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ADF Group Inc EBITDA surged on 354% in 2016 and Revenue jumped on 29.0%

14.04.2016 • About ADF Group Inc ($DRX) • By InTwits

ADF Group Inc reported FY2016 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: 7.4% in FY2016, 2.1% in FY2015, 15.3% in FY2014, 2.9% in FY2013, 12.5% in FY2012
  • ADF Group Inc has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 13.2%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 7.8%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 8.6 in FY2016, 13.9 in FY2015, 22.7 in FY2014, 5.0 in FY2013, 1.2 in FY2012
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is at 2.3%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

ADF Group Inc ($DRX) key annual financial indicators

mln. CAD201220132014201520162016/2015
P&L
Revenue48.43141.41292.99776.05898.08929.0%
Gross Profit9.3034.70620.2197.26714.02092.9%
SG&A9.4319.85411.39115.6%
EBITDA6.0321.22114.2341.5947.244354.5%
Net Income1.812-1.5547.682-1.5701.699
Balance Sheet
Cash18.97623.91418.6757.9462.377-70.1%
Short Term Debt2.5262.5051.7060.7630.86813.8%
Long Term Debt3.6761.1574.3159.37414.35153.1%
Cash flow
Capex1.2305.00422.68313.8608.591-38.0%
Ratios
Revenue growth-12.4%-14.5%124.6%-18.2%29.0%
EBITDA growth-44.8%-79.8%1,065.8%-88.8%354.5%
Gross Margin19.2%11.4%21.7%9.6%14.3%4.7%
EBITDA Margin12.5%2.9%15.3%2.1%7.4%5.3%
Net Income Margin3.7%-3.8%8.3%-2.1%1.7%3.8%
SG&A, % of revenue10.1%13.0%11.6%-1.3%
CAPEX, % of revenue2.5%12.1%24.4%18.2%8.8%-9.5%
ROIC2.7%-2.3%10.7%-2.4%2.3%4.7%
ROE1.9%-1.7%7.9%-1.5%1.6%3.1%
Net Debt/EBITDA-2.1x-16.6x-0.9x1.4x1.8x0.4x


ADF Group Inc ($DRX) key quoterly financial indicators

mln. CADFY16Q1FY16Q2FY16Q3FY16Q4YoY change
P&L
Revenue2919212917.5%-6.7%70.5%55.1%
EBITDA203230.7%-4.2%926.1%
Net Income0-111-87.9%
Balance Sheet
Cash4152-80.1%-86.0%6.5%-70.1%
Short Term Debt1111-41.0%28.1%23.7%13.8%
Long Term Debt9914142.1%10.9%65.0%53.1%
Ratios
Gross Margin12.4%9.9%21.2%14.0%0.8%-0.9%14.9%6.2%
EBITDA Margin 6.4% 2.5% 13.4% 7.2%0.6%0.1%17.5%6.1%
Net Income Margin 0.2% -2.8% 4.9% 3.9%-1.7%-1.1%14.0%6.9%

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue jumped on 29.0%. Revenue growth showed acceleration in FY16Q4 - it increased 55.1% YoY. Revenue growth happened at the same time with EBITDA margin expansion. EBITDA Margin increased on 5.3 pp from 2.1% to 7.4% in FY2016.

Gross Margin increased on 4.7 pp from 9.6% to 14.3% in FY2016. SG&A as a % of Revenue decreased slightly on 1.3 pp from 13.0% to 11.6% in FY2016.

Net Income marign increased on 3.8 pp from -2.1% to 1.7% in FY2016.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In FY2016 ADF Group Inc had CAPEX/Revenue of 8.8%. The company's CAPEX/Revenue decreased on 3.3 pp from 12.1% in FY2013 to 8.8% in FY2016. It's average level of CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 17.1%.To fuel this fast growth the company made large investments to CAPEX (119% of EBITDA).

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (2.29%) and ROE (1.61%). ROIC increased on 4.7 pp from -2.4% to 2.3% in FY2016. ROE increased on 3.1 pp from -1.5% to 1.6% in FY2016.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 1.8x Net Debt / EBITDA and 2.1x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA jumped on 0.4x from 1.4x to 1.8x in FY2016. Debt surged on 50.1% while cash dropped on 70.1%.

Appendix 1: Peers in Basic Materials


Below we provide ADF Group Inc benchmarking against other companies in Basic Materials industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Golden Minerals Co ($AUM)1,320.8%-59.1%-97.8%3,334.5%
Marlin Gold Mining Ltd ($MLN)835.4%
Mangazeya Mining Ltd ($MGZ.H)-22.8%-36.5%230.1%
Osisko Gold Royalties Ltd ($OR)164.4%
HudBay Minerals Inc ($HBM)-22.0%-28.6%-8.4%92.8%
 
Median (117 companies)5.5%-3.5%1.8%-4.6%-16.5%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Nevsun Resources Ltd ($NSU)89.9%94.8%95.5%82.3%
Labrador Iron Ore Royalty Corp ($LIF)80.2%80.2%80.2%80.3%
Lucara Diamond Corp ($LUC)42.5%57.4%66.7%60.9%
Trevali Mining Corp ($TV)49.0%59.3%
Mangazeya Mining Ltd ($MGZ.H)55.4%28.0%32.6%55.1%
 
Median (112 companies)32.1%21.8%18.0%15.8%16.4%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Labrador Iron Ore Royalty Corp ($LIF)72.8%
Silver Wheaton Corp ($SLW)82.6%75.3%69.6%65.8%
Franco-Nevada Corp ($FNV)62.1%44.6%72.3%60.8%
Lucara Diamond Corp ($LUC)7.6%57.3%57.5%60.0%
Sandstorm Gold Ltd ($SSL)74.3%49.9%62.1%56.5%
 
Median (118 companies)18.6%10.8%10.6%5.3%-29.8%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Largo Resources Ltd ($LGO)567.6%
Sandstorm Gold Ltd ($SSL)152.1%118.8%49.4%412.7%
Silver Wheaton Corp ($SLW)75.5%286.8%22.5%279.2%
Franco-Nevada Corp ($FNV)3.7%35.5%201.6%230.0%
Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd ($ASM)211.7%5.6%89.8%163.3%
 
Median (118 companies)28.3%27.4%17.4%17.2%27.0%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Lucara Diamond Corp ($LUC)-2.9%41.3%54.7%39.6%
Canfor Pulp Products Inc ($CFX)4.9%13.2%21.3%24.1%
Supremex Inc ($SXP)14.1%18.5%16.5%23.4%
Mangazeya Mining Ltd ($MGZ.H)-3.0%-5.0%23.0%
Claude Resources Inc ($CRJ)4.5%-5.6%3.6%19.3%
 
Median (120 companies)4.7%-0.2%0.8%-4.9%-6.7%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Imperial Metals Corp ($III)1.5x4.9x12.9x67.5x
Copper Mountain Mining Corp ($CUM)3.9x5.0x5.4x30.6x
Resolute Forest Products Inc ($RFP)1.3x1.1x3.8x29.6x
Mangazeya Mining Ltd ($MGZ.H)11.4x19.7x
Fortress Paper Ltd ($FTP)18.8x
 
Median (69 companies)0.3x0.9x1.0x1.6x