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Traverse Energy Ltd EBITDA surged on 185% in 2015 and EBITDA Margin jumped on 26.1 pp from 9.3% to 35.4%

14.04.2016 • About Traverse Energy Ltd ($TVL) • By InTwits

Traverse Energy Ltd reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Traverse Energy Ltd doesn't have a profitable business model yet: 2015 ROIC is -8.6%
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: 35.4% in 2015, 9.3% in 2014, 63.3% in 2013, 43.2% in 2012, -9.3% in 2011
  • Traverse Energy Ltd has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 148.6%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 64.7%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 11.4 in 2015, 30.8 in 2014, 14.5 in 2013, 8.2 in 2012, 10.8 in 2011
  • The company has unprofitable business model: ROIC is at -8.6%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Traverse Energy Ltd ($TVL) key annual financial indicators

mln. CAD201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue4.2687.62313.54316.70212.466-25.4%
Gross Profit1.147
SG&A1.0861.9763.7301.074-71.2%
EBITDA-0.3983.2938.5751.5494.411184.8%
Net Income-1.822-2.8283.245-4.570-2.762-39.6%
Balance Sheet
Cash4.2313.2684.9941.051
Short Term Debt0.0000.0000.0001.4400.000-100.0%
Long Term Debt0.0000.0000.0000.0000.000
Cash flow
Capex10.7638.21614.46030.82111.444-62.9%
Ratios
Revenue growth111.0%78.6%77.7%23.3%-25.4%
EBITDA growth-82.6%-927.3%160.4%-81.9%184.8%
Gross Margin9.2%9.2%
EBITDA Margin-9.3%43.2%63.3%9.3%35.4%26.1%
Net Income Margin-42.7%-37.1%24.0%-27.4%-22.2%5.2%
SG&A, % of revenue14.3%14.6%22.3%8.6%-13.7%
CAPEX, % of revenue252.2%107.8%106.8%184.5%91.8%-92.7%
ROIC-15.9%-18.3%23.6%-17.2%-8.6%8.6%
ROE-14.8%-18.3%16.8%-16.8%-9.0%7.8%
Net Debt/EBITDA-1.0x-0.6x0.9x-0.2x-1.2x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue dropped on 25.4% in 2015. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin surged on 26.1 pp from 9.3% to 35.4% in 2015.

SG&A as a % of Revenue dropped on 13.7 pp from 22.3% to 8.6% in 2015.

Net Income marign increased on 5.2 pp from -27.4% to -22.2% in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


The company's CAPEX/Revenue was 91.8% in 2015. The company showed big decline in CAPEX/Revenue of 16.0 pp from 108% in 2012 to 91.8% in 2015. For the last three years the average CAPEX/Revenue was 128%.The company has spent a lot to CAPEX (259% of EBITDA) which didn't stop revenue from falling.

Return on investment


The company operates at negative ROIC (-8.58%) and ROE (-8.96%). ROIC increased on 8.6 pp from -17.2% to -8.6% in 2015. ROE increased on 7.8 pp from -16.8% to -9.0% in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


The company paid down all the debt in 2015. Cash surged.

Appendix 1: Peers in Energy


Below we provide Traverse Energy Ltd benchmarking against other companies in Energy industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
ONEnergy Inc ($OEG)6,002.6%231.5%
Toro Oil & Gas Ltd ($TOO)25.2%-4.6%-35.6%113.4%
Ikkuma Resources Corp ($IKM)17.0%-4.5%1,231.1%100.3%
Seven Generations Energy Ltd ($VII)115.7%340.2%39.0%
Crown Point Energy Inc ($CWV)177.6%110.5%-34.4%38.3%
 
Median (144 companies)59.0%9.4%17.3%18.7%-28.6%
Traverse Energy Ltd ($TVL)78.6%77.7%23.3%-25.4%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Americas Petrogas Inc ($BOE)77.1%43.3%-34.3%121.1%
TransAlta Renewables Inc ($RNW)94.4%94.5%94.5%
Orca Exploration Group Inc ($ORC.B)69.1%92.3%69.0%66.3%93.1%
Serinus Energy Inc ($SEN)80.4%80.5%76.5%86.8%88.5%
Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd ($AAV)70.5%62.0%84.5%92.5%88.5%
 
Median (130 companies)34.0%29.3%31.5%29.6%33.6%
Traverse Energy Ltd ($TVL)9.2%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Granite Oil Corp ($GXO)9.2%59.4%64.5%70.8%201.9%
Perpetual Energy Inc ($PMT)26.1%35.5%70.7%58.0%110.3%
Petro Rio SA ($PRJ)-4,925.5%-4,809.7%-6,899.7%28.2%90.7%
Peyto Exploration & Development Corp ($PEY)83.6%86.1%83.2%86.3%84.6%
Innergex Renewable Energy Inc ($INE)109.4%111.8%110.0%82.9%83.4%
 
Median (146 companies)25.7%24.2%31.1%29.7%5.7%
Traverse Energy Ltd ($TVL)-9.3%43.2%63.3%9.3%35.4%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Primeline Energy Holdings Inc ($PEH)1,091.8%
Oryx Petroleum Corp Ltd ($OXC)1,997.8%712.8%
WesternZagros Resources Ltd ($WZR)385.6%
Athabasca Oil Corp ($ATH)176.2%2,426.4%596.6%504.7%315.2%
Toro Oil & Gas Ltd ($TOO)192.4%139.0%39.2%808.7%307.4%
 
Median (147 companies)42.6%48.7%39.2%48.6%31.0%
Traverse Energy Ltd ($TVL)252.2%107.8%106.8%184.5%91.8%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Granite Oil Corp ($GXO)-10.9%4.4%10.8%16.1%37.7%
High Arctic Energy Services Inc ($HWO)27.0%31.4%26.3%24.9%24.2%
Petro Rio SA ($PRJ)-15.5%-9.6%-12.7%-3.5%19.4%
Orca Exploration Group Inc ($ORC.B)13.3%30.0%13.0%14.3%19.0%
Perpetual Energy Inc ($PMT)-10.6%-10.1%9.1%10.4%16.1%
 
Median (147 companies)4.5%3.1%4.6%5.3%-9.3%
Traverse Energy Ltd ($TVL)-15.9%-18.3%23.6%-17.2%-8.6%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Veresen Inc ($VSN)22.3x16.2x14.7x30.3x7.4x
Lightstream Resources Ltd ($LTS)2.0x27.8x
Petroshale Inc ($PSH)0.1x21.7x
Connacher Oil and Gas Ltd ($CLC)9.7x16.7x8.8x17.1x
Pengrowth Energy Corp ($PGF)1.5x2.9x2.1x16.8x
 
Median (138 companies)1.2x1.6x1.5x1.4x2.6x
Traverse Energy Ltd ($TVL)-1.0x-0.6x0.9x-0.2x