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Minera Irl Ltd EBITDA dropped on 253% in 2015 and EBITDA Margin dropped on 22.0 pp from 8.3% to -13.7%

03.06.2016 • About Minera Irl Ltd ($IRL) • By InTwits

Minera Irl Ltd reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Minera Irl Ltd is a company in decline: 2015 revenue growth was -7.6%, 5 years revenue CAGR was -7.7%
  • EBITDA Margin is declining: -13.7% in 2015 vs. 8.3% in 2014 vs. 45.8% in 2011
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: -13.7% in 2015, 8.3% in 2014, 14.4% in 2013, 29.1% in 2012, 45.8% in 2011
  • Minera Irl Ltd has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 11.1%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 28.2%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 6.9 in 2015, 2.2 in 2014, 3.9 in 2013, 2.1 in 2012, 4.0 in 2011
  • The company has unprofitable business model: ROIC is at -4.3%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Minera Irl Ltd ($IRL) key annual financial indicators

mln. $201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue53.00245.98835.70629.86627.584-7.6%
Gross Profit25.04718.8567.4026.7656.527-3.5%
SG&A7.8346.6258.86233.8%
EBITDA24.29213.3865.1282.467-3.780-253.2%
Net Income9.7593.333-33.834-43.363-15.085-65.2%
Balance Sheet
Cash11.1346.2463.3893.80915.580309.0%
Short Term Debt10.0000.00025.00028.4352.190-92.3%
Long Term Debt0.00020.0000.0000.00063.542
Cash flow
Capex3.9842.0623.9022.2486.854204.9%
Ratios
Revenue growth29.0%-13.2%-22.4%-16.4%-7.6%
EBITDA growth48.9%-44.9%-61.7%-51.9%-253.2%
Gross Margin47.3%41.0%20.7%22.7%23.7%1.0%
EBITDA Margin45.8%29.1%14.4%8.3%-13.7%-22.0%
Net Income Margin18.4%7.2%-94.8%-145.2%-54.7%90.5%
SG&A, % of revenue21.9%22.2%32.1%9.9%
CAPEX, % of revenue7.5%4.5%10.9%7.5%24.8%17.3%
ROIC13.6%6.0%-0.4%-0.0%-4.3%-4.3%
ROE9.1%2.6%-24.1%-37.7%-16.6%21.1%
Net Debt/EBITDA-0.0x1.0x4.2x10.0x-10.0x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue decreased on 7.6% in 2015. Revenue decline was accompanies by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin dropped on 22.0 pp from 8.3% to -13.7% in 2015.

Gross Margin increased slightly on 1.0 pp from 22.7% to 23.7% in 2015. SG&A as a % of Revenue increased on 9.9 pp from 22.2% to 32.1% in 2015.

Net Income marign surged on 90.5 pp from -145% to -54.7% in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


Minera Irl Ltd's CAPEX/Revenue was 24.8% in 2015. Minera Irl Ltd's CAPEX/Revenue surged on 20.4 pp from 4.5% in 2012 to 24.8% in 2015. It's average level of CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 14.4%.

Return on investment


The company operates at negative ROIC (-4.32%) and ROE (-16.58%). ROIC decreased on 4.3 pp from -0.028% to -4.3% in 2015. ROE jumped on 21.1 pp from -37.7% to -16.6% in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is -11.3x and Debt / EBITDA is . Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 10.0x from 10.0x to in 2015. Debt jumped on 131% in 2015 while cash jumped on 309% in 2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Mining


Below you can find Minera Irl Ltd benchmarking vs. other companies in Mining industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Serabi Gold ($SBI)177.8%
Anglo Pacific Group ($APY)-56.3%-2.8%-76.4%149.4%
Kirkland Lake Gold Inc ($KGI)54.7%-5.1%14.2%26.9%
China Gold International Resources Corp Ltd ($CGG)-9.0%-8.2%22.4%
Centamin ($CEE)25.2%18.2%-6.2%7.6%
 
Median (8 companies)22.1%-2.8%-8.2%15.0%
Minera Irl Ltd ($IRL)-13.2%-22.4%-16.4%-7.6%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Serabi Gold ($SBI)-14,912.1%2.3%32.8%
Rambler Metals & Mining ($RAB)50.2%44.7%39.6%52.2%30.6%
Caledonia Mining Corp ($CAL)57.6%54.4%45.9%34.7%26.9%
Kirkland Lake Gold Inc ($KGI)29.7%38.5%18.3%6.1%22.8%
China Gold International Resources Corp Ltd ($CGG)37.6%33.7%35.6%18.5%
 
Median (7 companies)42.1%41.6%36.6%24.2%22.8%
Minera Irl Ltd ($IRL)47.3%41.0%20.7%22.7%23.7%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Anglo Pacific Group ($APY)90.3%76.2%77.9%-58.0%53.7%
China Gold International Resources Corp Ltd ($CGG)41.7%38.3%47.3%33.7%
Kirkland Lake Gold Inc ($KGI)25.6%34.9%16.4%13.6%32.5%
Centamin ($CEE)61.9%61.4%44.9%35.6%30.4%
Rambler Metals & Mining ($RAB)-26.1%-194.4%29.6%45.1%20.5%
 
Median (8 companies)29.0%34.9%38.3%27.5%25.4%
Minera Irl Ltd ($IRL)45.8%29.1%14.4%8.3%-13.7%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
China Gold International Resources Corp Ltd ($CGG)64.7%156.1%95.6%81.4%
Caledonia Mining Corp ($CAL)15.3%10.5%18.0%11.5%33.8%
Kirkland Lake Gold Inc ($KGI)54.9%44.6%72.9%47.7%21.6%
Rambler Metals & Mining ($RAB)640.5%820.8%24.2%13.9%20.7%
Orosur Mining Inc ($OMI)34.7%53.8%29.6%14.1%19.7%
 
Median (8 companies)41.0%53.8%29.6%16.4%20.2%
Minera Irl Ltd ($IRL)7.5%4.5%10.9%7.5%24.8%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Kirkland Lake Gold Inc ($KGI)11.3%19.7%1.5%-0.7%9.2%
Caledonia Mining Corp ($CAL)61.7%37.6%34.9%18.1%8.4%
Centamin ($CEE)30.2%24.6%15.7%6.6%4.5%
China Gold International Resources Corp Ltd ($CGG)5.9%4.0%3.0%1.5%
Serabi Gold ($SBI)-13.8%-9.1%-8.9%-5.8%1.2%
 
Median (8 companies)11.3%4.9%3.4%3.8%1.3%
Minera Irl Ltd ($IRL)13.6%6.0%-0.4%-0.0%-4.3%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
China Gold International Resources Corp Ltd ($CGG)0.2x3.4x4.7x7.3x
Rambler Metals & Mining ($RAB)2.5x0.6x2.4x
Serabi Gold ($SBI)1.4x
Kirkland Lake Gold Inc ($KGI)-1.0x-0.3x3.2x4.1x0.6x
Anglo Pacific Group ($APY)-1.0x-2.1x-1.4x0.3x
 
Median (7 companies)-0.8x-0.5x0.2x0.2x0.6x