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Orca Exploration Group Inc reports 2,828% CAPEX growth while 4.4% Revenue decline

14.04.2016 • About Orca Exploration Group Inc ($ORC.B) • By InTwits

Orca Exploration Group Inc reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Orca Exploration Group Inc has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 37.2%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 8.5%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 38.4 in 2015, 1.3 in 2014, 1.3 in 2013, 54.7 in 2012, 18.1 in 2011
  • The company has highly profitable business model: ROIC is at 19.0%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Orca Exploration Group Inc ($ORC.B) key annual financial indicators

mln. $201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue45.89377.25953.48256.60754.088-4.4%
Gross Profit31.71371.30636.89037.54750.33734.1%
SG&A13.608
EBITDA24.66253.63033.22533.83037.42910.6%
Net Income7.98618.329-7.640-38.3011.533-104.0%
Balance Sheet
Cash34.68016.04732.58857.65953.797-6.7%
Short Term Debt0.0005.8421.6590.0000.000
Long Term Debt0.0000.0000.0000.00018.599
Cash flow
Capex18.13554.6951.2881.31238.4112,827.7%
Ratios
Revenue growth18.3%68.3%-30.8%5.8%-4.4%
EBITDA growth10.0%117.5%-38.0%1.8%10.6%
Gross Margin69.1%92.3%69.0%66.3%93.1%26.7%
EBITDA Margin53.7%69.4%62.1%59.8%69.2%9.4%
Net Income Margin17.4%23.7%-14.3%-67.7%2.8%70.5%
SG&A, % of revenue25.2%25.2%
CAPEX, % of revenue39.5%70.8%2.4%2.3%71.0%68.7%
ROIC13.3%30.0%13.0%14.3%19.0%4.7%
ROE7.8%15.8%-6.3%-40.0%2.0%42.0%
Net Debt/EBITDA-1.4x-0.2x-0.9x-1.7x-0.9x0.8x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue decreased on 4.4% in 2015. Despite revenue decline the EBITDA margin expanded. EBITDA Margin increased on 9.4 pp from 59.8% to 69.2% in 2015.

Gross Margin surged on 26.7 pp from 66.3% to 93.1% in 2015.

Net Income marign jumped on 70.5 pp from -67.7% to 2.8% in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


Orca Exploration Group Inc's CAPEX/Revenue was 71.0% in 2015. Orca Exploration Group Inc's CAPEX/Revenue showed almost no change from 2012 to 2015. Average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 25.2%.Orca Exploration Group Inc has spent a lot to CAPEX (103% of EBITDA) which didn't stop revenue from falling.

Return on investment


The company operates at good ROIC (19.00%) while ROE is low (1.98%). ROIC increased on 4.7 pp from 14.3% to 19.0% in 2015. ROE surged on 42.0 pp from -40.0% to 2.0% in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is -0.9x and Debt / EBITDA is 0.5x. Net Debt / EBITDA surged on 0.8x from -1.7x to -0.9x in 2015. Debt jumped while cash decreased on 6.7% in 2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Energy


Below we provide Orca Exploration Group Inc benchmarking against other companies in Energy industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
ONEnergy Inc ($OEG)6,002.6%231.5%
Toro Oil & Gas Ltd ($TOO)25.2%-4.6%-35.6%113.4%
Ikkuma Resources Corp ($IKM)17.0%-4.5%1,231.1%100.3%
Seven Generations Energy Ltd ($VII)115.7%340.2%39.0%
Crown Point Energy Inc ($CWV)177.6%110.5%-34.4%38.3%
 
Median (144 companies)59.0%9.4%17.4%19.0%-28.6%
Orca Exploration Group Inc ($ORC.B)68.3%-30.8%5.8%-4.4%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Americas Petrogas Inc ($BOE)77.1%43.3%-34.3%121.1%
TransAlta Renewables Inc ($RNW)94.4%94.5%94.5%
Serinus Energy Inc ($SEN)80.4%80.5%76.5%86.8%88.5%
Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd ($AAV)70.5%62.0%84.5%92.5%88.5%
Polaris Infrastructure Inc ($PIF)58.4%39.9%33.6%32.0%86.7%
 
Median (130 companies)33.3%29.3%31.5%29.6%33.5%
Orca Exploration Group Inc ($ORC.B)69.1%92.3%69.0%66.3%93.1%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Granite Oil Corp ($GXO)9.2%59.4%64.5%70.8%201.9%
Perpetual Energy Inc ($PMT)26.1%35.5%70.7%58.0%110.3%
Petro Rio SA ($PRJ)-4,925.5%-4,809.7%-6,899.7%28.2%90.7%
Peyto Exploration & Development Corp ($PEY)83.6%86.1%83.2%86.3%84.6%
Innergex Renewable Energy Inc ($INE)109.4%111.8%110.0%82.9%83.4%
 
Median (146 companies)25.3%24.2%31.1%29.6%5.7%
Orca Exploration Group Inc ($ORC.B)53.7%69.4%62.1%59.8%69.2%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Primeline Energy Holdings Inc ($PEH)1,091.8%
Oryx Petroleum Corp Ltd ($OXC)1,997.8%712.8%
WesternZagros Resources Ltd ($WZR)385.6%
Athabasca Oil Corp ($ATH)176.2%2,426.4%596.6%504.7%315.2%
Toro Oil & Gas Ltd ($TOO)192.4%139.0%39.2%808.7%307.4%
 
Median (147 companies)44.3%48.7%39.2%48.9%31.0%
Orca Exploration Group Inc ($ORC.B)39.5%70.8%2.4%2.3%71.0%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Granite Oil Corp ($GXO)-10.9%4.4%10.8%16.1%37.7%
High Arctic Energy Services Inc ($HWO)27.0%31.4%26.3%24.9%24.2%
Petro Rio SA ($PRJ)-15.5%-9.6%-12.7%-3.5%19.4%
Perpetual Energy Inc ($PMT)-10.6%-10.1%9.1%10.4%16.1%
TransAtlantic Petroleum Ltd ($TNP)-12.1%3.5%1.1%5.4%15.5%
 
Median (147 companies)4.4%3.0%4.6%5.0%-9.3%
Orca Exploration Group Inc ($ORC.B)13.3%30.0%13.0%14.3%19.0%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Veresen Inc ($VSN)22.3x16.2x14.7x30.3x7.4x
Lightstream Resources Ltd ($LTS)2.0x27.8x
Petroshale Inc ($PSH)0.1x21.7x
Connacher Oil and Gas Ltd ($CLC)9.7x16.7x8.8x17.1x
Pengrowth Energy Corp ($PGF)1.5x2.9x2.1x16.8x
 
Median (138 companies)1.2x1.6x1.5x1.4x2.6x
Orca Exploration Group Inc ($ORC.B)-1.4x-0.2x-0.9x-1.7x-0.9x