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Toro Oil & Gas Ltd revenue returned to growth in 2015: increased 113% vs. 35.6% decline a year earliner

01.04.2016 • About Toro Oil & Gas Ltd ($TOO) • By InTwits

Toro Oil & Gas Ltd reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Toro Oil & Gas Ltd doesn't have a profitable business model yet: 2015 ROIC is -43.8%
  • The company operates at negative EBITDA Margin: -87.7%
  • Toro Oil & Gas Ltd spends a lot for Stock Based Compensation (SBC): average SBC/Revenue for 2011-2015 is 0.0%. Average EBITDA Margin for the same period was -17.6%0
  • Toro Oil & Gas Ltd has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 297.3%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 65.1%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 24.5 in 2015, 30.1 in 2014, 2.3 in 2013, 8.4 in 2012, 9.3 in 2011
  • The company has unprofitable business model: ROIC is at -43.8%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Toro Oil & Gas Ltd ($TOO) key annual financial indicators

mln. CAD201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue4.8476.0705.7923.7287.956113.4%
Gross Profit-16.224-3.778-0.238-18.8921.218-106.4%
SG&A3.826
EBITDA0.4241.9081.628-1.968-6.980254.7%
Net Income-19.509-4.886-2.694-23.467-11.589-50.6%
Balance Sheet
Cash2.1120.1320.0762.9010.050-98.3%
Short Term Debt0.0003.8394.7484.2750.936-78.1%
Long Term Debt0.0000.0000.0000.0000.000
Cash flow
Capex9.3268.4372.26930.14624.457-18.9%
Ratios
Revenue growth-14.3%25.2%-4.6%-35.6%113.4%
EBITDA growth507.1%349.9%-14.7%-220.9%254.7%
Gross Margin-334.7%-62.2%-4.1%-506.8%15.3%522.1%
EBITDA Margin8.7%31.4%28.1%-52.8%-87.7%-34.9%
Net Income Margin-402.5%-80.5%-46.5%-629.6%-145.7%483.9%
SG&A, % of revenue48.1%48.1%
CAPEX, % of revenue192.4%139.0%39.2%808.7%307.4%-501.3%
ROIC-82.5%-40.1%-16.6%-111.2%-43.8%67.4%
ROE-80.4%-32.1%-21.4%-147.4%-47.9%99.5%
Net Debt/EBITDA-5.0x1.9x2.9x0.0x

Revenue and profitability


Toro Oil & Gas Ltd's Revenue surged on 113% in 2015. Revenue growth was financed by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin dropped on 34.9 pp from -52.8% to -87.7% in 2015.

Gross Margin jumped on 522 pp from -507% to 15.3% in 2015.

Net Income marign surged on 484 pp from -630% to -146% in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


Toro Oil & Gas Ltd's CAPEX/Revenue was 307% in 2015. Toro Oil & Gas Ltd's CAPEX/Revenue surged on 168 pp from 139% in 2012 to 307% in 2015. It's average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 385%.

Return on investment


The company operates at negative ROIC (-43.75%) and ROE (-47.87%). ROIC surged on 67.4 pp from -111% to -43.8% in 2015. ROE jumped on 99.5 pp from -147% to -47.9% in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 0.7x Net Debt / EBITDA and Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA didn't change in 2015. Debt dropped on 78.1% in 2015 while cash dropped on 98.3% in 2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Energy


Below we provide Toro Oil & Gas Ltd benchmarking against other companies in Energy industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
ONEnergy Inc ($OEG)6,002.6%231.5%
Seven Generations Energy Ltd ($VII)115.7%340.2%39.0%
Crown Point Energy Inc ($CWV)177.6%110.5%-34.4%38.3%
Oando Energy Resources Inc ($OER)-5.9%200.1%34.7%
High Arctic Energy Services Inc ($HWO)14.9%4.4%12.5%22.2%
 
Median (138 companies)59.3%9.4%17.4%19.0%-29.5%
Toro Oil & Gas Ltd ($TOO)25.2%-4.6%-35.6%113.4%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Americas Petrogas Inc ($BOE)77.1%43.3%-34.3%121.1%
TransAlta Renewables Inc ($RNW)94.4%94.5%94.5%
Serinus Energy Inc ($SEN)80.4%80.5%76.5%86.8%88.5%
Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd ($AAV)70.5%62.0%84.5%92.5%88.5%
Polaris Infrastructure Inc ($PIF)58.4%39.9%33.6%32.0%86.7%
 
Median (125 companies)34.2%29.3%31.6%29.6%33.6%
Toro Oil & Gas Ltd ($TOO)-334.7%-62.2%-4.1%-506.8%15.3%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Granite Oil Corp ($GXO)9.2%59.4%64.5%70.8%201.9%
Perpetual Energy Inc ($PMT)26.1%35.5%70.7%58.0%110.3%
Petro Rio SA ($PRJ)-4,925.5%-4,809.7%-6,899.7%28.2%90.7%
Peyto Exploration & Development Corp ($PEY)83.6%86.1%83.2%86.3%84.6%
Innergex Renewable Energy Inc ($INE)109.4%111.8%110.0%82.9%83.4%
 
Median (140 companies)25.7%24.2%31.5%29.7%6.3%
Toro Oil & Gas Ltd ($TOO)8.7%31.4%28.1%-52.8%-87.7%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Primeline Energy Holdings Inc ($PEH)1,091.8%
Oryx Petroleum Corp Ltd ($OXC)1,997.8%712.8%
WesternZagros Resources Ltd ($WZR)385.6%
Athabasca Oil Corp ($ATH)176.2%2,426.4%596.6%504.7%315.2%
TORC Oil & Gas Ltd ($TOG)6,833.4%453.8%466.9%104.5%229.4%
 
Median (141 companies)42.6%48.7%39.2%48.6%29.5%
Toro Oil & Gas Ltd ($TOO)192.4%139.0%39.2%808.7%307.4%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Granite Oil Corp ($GXO)-10.9%4.4%10.8%16.1%37.7%
High Arctic Energy Services Inc ($HWO)27.0%31.4%26.3%24.9%24.2%
Petro Rio SA ($PRJ)-15.5%-9.6%-12.7%-3.5%19.4%
Perpetual Energy Inc ($PMT)-10.6%-10.1%9.1%10.4%16.1%
TransAtlantic Petroleum Ltd ($TNP)-12.1%3.5%1.1%5.4%15.5%
 
Median (141 companies)4.5%3.1%4.7%5.3%-8.5%
Toro Oil & Gas Ltd ($TOO)-82.5%-40.1%-16.6%-111.2%-43.8%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Veresen Inc ($VSN)22.3x16.2x14.7x30.3x7.4x
Lightstream Resources Ltd ($LTS)2.0x27.8x
Petroshale Inc ($PSH)0.1x21.7x
Connacher Oil and Gas Ltd ($CLC)9.7x16.7x8.8x17.1x
Pengrowth Energy Corp ($PGF)1.5x2.9x2.1x16.8x
 
Median (139 companies)1.2x1.6x1.5x1.4x2.6x