenue was 43.3% in FY2016. The company's CAPEX/Revenue dropped on 14.2 pp from 57.5% in FY2013 to 43.3% in FY2016. It's average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 48.4%.Battling declining revenue Monument Mining Ltd made large investments to CAPEX (162% of EBITDA) but that didn't help at least in this year.

Return on investment


The company operates at low but positive ROIC (1.00%) and negative ROE (-0.70%). ROIC decreased on 3.9 pp from 4.9% to 1.0% in FY2016. ROE decreased on 5.6 pp from 4.9% to -0.70% in FY2016.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is -3.3x Net Debt / EBITDA and 0.0x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 1.8x from -1.5x to -3.3x in FY2016. Debt dropped on 64.2% while cash dropped on 28.8%.

Appendix 1: Peers in Basic Materials


Below you can find Monument Mining Ltd benchmarking vs. other companies in Basic Materials industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd ($ASM)613.6%19.9%-1.1%109.1%
Trevali Mining Corp ($TV)12.9%86.4%
Geodrill Ltd ($GEO)-43.3%-4.3%34.6%53.1%
Tahoe Resources Inc ($THO)48.4%50.9%
Osisko Gold Royalties Ltd ($OR)164.4%38.0%
 
Median (83 companies)100.8%-2.9%1.9%-1.8%6.2%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Nevsun Resources Ltd ($NSU)89.9%94.8%95.5%82.3%79.7%
Labrador Iron Ore Royalty Corp ($LIF)80.2%80.2%80.2%80.3%80.3%
Lucara Diamond Corp ($LUC)42.5%57.4%66.7%60.9%65.6%
Trevali Mining Corp ($TV)49.0%59.3%
Perseus Mining Ltd ($PRU)52.5%50.9%32.0%53.7%26.3%
 
Median (95 companies)32.1%22.4%18.6%16.5%24.8%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Labrador Iron Ore Royalty Corp ($LIF)72.8%73.5%
Silver Wheaton Corp ($SLW)82.6%75.3%69.6%65.8%59.7%
Franco-Nevada Corp ($FNV)62.1%44.6%72.3%60.8%70.3%
Lucara Diamond Corp ($LUC)7.6%57.3%57.5%60.0%62.4%
Sandstorm Gold Ltd ($SSL)74.3%49.9%62.1%56.5%64.6%
 
Median (101 companies)18.6%11.3%10.6%7.0%23.5%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Largo Resources Ltd ($LGO)567.6%
Sandstorm Gold Ltd ($SSL)152.1%118.8%49.4%412.7%17.3%
Silver Wheaton Corp ($SLW)75.5%286.8%22.5%279.2%90.3%
Franco-Nevada Corp ($FNV)3.7%35.5%201.6%230.0%122.4%
Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd ($ASM)211.7%5.6%89.8%163.3%
 
Median (101 companies)27.8%26.9%17.5%16.7%17.9%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Lucara Diamond Corp ($LUC)-2.9%41.3%54.7%39.6%58.5%
Western Forest Products Inc ($WEF)9.0%25.1%15.7%16.4%25.1%
Geodrill Ltd ($GEO)8.6%-3.5%-9.3%3.6%20.3%
Supremex Inc ($SXP)14.1%18.5%16.5%23.4%19.3%
Canfor Pulp Products Inc ($CFX)4.9%13.2%21.3%24.1%17.0%
 
Median (100 companies)4.9%0.7%1.6%-3.6%4.4%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Canam Group Inc ($CAM)4.2x2.6x3.2x1.8x13.9x
Taseko Mines Ltd ($TKO)7.4x5.9x10.2x5.9x11.0x
Methanex Corp ($MX)5.2x0.7x0.9x3.0x5.2x
Copper Mountain Mining Corp ($CUM)3.9x5.0x5.4x30.6x5.1x
Cameco Corp ($CCO)2.0x2.1x2.5x1.9x5.1x
 
Median (58 companies)0.3x0.8x1.1x1.6x0.6x