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Dominion Diamond Corp Net Income dropped on 151% in 2016 and EBITDA Margin dropped on 15.3 pp from 42.9% to 27.7%

13.04.2016 • About Dominion Diamond Corp ($DDC) • By InTwits

Dominion Diamond Corp reported FY2016 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Dominion Diamond Corp doesn't have a profitable business model yet: FY2016 ROIC is 0.5%
  • Dominion Diamond Corp has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 19.1%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 24.1%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 210 in FY2016, 168 in FY2015, 122 in FY2014, 56.5 in FY2013, 45.2 in FY2012
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is at 0.5%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Dominion Diamond Corp ($DDC) key annual financial indicators

mln. $201220132014201520162016/2015
P&L
Revenue290.1345.4751.9915.8720.6-21.3%
Gross Profit62.277.8101.1233.151.6-77.8%
SG&A24.630.247.130.541.535.8%
EBITDA116.3127.9191.7393.3199.4-49.3%
Net Income25.534.7479.767.1-34.0-150.6%
Balance Sheet
Cash78.1104.3224.8457.9320.0-30.1%
Short Term Debt29.251.50.811.321.893.2%
Long Term Debt270.54.83.534.011.9-64.9%
Cash flow
Capex45.256.5122.3168.3210.325.0%
Ratios
Revenue growth-53.5%19.1%117.7%21.8%-21.3%
EBITDA growth-20.0%10.0%49.8%105.1%-49.3%
Gross Margin21.4%22.5%13.4%25.5%7.2%-18.3%
EBITDA Margin40.1%37.0%25.5%42.9%27.7%-15.3%
Net Income Margin8.8%10.0%63.8%7.3%-4.7%-12.0%
SG&A, % of revenue8.5%8.7%6.3%3.3%5.8%2.4%
CAPEX, % of revenue15.6%16.4%16.3%18.4%29.2%10.8%
ROIC2.8%3.9%3.6%11.1%0.5%-10.6%
ROE3.3%4.3%44.9%5.0%-2.6%-7.6%
Net Debt/EBITDA1.9x-0.4x-1.2x-1.0x-1.4x-0.4x


Dominion Diamond Corp ($DDC) key quoterly financial indicators

mln. $FY16Q1FY16Q2FY16Q3FY16Q4YoY change
P&L
Revenue1882101451787.0%-24.4%-34.8%-26.0%
EBITDA57615123-18.4%-44.2%-55.4%-76.3%
Net Income12-187-35-18.4%-168.3%-71.9%
Balance Sheet
Cash36834432832073.1%28.5%13.7%-30.1%
Short Term Debt112222221,282.5%2,494.4%2,530.5%93.2%
Long Term Debt34232312912.3%629.7%-49.4%-64.9%
Ratios
Gross Margin12.9%10.8%12.7%-7.7%-8.7%-9.4%-21.2%-33.4%
EBITDA Margin 30.2% 29.2% 35.4% 12.8%-9.4%-10.4%-16.4%-27.3%
Net Income Margin 6.4% -8.7% 4.9% -19.6%-2.0%-18.3%-6.5%-18.7%

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue dropped on 21.3%. Revenue decline showed acceleration in FY16Q4 - it was 26.0% YoY. Revenue decline was accompanies by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin dropped on 15.3 pp from 42.9% to 27.7% in FY2016.

Gross Margin dropped on 18.3 pp from 25.5% to 7.2% in FY2016. SG&A as a % of Revenue increased on 2.4 pp from 3.3% to 5.8% in FY2016.

Net Income marign dropped on 12.0 pp from 7.3% to -4.7% in FY2016.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


The company's CAPEX/Revenue was 29.2% in FY2016. Dominion Diamond Corp showed fast CAPEX/Revenue growth of 12.8 pp from 16.4% in FY2013 to 29.2% in FY2016. It's average level of CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 21.3%.Dominion Diamond Corp has spent a lot to CAPEX (105% of EBITDA) which didn't stop revenue from falling.

Return on investment


The company operates at low but positive ROIC (0.45%) and negative ROE (-2.57%). ROIC dropped on 10.6 pp from 11.1% to 0.45% in FY2016. ROE decreased on 7.6 pp from 5.0% to -2.6% in FY2016.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is -1.4x and Debt / EBITDA is 0.2x. Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 0.4x from -1.0x to -1.4x in FY2016. Debt dropped on 25.4% while cash dropped on 30.1%.

Management team


The company's CEO is Brendan Bell. Brendan Bell is a founder and has 4 years tenure at the company.

Appendix 1: Peers in Basic Materials


Below you can find Dominion Diamond Corp benchmarking vs. other companies in Basic Materials industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Golden Minerals Co ($AUM)1,320.8%-59.1%-97.8%3,334.5%
Marlin Gold Mining Ltd ($MLN)835.4%
Mangazeya Mining Ltd ($MGZ.H)-22.8%-36.5%230.1%
Osisko Gold Royalties Ltd ($OR)164.4%
HudBay Minerals Inc ($HBM)-22.0%-28.6%-8.4%92.8%
 
Median (117 companies)5.5%-3.5%1.8%-4.6%-16.5%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Nevsun Resources Ltd ($NSU)89.9%94.8%95.5%82.3%
Labrador Iron Ore Royalty Corp ($LIF)80.2%80.2%80.2%80.3%
Lucara Diamond Corp ($LUC)42.5%57.4%66.7%60.9%
Trevali Mining Corp ($TV)49.0%59.3%
Mangazeya Mining Ltd ($MGZ.H)55.4%28.0%32.6%55.1%
 
Median (112 companies)32.1%21.8%18.0%15.8%16.4%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Labrador Iron Ore Royalty Corp ($LIF)72.8%
Silver Wheaton Corp ($SLW)82.6%75.3%69.6%65.8%
Franco-Nevada Corp ($FNV)62.1%44.6%72.3%60.8%
Lucara Diamond Corp ($LUC)7.6%57.3%57.5%60.0%
Sandstorm Gold Ltd ($SSL)74.3%49.9%62.1%56.5%
 
Median (118 companies)18.6%10.8%10.6%5.3%-29.8%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Largo Resources Ltd ($LGO)567.6%
Sandstorm Gold Ltd ($SSL)152.1%118.8%49.4%412.7%
Silver Wheaton Corp ($SLW)75.5%286.8%22.5%279.2%
Franco-Nevada Corp ($FNV)3.7%35.5%201.6%230.0%
Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd ($ASM)211.7%5.6%89.8%163.3%
 
Median (118 companies)28.3%27.4%17.4%17.2%27.0%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Lucara Diamond Corp ($LUC)-2.9%41.3%54.7%39.6%
Canfor Pulp Products Inc ($CFX)4.9%13.2%21.3%24.1%
Supremex Inc ($SXP)14.1%18.5%16.5%23.4%
Mangazeya Mining Ltd ($MGZ.H)-3.0%-5.0%23.0%
Claude Resources Inc ($CRJ)4.5%-5.6%3.6%19.3%
 
Median (120 companies)4.7%-0.2%0.8%-4.9%-6.7%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Imperial Metals Corp ($III)1.5x4.9x12.9x67.5x
Copper Mountain Mining Corp ($CUM)3.9x5.0x5.4x30.6x
Resolute Forest Products Inc ($RFP)1.3x1.1x3.8x29.6x
Mangazeya Mining Ltd ($MGZ.H)11.4x19.7x
Fortress Paper Ltd ($FTP)18.8x
 
Median (69 companies)0.3x0.9x1.0x1.6x