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CERF Inc Net Income dropped on 692% in 2015 and Revenue dropped on 19.8%

28.04.2016 • About CERF Inc ($CFL) • By InTwits

CERF Inc reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • CERF Inc doesn't have a profitable business model yet: 2015 ROIC is -26.0%
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: -35.7% in 2015, 32.1% in 2014, 27.8% in 2013, 23.6% in 2012, 29.2% in 2011
  • CERF Inc has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 23.3%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 7.9%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 6.9 in 2015, 16.1 in 2014, 9.8 in 2013, 7.5 in 2012, 8.3 in 2011
  • The company has unprofitable business model: ROIC is at -26.0%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

CERF Inc ($CFL) key annual financial indicators

mln. 201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue26.61033.77046.75757.96746.467-19.8%
Gross Profit6.8086.88812.07017.3956.248-64.1%
SG&A7.415
EBITDA7.7617.95512.98618.608-16.589-189.1%
Net Income1.4970.2623.1295.073-30.052-692.4%
Balance Sheet
Cash3.2060.0000.5571.6033.327107.5%
Short Term Debt4.7456.4501.8161.3021.273-2.2%
Long Term Debt12.02624.08218.90733.35134.0772.2%
Cash flow
Capex8.2607.4759.75616.0576.884-57.1%
Ratios
Revenue growth78.5%26.9%38.5%24.0%-19.8%
EBITDA growth68.8%2.5%63.2%43.3%-189.1%
Gross Margin25.6%20.4%25.8%30.0%13.4%-16.6%
EBITDA Margin29.2%23.6%27.8%32.1%-35.7%-67.8%
Net Income Margin5.6%0.8%6.7%8.8%-64.7%-73.4%
SG&A, % of revenue16.0%16.0%
CAPEX, % of revenue31.0%22.1%20.9%27.7%14.8%-12.9%
ROIC11.6%5.2%11.5%10.0%-26.0%-35.9%
ROE10.8%1.6%13.3%8.1%-38.1%-46.1%
Net Debt/EBITDA1.7x3.8x1.6x1.8x-1.8x

Revenue and profitability


CERF Inc's Revenue dropped on 19.8% in 2015. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin increased on 9.4 pp from 59.8% to 69.2% in 2015.

Gross Margin dropped on 16.6 pp from 30.0% to 13.4% in 2015.

Net Income marign dropped on 73.4 pp from 8.8% to -64.7% in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


The company's CAPEX/Revenue was 14.8% in 2015. The company showed decline in CAPEX/Revenue of 7.3 pp from 22.1% in 2012 to 14.8% in 2015. For the last three years the average CAPEX/Revenue was 21.1%.

Return on investment


The company operates at negative ROIC (-25.96%) and ROE (-38.06%). ROIC dropped on 35.9 pp from 10.0% to -26.0% in 2015. ROE dropped on 46.1 pp from 8.1% to -38.1% in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 3.8x Net Debt / EBITDA and Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 1.8x from 1.8x to in 2015. Debt increased on 2.0% in 2015 while cash surged on 108% in 2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Consumer, Non-cyclical


Below you can find CERF Inc benchmarking vs. other companies in Consumer, Non-cyclical industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Theratechnologies Inc ($TH)-9.1%-44.3%-10.9%346.4%
Medicure Inc ($MPH)32.2%-45.7%94.1%337.2%
CRH Medical Corp ($CRH)23.7%12.5%56.0%284.2%
Concordia Healthcare Corp ($CXR)159.5%275.7%
Patient Home Monitoring Corp ($PHM)170.2%1.9%433.0%238.4%
 
Median (81 companies)51.9%8.7%5.3%12.7%14.5%
CERF Inc ($CFL)26.9%38.5%24.0%-19.8%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Cipher Pharmaceuticals Inc ($CPH)99.5%98.3%92.7%
Medicure Inc ($MPH)58.3%77.7%74.4%82.8%89.8%
Ritchie Bros Auctioneers Inc ($RBA)87.9%88.7%88.4%88.0%89.1%
Information Services Corp ($ISV)77.4%77.5%80.4%80.9%87.6%
Theratechnologies Inc ($TH)38.7%62.7%50.9%63.5%86.6%
 
Median (68 companies)36.6%38.7%36.2%35.8%36.1%
CERF Inc ($CFL)25.6%20.4%25.8%30.0%13.4%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Merus Labs International Inc ($MSL)32.9%64.7%46.2%61.5%
CRH Medical Corp ($CRH)22.1%21.0%24.5%29.1%44.1%
Ceapro Inc ($CZO)18.2%-2.6%9.1%23.4%41.9%
Valeant Pharmaceuticals International Inc ($VRX)37.0%30.6%27.8%45.6%39.8%
Concordia Healthcare Corp ($CXR)43.7%37.0%39.8%
 
Median (80 companies)7.3%7.3%8.7%10.5%10.6%
CERF Inc ($CFL)29.2%23.6%27.8%32.1%-35.7%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Neptune Technologies & Bioressources Inc ($NTB)6.0%4.7%73.6%84.6%119.0%
CanaDream Corp ($CDN)68.6%43.3%38.1%70.4%63.4%
Westbond Enterprises Corp ($WBE)3.5%7.6%2.4%4.7%39.5%
Ceapro Inc ($CZO)2.2%3.9%35.3%52.0%39.4%
Microbix Biosystems Inc ($MBX)1.0%1.2%3.0%40.3%38.7%
 
Median (80 companies)2.2%2.6%2.4%2.6%2.3%
CERF Inc ($CFL)31.0%22.1%20.9%27.7%14.8%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Medicure Inc ($MPH)-127.1%129.4%
Response Biomedical Corp ($RBM)-75.0%-158.5%52.0%
Ceapro Inc ($CZO)69.9%-33.5%15.5%43.5%50.4%
Biosyent Inc ($RX)45.5%71.7%62.4%62.9%48.2%
Immunotec Inc ($IMM)-11.5%1.8%8.8%-10.5%40.8%
 
Median (81 companies)7.4%7.1%6.7%6.7%6.6%
CERF Inc ($CFL)11.6%5.2%11.5%10.0%-26.0%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Noble Iron Inc ($NIR)25.5x12.9x227.3x244.1x
Concordia Healthcare Corp ($CXR)-1.3x5.6x20.2x
CIBT Education Group Inc ($MBA)-7.0x-0.3x18.4x
SunOpta Inc ($SOY)2.9x2.9x3.5x1.3x16.9x
Centric Health Corp ($CHH)10.3x5.6x10.2x11.2x15.6x
 
Median (69 companies)2.0x2.5x2.2x2.7x1.9x