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Manitok Energy Inc reports 104% EBITDA decline and 8.7% Revenue decline

29.04.2016 • About Manitok Energy Inc ($MEI) • By InTwits

Manitok Energy Inc reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Manitok Energy Inc doesn't have a profitable business model yet: 2015 ROIC is -18.5%
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: -2.9% in 2015, 65.0% in 2014, 58.9% in 2013, 50.4% in 2012, 10.4% in 2011
  • Manitok Energy Inc has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 284.3%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 59.1%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 13.0 in FY2015, 11.3 in FY2014, 31.3 in FY2013, 50.4 in FY2012, 27.3 in FY2011
  • The company has unprofitable business model: ROIC is at -18.5%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Manitok Energy Inc ($MEI) key annual financial indicators

mln. CAD201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue8.49034.23163.49071.67565.468-8.7%
Gross Profit33.06118.106-45.2%
SG&A4.1538.04011.33313.01210.803-17.0%
EBITDA0.88717.25237.36946.601-1.895-104.1%
Net Income-7.190-2.6573.615-3.587-27.195658.2%
Balance Sheet
Cash0.1450.1450.0000.0000.000
Short Term Debt1.9603.10116.23753.25862.39817.2%
Long Term Debt0.0000.0000.0002.50014.948497.9%
Cash flow
Capex74.74749.89282.778104.77377.646-25.9%
Ratios
Revenue growth254.7%303.2%85.5%12.9%-8.7%
EBITDA growth-590.9%1,845.0%116.6%24.7%-104.1%
Gross Margin46.1%27.7%-18.5%
EBITDA Margin10.4%50.4%58.9%65.0%-2.9%-67.9%
Net Income Margin-84.7%-7.8%5.7%-5.0%-41.5%-36.5%
SG&A, % of revenue48.9%23.5%17.9%18.2%16.5%-1.7%
CAPEX, % of revenue880.4%145.8%130.4%146.2%118.6%-27.6%
ROIC-8.6%5.4%15.2%13.9%-18.5%-32.5%
ROE-15.9%-3.2%3.6%-3.7%-33.0%-29.3%
Net Debt/EBITDA2.0x0.2x0.4x1.2x-1.2x

Revenue and profitability


Manitok Energy Inc's Revenue decreased on 8.7% in 2015. Revenue decline was accompanies by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin dropped on 67.9 pp from 65.0% to -2.9% in 2015.

Gross Margin dropped on 18.5 pp from 46.1% to 27.7% in 2015. SG&A as a % of Revenue decreased slightly on 1.7 pp from 18.2% to 16.5% in 2015.

Net Income marign dropped on 36.5 pp from -5.0% to -41.5% in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


The company's CAPEX/Revenue was 119% in 2015. CAPEX/Revenue dropped on 27.1 pp from 146% in 2012 to 119% in 2015. Average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 132%.

Return on investment


The company operates at negative ROIC (-18.54%) and ROE (-32.99%). ROIC dropped on 32.5 pp from 13.9% to -18.5% in 2015. ROE dropped on 29.3 pp from -3.7% to -33.0% in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is -1.2x Net Debt / EBITDA and Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 1.2x from 1.2x to in 2015. Debt jumped on 38.7% in 2015 while cash didn't change in 2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Energy


Below we provide Manitok Energy Inc benchmarking against other companies in Energy industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Striker Exploration Corp ($SKX)-23.2%-7.6%226.9%314.7%
NXT Energy Solutions Inc ($SFD)7,543.4%-75.5%61.0%303.1%
ONEnergy Inc ($OEG)6,002.6%231.5%
Petroshale Inc ($PSH)159.9%147.8%
Toro Oil & Gas Ltd ($TOO)25.2%-4.6%-35.6%113.4%
 
Median (162 companies)78.9%9.4%17.3%19.0%-27.6%
Manitok Energy Inc ($MEI)303.2%85.5%12.9%-8.7%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Americas Petrogas Inc ($BOE)77.1%43.3%-34.3%121.1%
TransAlta Renewables Inc ($RNW)94.4%94.5%94.5%
Orca Exploration Group Inc ($ORC.B)69.1%92.3%69.0%66.3%93.1%
Serinus Energy Inc ($SEN)80.4%80.5%76.5%86.8%88.5%
Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd ($AAV)70.5%62.0%84.5%92.5%88.5%
 
Median (143 companies)34.0%29.3%31.5%29.6%33.6%
Manitok Energy Inc ($MEI)46.1%27.7%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Granite Oil Corp ($GXO)9.2%59.4%64.5%70.8%201.9%
Perpetual Energy Inc ($PMT)26.1%35.5%70.7%58.0%110.3%
Petro Rio SA ($PRJ)-4,925.5%-4,809.7%-6,899.7%28.2%90.7%
Peyto Exploration & Development Corp ($PEY)83.6%86.1%83.2%86.3%84.6%
Innergex Renewable Energy Inc ($INE)109.4%111.8%110.0%82.9%83.4%
 
Median (163 companies)25.7%24.2%31.1%29.6%5.5%
Manitok Energy Inc ($MEI)10.4%50.4%58.9%65.0%-2.9%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Primeline Energy Holdings Inc ($PEH)1,091.8%
Oryx Petroleum Corp Ltd ($OXC)1,997.8%712.8%
WesternZagros Resources Ltd ($WZR)385.6%
Athabasca Oil Corp ($ATH)176.2%2,426.4%596.6%504.7%315.2%
Toro Oil & Gas Ltd ($TOO)192.4%139.0%39.2%808.7%307.4%
 
Median (164 companies)42.6%48.7%39.2%48.6%28.6%
Manitok Energy Inc ($MEI)880.4%145.8%130.4%146.2%118.6%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Granite Oil Corp ($GXO)-10.9%4.4%10.8%16.1%37.7%
NXT Energy Solutions Inc ($SFD)-103.5%-39.7%25.5%
High Arctic Energy Services Inc ($HWO)27.0%31.4%26.3%24.9%24.2%
Petro Rio SA ($PRJ)-15.5%-9.6%-12.7%-3.5%19.4%
Orca Exploration Group Inc ($ORC.B)13.3%30.0%13.0%14.3%19.0%
 
Median (165 companies)4.5%3.0%4.6%5.0%-10.0%
Manitok Energy Inc ($MEI)-8.6%5.4%15.2%13.9%-18.5%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Veresen Inc ($VSN)22.3x16.2x14.7x30.3x7.4x
Lightstream Resources Ltd ($LTS)2.0x27.8x
Petroshale Inc ($PSH)0.1x21.7x9.9x
Connacher Oil and Gas Ltd ($CLC)9.7x16.7x8.8x17.1x
Pengrowth Energy Corp ($PGF)1.5x2.9x2.1x16.8x
 
Median (138 companies)1.2x1.6x1.5x1.4x2.5x
Manitok Energy Inc ($MEI)2.0x0.2x0.4x1.2x