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Hawk Exploration Ltd EBITDA dropped on 123% in 2015 and Revenue dropped on 37.2%

19.04.2016 • About Hawk Exploration Ltd ($HWK.A) • By InTwits

Hawk Exploration Ltd reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Hawk Exploration Ltd doesn't have a profitable business model yet: 2015 ROIC is -19.1%
  • EBITDA Margin is declining: -12.9% in 2015 vs. 35.5% in 2014 vs. 47.7% in 2011
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: -12.9% in 2015, 35.5% in 2014, 43.2% in 2013, 48.1% in 2012, 47.7% in 2011
  • Hawk Exploration Ltd has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 80.7%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 59.8%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 2.1 in 2015, 10.7 in 2014, 9.2 in 2013, 9.5 in 2012, 11.0 in 2011
  • The company has unprofitable business model: ROIC is at -19.1%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Hawk Exploration Ltd ($HWK.A) key annual financial indicators

mln. CAD201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue8.3799.51912.17814.4939.107-37.2%
Gross Profit2.2753.0414.0024.6134.483-2.8%
SG&A1.016
EBITDA3.9934.5825.2555.141-1.171-122.8%
Net Income-7.2720.097-1.2920.212-7.134-3,462.8%
Balance Sheet
Cash0.0000.0000.0000.0000.000
Short Term Debt0.2001.7004.9007.7009.10018.2%
Long Term Debt0.0000.0000.0000.0000.000
Cash flow
Capex11.0259.5219.20410.6692.085-80.5%
Ratios
Revenue growth43.4%13.6%27.9%19.0%-37.2%
EBITDA growth-881.9%14.7%14.7%-2.2%-122.8%
Gross Margin27.2%32.0%32.9%31.8%49.2%17.4%
EBITDA Margin47.7%48.1%43.2%35.5%-12.9%-48.3%
Net Income Margin-86.8%1.0%-10.6%1.5%-78.3%-79.8%
SG&A, % of revenue11.2%11.2%
CAPEX, % of revenue131.6%100.0%75.6%73.6%22.9%-50.7%
ROIC6.1%8.7%7.7%2.8%-19.1%-21.9%
ROE-60.9%0.7%-10.0%1.2%-35.2%-36.4%
Net Debt/EBITDA0.1x0.4x0.9x1.5x-1.5x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue dropped on 37.2% in 2015. Revenue decline was accompanies by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin dropped on 48.3 pp from 35.5% to -12.9% in 2015.

Gross Margin surged on 17.4 pp from 31.8% to 49.2% in 2015.

Net Income marign dropped on 79.8 pp from 1.5% to -78.3% in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


Hawk Exploration Ltd's CAPEX/Revenue was 22.9% in 2015. Hawk Exploration Ltd showed big decline in CAPEX/Revenue of 77.1 pp from 100% in 2012 to 22.9% in 2015. It's average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 57.4%.

Return on investment


The company operates at negative ROIC (-19.15%) and ROE (-35.20%). ROIC dropped on 21.9 pp from 2.8% to -19.1% in 2015. ROE dropped on 36.4 pp from 1.2% to -35.2% in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 0.1x Net Debt / EBITDA and Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 1.5x from 1.5x to in 2015. Debt jumped on 18.2% in 2015 while cash didn't change in 2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Energy


Below you can find Hawk Exploration Ltd benchmarking vs. other companies in Energy industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
ONEnergy Inc ($OEG)6,002.6%231.5%
Petroshale Inc ($PSH)159.9%147.8%
Toro Oil & Gas Ltd ($TOO)25.2%-4.6%-35.6%113.4%
Ikkuma Resources Corp ($IKM)17.0%-4.5%1,231.1%100.3%
Seven Generations Energy Ltd ($VII)115.7%340.2%39.0%
 
Median (149 companies)61.3%9.4%17.3%18.7%-27.3%
Hawk Exploration Ltd ($HWK.A)13.6%27.9%19.0%-37.2%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Americas Petrogas Inc ($BOE)77.1%43.3%-34.3%121.1%
TransAlta Renewables Inc ($RNW)94.4%94.5%94.5%
Orca Exploration Group Inc ($ORC.B)69.1%92.3%69.0%66.3%93.1%
Serinus Energy Inc ($SEN)80.4%80.5%76.5%86.8%88.5%
Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd ($AAV)70.5%62.0%84.5%92.5%88.5%
 
Median (134 companies)34.2%29.3%31.5%29.6%32.4%
Hawk Exploration Ltd ($HWK.A)27.2%32.0%32.9%31.8%49.2%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Granite Oil Corp ($GXO)9.2%59.4%64.5%70.8%201.9%
Perpetual Energy Inc ($PMT)26.1%35.5%70.7%58.0%110.3%
Petro Rio SA ($PRJ)-4,925.5%-4,809.7%-6,899.7%28.2%90.7%
Peyto Exploration & Development Corp ($PEY)83.6%86.1%83.2%86.3%84.6%
Innergex Renewable Energy Inc ($INE)109.4%111.8%110.0%82.9%83.4%
 
Median (151 companies)25.3%24.2%31.1%29.6%5.9%
Hawk Exploration Ltd ($HWK.A)47.7%48.1%43.2%35.5%-12.9%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Primeline Energy Holdings Inc ($PEH)1,091.8%
Oryx Petroleum Corp Ltd ($OXC)1,997.8%712.8%
WesternZagros Resources Ltd ($WZR)385.6%
Athabasca Oil Corp ($ATH)176.2%2,426.4%596.6%504.7%315.2%
Toro Oil & Gas Ltd ($TOO)192.4%139.0%39.2%808.7%307.4%
 
Median (152 companies)42.6%48.7%39.2%48.6%30.3%
Hawk Exploration Ltd ($HWK.A)131.6%100.0%75.6%73.6%22.9%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Granite Oil Corp ($GXO)-10.9%4.4%10.8%16.1%37.7%
High Arctic Energy Services Inc ($HWO)27.0%31.4%26.3%24.9%24.2%
Petro Rio SA ($PRJ)-15.5%-9.6%-12.7%-3.5%19.4%
Orca Exploration Group Inc ($ORC.B)13.3%30.0%13.0%14.3%19.0%
Perpetual Energy Inc ($PMT)-10.6%-10.1%9.1%10.4%16.1%
 
Median (152 companies)4.4%3.0%4.6%5.3%-8.7%
Hawk Exploration Ltd ($HWK.A)6.1%8.7%7.7%2.8%-19.1%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Veresen Inc ($VSN)22.3x16.2x14.7x30.3x7.4x
Lightstream Resources Ltd ($LTS)2.0x27.8x
Petroshale Inc ($PSH)0.1x21.7x9.9x
Connacher Oil and Gas Ltd ($CLC)9.7x16.7x8.8x17.1x
Pengrowth Energy Corp ($PGF)1.5x2.9x2.1x16.8x
 
Median (138 companies)1.2x1.6x1.5x1.3x2.6x
Hawk Exploration Ltd ($HWK.A)0.1x0.4x0.9x1.5x