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Changfeng Energy Inc CAPEX jumped on 77.4% in 2015 and Revenue jumped on 16.9%

28.04.2016 • About Changfeng Energy Inc ($CFY) • By InTwits

Changfeng Energy Inc reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Changfeng Energy Inc is a fast growth stock: 2015 revenue growth was 16.9%, 5 year revenue CAGR was 22.9% at 2015 ROIC 18.5%
  • Changfeng Energy Inc has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 16.1%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 70.3%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 41.8 in 2015, 127 in 2014, 46.6 in 2013, 31.2 in 2012, 47.7 in 2011
  • The company has highly profitable business model: ROIC is at 18.5%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Changfeng Energy Inc ($CFY) key annual financial indicators

mln. CAD201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue28.17633.27342.04953.12862.12716.9%
Gross Profit11.70815.75519.99823.99629.20621.7%
SG&A10.42512.60514.25116.87418.4%
EBITDA5.7597.8269.42513.23816.22822.6%
Net Income1.3852.5082.4833.7845.96757.7%
Balance Sheet
Cash5.0626.37715.15112.12014.18317.0%
Short Term Debt6.4645.5905.6376.97312.51879.5%
Long Term Debt15.02214.10623.84422.07421.211-3.9%
Cash flow
Capex4.9495.3108.4295.72110.14877.4%
Ratios
Revenue growth27.3%18.1%26.4%26.3%16.9%
EBITDA growth52.8%35.9%20.4%40.5%22.6%
Gross Margin41.6%47.3%47.6%45.2%47.0%1.8%
EBITDA Margin20.4%23.5%22.4%24.9%26.1%1.2%
Net Income Margin4.9%7.5%5.9%7.1%9.6%2.5%
SG&A, % of revenue31.3%30.0%26.8%27.2%0.3%
CAPEX, % of revenue17.6%16.0%20.0%10.8%16.3%5.6%
ROIC12.7%16.5%16.2%17.8%18.5%0.7%
ROE11.8%17.7%14.2%17.2%20.2%2.9%
Net Debt/EBITDA2.9x1.7x1.5x1.3x1.2x-0.1x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue jumped on 16.9% in 2015. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin increased on 4.0 pp from 23.1% to 27.0% in FY2015.

Gross Margin increased slightly on 1.8 pp from 45.2% to 47.0% in 2015. SG&A as a % of Revenue showed almost no change in 2015.

Net Income marign increased on 2.5 pp from 7.1% to 9.6% in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In 2015 Changfeng Energy Inc had CAPEX/Revenue of 16.3%. The company showed almost no change in CAPEX/Revenue from 2012 to 2015. For the last three years the average CAPEX/Revenue was 15.7%.To secure this fast growth the company invested a large share of EBITDA (62.5%) to CAPEX.

Return on investment


The company operates at high and attractive ROE (20.16%) while ROIC is a bit lower (18.47%). ROIC increased slightly on 0.66 pp from 17.8% to 18.5% in 2015. ROE increased on 2.9 pp from 17.2% to 20.2% in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 1.2x Net Debt / EBITDA and 2.1x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA decreased on 0.1x from 1.3x to 1.2x in 2015. Debt surged on 16.1% in 2015 while cash jumped on 17.0% in 2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Energy


Below you can find Changfeng Energy Inc benchmarking vs. other companies in Energy industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Striker Exploration Corp ($SKX)-23.2%-7.6%226.9%314.7%
NXT Energy Solutions Inc ($SFD)7,543.4%-75.5%61.0%303.1%
ONEnergy Inc ($OEG)6,002.6%231.5%
Petroshale Inc ($PSH)159.9%147.8%
Toro Oil & Gas Ltd ($TOO)25.2%-4.6%-35.6%113.4%
 
Median (159 companies)75.1%9.4%17.3%18.7%-27.5%
Changfeng Energy Inc ($CFY)18.1%26.4%26.3%16.9%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Americas Petrogas Inc ($BOE)77.1%43.3%-34.3%121.1%
TransAlta Renewables Inc ($RNW)94.4%94.5%94.5%
Orca Exploration Group Inc ($ORC.B)69.1%92.3%69.0%66.3%93.1%
Serinus Energy Inc ($SEN)80.4%80.5%76.5%86.8%88.5%
Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd ($AAV)70.5%62.0%84.5%92.5%88.5%
 
Median (141 companies)33.3%29.3%31.5%29.6%33.5%
Changfeng Energy Inc ($CFY)41.6%47.3%47.6%45.2%47.0%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Granite Oil Corp ($GXO)9.2%59.4%64.5%70.8%201.9%
Perpetual Energy Inc ($PMT)26.1%35.5%70.7%58.0%110.3%
Petro Rio SA ($PRJ)-4,925.5%-4,809.7%-6,899.7%28.2%90.7%
Peyto Exploration & Development Corp ($PEY)83.6%86.1%83.2%86.3%84.6%
Innergex Renewable Energy Inc ($INE)109.4%111.8%110.0%82.9%83.4%
 
Median (160 companies)25.7%24.8%31.5%29.7%5.7%
Changfeng Energy Inc ($CFY)20.4%23.5%22.4%24.9%26.1%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Primeline Energy Holdings Inc ($PEH)1,091.8%
Oryx Petroleum Corp Ltd ($OXC)1,997.8%712.8%
WesternZagros Resources Ltd ($WZR)385.6%
Athabasca Oil Corp ($ATH)176.2%2,426.4%596.6%504.7%315.2%
Toro Oil & Gas Ltd ($TOO)192.4%139.0%39.2%808.7%307.4%
 
Median (161 companies)44.3%50.5%39.2%48.9%29.1%
Changfeng Energy Inc ($CFY)17.6%16.0%20.0%10.8%16.3%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Granite Oil Corp ($GXO)-10.9%4.4%10.8%16.1%37.7%
NXT Energy Solutions Inc ($SFD)-103.5%-39.7%25.5%
High Arctic Energy Services Inc ($HWO)27.0%31.4%26.3%24.9%24.2%
Petro Rio SA ($PRJ)-15.5%-9.6%-12.7%-3.5%19.4%
Orca Exploration Group Inc ($ORC.B)13.3%30.0%13.0%14.3%19.0%
 
Median (162 companies)4.4%3.0%4.6%5.0%-9.8%
Changfeng Energy Inc ($CFY)12.7%16.5%16.2%17.8%18.5%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Veresen Inc ($VSN)22.3x16.2x14.7x30.3x7.4x
Lightstream Resources Ltd ($LTS)2.0x27.8x
Petroshale Inc ($PSH)0.1x21.7x9.9x
Connacher Oil and Gas Ltd ($CLC)9.7x16.7x8.8x17.1x
Pengrowth Energy Corp ($PGF)1.5x2.9x2.1x16.8x
 
Median (138 companies)1.2x1.6x1.5x1.4x2.5x
Changfeng Energy Inc ($CFY)2.9x1.7x1.5x1.3x1.2x