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Rocky Mountain Liquor Inc EBITDA dropped on 17.0% in 2015 and EBITDA Margin showed almost no change

27.04.2016 • About Rocky Mountain Liquor Inc ($RUM) • By InTwits

Rocky Mountain Liquor Inc reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • EBITDA Margin is relatively stable: 4.0% in 2015 vs. 4.2% in 2014 vs. 5.1% in 2011
  • Rocky Mountain Liquor Inc has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 1.6%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 84.8%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 0.42 in 2015, 0.44 in 2014, 1.2 in 2013, 0.54 in 2012, 1.6 in 2011
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is at 5.8%
  • It operates with medium-size leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 6.6x while industry average is 6.1x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Rocky Mountain Liquor Inc ($RUM) key annual financial indicators

mln. CAD201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue52.81854.63955.91655.95049.315-11.9%
Gross Profit10.58411.43813.16212.87412.671-1.6%
SG&A10.57410.57110.6410.7%
EBITDA2.6742.6582.5332.3601.958-17.0%
Net Income-0.4510.1920.2080.0230.2881,138.9%
Balance Sheet
Cash1.0011.1231.1230.8690.863-0.7%
Short Term Debt0.4010.4050.3625.23213.833164.4%
Long Term Debt14.06315.34214.9069.0580.000-100.0%
Cash flow
Capex1.5760.5391.2140.4450.419-5.8%
Ratios
Revenue growth10.9%3.4%2.3%0.1%-11.9%
EBITDA growth15.9%-0.6%-4.7%-6.8%-17.0%
Gross Margin20.0%20.9%23.5%23.0%25.7%2.7%
EBITDA Margin5.1%4.9%4.5%4.2%4.0%-0.2%
Net Income Margin-0.9%0.4%0.4%0.0%0.6%0.5%
SG&A, % of revenue18.9%18.9%21.6%2.7%
CAPEX, % of revenue3.0%1.0%2.2%0.8%0.8%0.1%
ROIC7.4%7.5%7.5%6.5%5.8%-0.7%
ROE-6.4%2.8%2.9%0.3%3.7%3.4%
Net Debt/EBITDA5.0x5.5x5.6x5.7x6.6x0.9x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue dropped on 11.9% in 2015. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin increased on 9.4 pp from 59.8% to 69.2% in 2015.

Gross Margin increased on 2.7 pp from 23.0% to 25.7% in 2015. SG&A as a % of Revenue increased on 2.7 pp from 18.9% to 21.6% in 2015.

Net Income marign increased slightly on 0.54 pp from 0.042% to 0.58% in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In 2015 Rocky Mountain Liquor Inc had CAPEX/Revenue of 0.85%. Rocky Mountain Liquor Inc's CAPEX/Revenue showed almost no change from 2012 to 2015. Average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 1.3%.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (5.79%) and ROE (3.75%). ROIC decreased slightly on 0.67 pp from 6.5% to 5.8% in 2015. ROE increased on 3.4 pp from 0.31% to 3.7% in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 6.6x Net Debt / EBITDA and 7.1x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA jumped on 0.9x from 5.7x to 6.6x in 2015. Debt decreased on 3.2% in 2015 while cash decreased slightly on 0.71% in 2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Consumer, Non-cyclical


Below we provide Rocky Mountain Liquor Inc benchmarking against other companies in Consumer, Non-cyclical industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Theratechnologies Inc ($TH)-9.1%-44.3%-10.9%346.4%
Medicure Inc ($MPH)32.2%-45.7%94.1%337.2%
CRH Medical Corp ($CRH)23.7%12.5%56.0%284.2%
Concordia Healthcare Corp ($CXR)159.5%275.7%
Patient Home Monitoring Corp ($PHM)170.2%1.9%433.0%238.4%
 
Median (80 companies)78.5%9.7%6.7%13.2%14.6%
Rocky Mountain Liquor Inc ($RUM)3.4%2.3%0.1%-11.9%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Cipher Pharmaceuticals Inc ($CPH)99.5%98.3%92.7%
Medicure Inc ($MPH)58.3%77.7%74.4%82.8%89.8%
Ritchie Bros Auctioneers Inc ($RBA)87.9%88.7%88.4%88.0%89.1%
Information Services Corp ($ISV)77.4%77.5%80.4%80.9%87.6%
Theratechnologies Inc ($TH)38.7%62.7%50.9%63.5%86.6%
 
Median (67 companies)36.6%38.7%36.2%35.8%36.5%
Rocky Mountain Liquor Inc ($RUM)20.0%20.9%23.5%23.0%25.7%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Merus Labs International Inc ($MSL)32.9%64.7%46.2%61.5%
CRH Medical Corp ($CRH)22.1%21.0%24.5%29.1%44.1%
Ceapro Inc ($CZO)18.2%-2.6%9.1%23.4%41.9%
Valeant Pharmaceuticals International Inc ($VRX)37.0%30.6%27.8%45.6%39.8%
Concordia Healthcare Corp ($CXR)43.7%37.0%39.8%
 
Median (79 companies)7.5%7.9%9.0%10.8%10.6%
Rocky Mountain Liquor Inc ($RUM)5.1%4.9%4.5%4.2%4.0%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Neptune Technologies & Bioressources Inc ($NTB)6.0%4.7%73.6%84.6%119.0%
CanaDream Corp ($CDN)68.6%43.3%38.1%70.4%63.4%
Westbond Enterprises Corp ($WBE)3.5%7.6%2.4%4.7%39.5%
Ceapro Inc ($CZO)2.2%3.9%35.3%52.0%39.4%
Microbix Biosystems Inc ($MBX)1.0%1.2%3.0%40.3%38.7%
 
Median (79 companies)2.2%2.6%2.4%2.6%2.3%
Rocky Mountain Liquor Inc ($RUM)3.0%1.0%2.2%0.8%0.8%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Medicure Inc ($MPH)-127.1%129.4%
Response Biomedical Corp ($RBM)-75.0%-158.5%52.0%
Ceapro Inc ($CZO)69.9%-33.5%15.5%43.5%50.4%
Biosyent Inc ($RX)45.5%71.7%62.4%62.9%48.2%
Immunotec Inc ($IMM)-11.5%1.8%8.8%-10.5%40.8%
 
Median (80 companies)8.0%6.3%6.7%7.3%6.7%
Rocky Mountain Liquor Inc ($RUM)7.4%7.5%7.5%6.5%5.8%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Noble Iron Inc ($NIR)25.5x12.9x227.3x244.1x
Concordia Healthcare Corp ($CXR)-1.3x5.6x20.2x
CIBT Education Group Inc ($MBA)-7.0x-0.3x18.4x
SunOpta Inc ($SOY)2.9x2.9x3.5x1.3x16.9x
Centric Health Corp ($CHH)10.3x5.6x10.2x11.2x15.6x
 
Median (68 companies)1.9x2.5x2.2x2.6x1.9x
Rocky Mountain Liquor Inc ($RUM)5.0x5.5x5.6x5.7x6.6x