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Anaconda Mining Inc reports 724% EBITDA growth and 9.6% Revenue growth

26.08.2016 • About Anaconda Mining Inc ($ANX) • By InTwits

Anaconda Mining Inc reported FY2016 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Anaconda Mining Inc doesn't have a profitable business model yet: FY2016 ROIC is 1.7%
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: 17.0% in FY2016, 2.3% in FY2015, 17.4% in FY2014, 31.4% in FY2013, 30.0% in FY2012
  • Anaconda Mining Inc has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 15.7%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 24.1%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 5.2 in FY2016, 2.9 in FY2015, 6.7 in FY2014, 9.8 in FY2013, 18.8 in FY2012
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is at 1.7%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Anaconda Mining Inc ($ANX) key annual financial indicators

mln. CAD201220132014201520162016/2015
P&L
Revenue19.31324.17320.17522.23424.3619.6%
Gross Profit8.4577.1672.3370.5393.202494.4%
SG&A2.0322.63129.4%
EBITDA5.7847.5843.5110.5044.153724.1%
Net Income3.2987.6224.292-2.7750.195
Balance Sheet
Cash0.6790.4672.7541.4351.63614.0%
Short Term Debt0.3600.1730.0970.0180.115527.7%
Long Term Debt3.3420.0890.0320.0420.409865.6%
Cash flow
Capex2.8393.4773.1043.4914.42626.8%
Ratios
Revenue growth171.4%25.2%-16.5%10.2%9.6%
EBITDA growth-201.3%31.1%-53.7%-85.6%724.1%
Gross Margin43.8%29.7%11.6%2.4%13.1%10.7%
EBITDA Margin30.0%31.4%17.4%2.3%17.0%14.8%
Net Income Margin17.1%31.5%21.3%-12.5%0.8%13.3%
SG&A, % of revenue9.1%10.8%1.7%
CAPEX, % of revenue14.7%14.4%15.4%15.7%18.2%2.5%
ROIC24.3%24.1%0.9%-17.4%1.7%19.1%
ROE31.4%43.5%18.0%-11.2%0.8%12.1%
Net Debt/EBITDA0.5x-0.0x-0.7x-2.7x-0.3x2.5x


Anaconda Mining Inc ($ANX) key quoterly financial indicators

mln. CADFY16Q1FY16Q2FY16Q3FY16Q4YoY change
P&L
Revenue67575.0%41.7%-20.4%20.0%
EBITDA120177.4%-85.0%64.1%
Net Income-01-10-65.2%
Balance Sheet
Cash1112-73.6%-29.0%-46.3%14.0%
Short Term Debt0000-31.7%72.6%348.2%527.7%
Long Term Debt000011.6%243.2%746.5%865.6%
Ratios
Gross Margin7.1%19.6%6.5%16.7%7.4%26.7%-4.1%12.6%
EBITDA Margin 15.2% 29.1% 4.6% 15.7%6.2%74.6%-20.0%4.2%
Net Income Margin -3.2% 11.3% -12.5% 3.5%-0.0%77.3%-10.7%-8.6%

Revenue and profitability


Anaconda Mining Inc's Revenue increased on 9.6%. Revenue growth showed acceleration in FY16Q4 - it increased 20.0% YoY. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin increased on 2.6 pp from 23.8% to 26.4% in FY2016.

Gross Margin surged on 10.7 pp from 2.4% to 13.1% in FY2016. SG&A as a % of Revenue increased slightly on 1.7 pp from 9.1% to 10.8% in FY2016.

Net Income marign surged on 13.3 pp from -12.5% to 0.80% in FY2016.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In FY2016 Anaconda Mining Inc had CAPEX/Revenue of 18.2%. The company showed CAPEX/Revenue growth of 3.8 pp from 14.4% in FY2013 to 18.2% in FY2016. Average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 16.4%.The company maintained rich investment policy and has spent a lot to CAPEX (107% of EBITDA).

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (1.74%) and ROE (0.83%). ROIC jumped on 19.1 pp from -17.4% to 1.7% in FY2016. ROE jumped on 12.1 pp from -11.2% to 0.83% in FY2016.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is -0.3x Net Debt / EBITDA and 0.1x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA surged on 2.5x from -2.7x to -0.3x in FY2016. Debt surged on 764% while cash surged on 14.0%.

Appendix 1: Peers in Basic Materials


Below we provide Anaconda Mining Inc benchmarking against other companies in Basic Materials industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd ($ASM)613.6%19.9%-1.1%109.1%
Trevali Mining Corp ($TV)12.9%86.4%
Geodrill Ltd ($GEO)-43.3%-4.3%34.6%53.1%
Tahoe Resources Inc ($THO)48.4%50.9%
Osisko Gold Royalties Ltd ($OR)164.4%38.0%
 
Median (83 companies)100.8%-2.9%1.9%-1.8%6.2%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Nevsun Resources Ltd ($NSU)89.9%94.8%95.5%82.3%79.7%
Labrador Iron Ore Royalty Corp ($LIF)80.2%80.2%80.2%80.3%80.3%
Lucara Diamond Corp ($LUC)42.5%57.4%66.7%60.9%65.6%
Trevali Mining Corp ($TV)49.0%59.3%
Perseus Mining Ltd ($PRU)52.5%50.9%32.0%53.7%26.3%
 
Median (95 companies)32.1%22.4%18.6%16.5%24.8%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Labrador Iron Ore Royalty Corp ($LIF)72.8%73.5%
Silver Wheaton Corp ($SLW)82.6%75.3%69.6%65.8%59.7%
Franco-Nevada Corp ($FNV)62.1%44.6%72.3%60.8%70.3%
Lucara Diamond Corp ($LUC)7.6%57.3%57.5%60.0%62.4%
Sandstorm Gold Ltd ($SSL)74.3%49.9%62.1%56.5%64.6%
 
Median (101 companies)18.6%11.3%10.6%7.0%23.5%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Largo Resources Ltd ($LGO)567.6%
Sandstorm Gold Ltd ($SSL)152.1%118.8%49.4%412.7%17.3%
Silver Wheaton Corp ($SLW)75.5%286.8%22.5%279.2%90.3%
Franco-Nevada Corp ($FNV)3.7%35.5%201.6%230.0%122.4%
Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd ($ASM)211.7%5.6%89.8%163.3%
 
Median (101 companies)27.8%26.9%17.5%16.7%17.9%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Lucara Diamond Corp ($LUC)-2.9%41.3%54.7%39.6%58.5%
Western Forest Products Inc ($WEF)9.0%25.1%15.7%16.4%25.1%
Geodrill Ltd ($GEO)8.6%-3.5%-9.3%3.6%20.3%
Supremex Inc ($SXP)14.1%18.5%16.5%23.4%19.3%
Canfor Pulp Products Inc ($CFX)4.9%13.2%21.3%24.1%17.0%
 
Median (100 companies)4.9%0.7%1.6%-3.6%4.4%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Canam Group Inc ($CAM)4.2x2.6x3.2x1.8x13.9x
Taseko Mines Ltd ($TKO)7.4x5.9x10.2x5.9x11.0x
Methanex Corp ($MX)5.2x0.7x0.9x3.0x5.2x
Copper Mountain Mining Corp ($CUM)3.9x5.0x5.4x30.6x5.1x
Cameco Corp ($CCO)2.0x2.1x2.5x1.9x5.1x
 
Median (58 companies)0.3x0.8x1.1x1.6x0.6x