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Allied Hotel Properties Inc reports 105% EBITDA decline and 5.5 pp EBITDA Margin decline from 5.2% to -0.26%

22.04.2016 • About Allied Hotel Properties Inc ($AHP) • By InTwits

Allied Hotel Properties Inc reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Allied Hotel Properties Inc doesn't have a profitable business model yet: 2015 ROIC is -3.0%
  • The company operates at negative EBITDA Margin: -0.3%
  • Allied Hotel Properties Inc motivates its personel by high Stock Based Compensation (SBC): average SBC/Revenue for 2011-2015 was 0.0%. On average EBITDA Margin was -12.1% for the sames years0
  • Allied Hotel Properties Inc has medium CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 5.8%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 5.0%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 0.68 in 2015, 0.49 in 2014, 0.52 in 2013, 0.84 in 2012, 0.087 in 2011
  • The company has unprofitable business model: ROIC is at -3.0%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Allied Hotel Properties Inc ($AHP) key annual financial indicators

mln. CAD201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue11.6567.7959.0119.8389.9821.5%
Gross Profit4.4573.7984.3994.8564.8740.4%
SG&A5.3203.5003.5654.03313.1%
EBITDA-0.587-5.340-0.3870.513-0.026-105.1%
Net Income-5.717-6.793-2.154-0.456-1.156153.5%
Balance Sheet
Cash2.6430.7370.5730.8280.179-78.4%
Short Term Debt0.0620.0000.0000.0000.000
Long Term Debt6.3329.72310.89911.75411.8831.1%
Cash flow
Capex0.0870.8400.5210.4920.68338.8%
Ratios
Revenue growth-67.3%-33.1%15.6%9.2%1.5%
EBITDA growth-147.5%809.7%-92.8%-232.6%-105.1%
Gross Margin38.2%48.7%48.8%49.4%48.8%-0.5%
EBITDA Margin-5.0%-68.5%-4.3%5.2%-0.3%-5.5%
Net Income Margin-49.0%-87.1%-23.9%-4.6%-11.6%-6.9%
SG&A, % of revenue68.2%38.8%36.2%40.4%4.2%
CAPEX, % of revenue0.7%10.8%5.8%5.0%6.8%1.8%
ROIC-4.1%-36.0%-5.9%0.8%-3.0%-3.8%
ROE-41.1%-88.7%-67.7%-24.3%-108.0%-83.7%
Net Debt/EBITDA21.3x-21.3x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue increased slightly on 1.5% in 2015. Revenue decline was accompanies by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin decreased on 3.1 pp from 20.8% to 17.7% in FY2015.

Gross Margin decreased slightly on 0.53 pp from 49.4% to 48.8% in 2015. SG&A as a % of Revenue increased on 4.2 pp from 36.2% to 40.4% in 2015.

Net Income marign decreased on 6.9 pp from -4.6% to -11.6% in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


Allied Hotel Properties Inc's CAPEX/Revenue was 6.8% in 2015. The company showed decline in CAPEX/Revenue of 3.9 pp from 10.8% in 2012 to 6.8% in 2015. It's average level of CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 5.9%.

Return on investment


The company operates at negative ROIC (-3.04%) and ROE (-108.04%). ROIC decreased on 3.8 pp from 0.77% to -3.0% in 2015. ROE dropped on 83.7 pp from -24.3% to -108% in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 1.6x Net Debt / EBITDA and Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 21.3x from 21.3x to in 2015. Debt increased slightly on 1.1% in 2015 while cash dropped on 78.4% in 2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Consumer, Cyclical


Below we provide Allied Hotel Properties Inc benchmarking against other companies in Consumer, Cyclical industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Restaurant Brands International Inc ($QSR)4.6%238.0%
DHX Media Ltd ($DHX.A)31.1%33.9%19.4%127.4%
Amaya Inc ($AYA)311.5%85.2%254.0%113.8%
Hudson's Bay Co ($HBC)5.9%28.1%56.4%
Exchange Income Corp ($EIF)56.9%-36.4%6.6%48.8%
 
Median (66 companies)16.2%5.4%4.7%6.8%5.2%
Allied Hotel Properties Inc ($AHP)-33.1%15.6%9.2%1.5%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Imvescor Restaurant Group Inc ($IRG)96.2%94.2%89.7%84.9%84.3%
DEQ Systems Corp ($DEQ)74.3%77.5%78.4%84.7%82.7%
Second Cup Ltd/The ($SCU)91.1%86.6%85.1%72.7%81.1%
New Look Vision Group Inc ($BCI)72.3%71.8%72.6%72.6%78.7%
Cara Operations Ltd ($CAO)79.2%78.9%78.4%
 
Median (58 companies)30.2%35.3%32.1%34.6%33.1%
Allied Hotel Properties Inc ($AHP)38.2%48.7%48.8%49.4%48.8%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Westshore Terminals Investment Corp ($WTE)49.7%65.9%60.9%59.6%
Gamehost Inc ($GH)44.2%46.1%45.7%45.9%42.8%
Great Canadian Gaming Corp ($GC)34.1%16.8%41.1%40.1%36.6%
Imvescor Restaurant Group Inc ($IRG)26.5%27.9%27.3%25.5%35.9%
Whistler Blackcomb Holdings Inc ($WB)34.8%36.0%35.9%36.4%35.4%
 
Median (61 companies)8.8%8.1%9.8%10.2%9.4%
Allied Hotel Properties Inc ($AHP)-5.0%-68.5%-4.3%5.2%-0.3%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Holloway Lodging Corp ($HLC)3.4%8.2%6.7%14.8%26.7%
WestJet Airlines Ltd ($WJA)3.9%7.9%19.5%18.6%22.5%
Westshore Terminals Investment Corp ($WTE)25.7%11.5%6.2%21.2%
Exchange Income Corp ($EIF)8.2%7.9%15.8%15.5%15.4%
Chorus Aviation Inc ($CHR.A)12.5%9.9%9.6%3.9%15.0%
 
Median (66 companies)2.5%2.7%2.7%2.4%2.7%
Allied Hotel Properties Inc ($AHP)0.7%10.8%5.8%5.0%6.8%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Partner Jet Corp ($PJT)-30.7%-51.6%-50.8%85.1%51.1%
Westshore Terminals Investment Corp ($WTE)24.0%37.8%35.0%38.3%
BRP Inc/CA ($DOO)29.8%26.8%32.3%35.3%
Cara Operations Ltd ($CAO)24.7%35.1%
Jean Coutu Group PJC Inc/The ($PJC.A)33.5%34.4%29.8%29.2%30.2%
 
Median (66 companies)10.4%9.8%10.5%9.8%10.9%
Allied Hotel Properties Inc ($AHP)-4.1%-36.0%-5.9%0.8%-3.0%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Holloway Lodging Corp ($HLC)5.8x8.4x17.1x
Discovery Air Inc ($DA.A)3.2x2.8x3.8x7.5x11.4x
AutoCanada Inc ($ACQ)1.9x4.2x4.7x6.4x8.0x
Second Cup Ltd/The ($SCU)0.6x1.0x0.6x0.0x7.5x
Amaya Inc ($AYA)17.9x1.8x13.5x6.6x
 
Median (54 companies)1.3x1.4x1.8x2.0x1.9x