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Dollarama Inc reports 30.4% Net Income growth and 13.7% Revenue growth

30.03.2016 • About Dollarama Inc ($DOL) • By InTwits

Dollarama Inc reported FY2016 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Dollarama Inc is a growth stock: FY2016 revenue growth was 13.7%, 5 year revenue CAGR was 13.3% at FY2016 ROIC 36.4%
  • EBITDA Margin is expanding: 22.5% in FY2016 vs. 19.8% in FY2015 vs. 18.5% in FY2012
  • Dollarama Inc has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 3.6%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 4.9%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 567 in 2016, 706 in 2015, 787 in 2014, 340 in 2013, 166 in 2012
  • The company has highly profitable business model: ROIC is at 36.4%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Dollarama Inc ($DOL) key annual financial indicators

mln. CAD201220132014201520162016/2015
P&L
Revenue1,6031,8592,0652,3312,65013.7%
Gross Profit6006957668601,03320.2%
SG&A3053403633994369.3%
EBITDA29635540246159729.6%
Net Income17322125029538530.4%
Balance Sheet
Cash705371405947.2%
Short Term Debt1413447.4%
Long Term Debt25826239856292163.8%
Cash flow
Capex537096748312.3%
Ratios
Revenue growth12.9%16.0%11.1%12.9%13.7%
EBITDA growth25.7%19.8%13.3%14.5%29.6%
Gross Margin37.5%37.4%37.1%36.9%39.0%2.1%
EBITDA Margin18.5%19.1%19.5%19.8%22.5%2.8%
Net Income Margin10.8%11.9%12.1%12.7%14.5%1.9%
SG&A, % of revenue19.0%18.3%17.6%17.1%16.4%-0.7%
CAPEX, % of revenue3.3%3.7%4.7%3.2%3.1%-0.0%
ROIC21.6%24.7%26.5%29.9%36.4%6.5%
ROE21.3%24.2%27.9%36.8%63.8%27.0%
Net Debt/EBITDA0.7x0.6x0.8x1.1x1.4x0.3x


Dollarama Inc ($DOL) key quoterly financial indicators

mln. CADFY16Q1FY16Q2FY16Q3FY16Q4YoY change
P&L
Revenue56665366476613.0%14.1%13.0%14.6%
EBITDA10614715519022.9%35.3%34.8%25.5%
Net Income659510012521.7%38.6%37.1%24.5%
Balance Sheet
Cash6454755971.2%93.4%221.9%47.2%
Short Term Debt74742.7%-23.4%-15.9%7.4%
Long Term Debt67768779292126.0%18.2%31.6%63.8%
Ratios
Gross Margin36.0%38.4%40.0%40.8%0.6%2.3%3.3%2.1%
EBITDA Margin 18.7% 22.5% 23.3% 24.8%1.5%3.5%3.8%2.2%
Net Income Margin 11.4% 14.6% 15.1% 16.3%0.8%2.6%2.6%1.3%

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue jumped on 13.7%. Revenue growth showed acceleration in FY16Q4 - it increased 14.6% YoY. Revenue growth happened at the same time with EBITDA margin expansion. EBITDA Margin increased on 2.8 pp from 19.8% to 22.5% in FY2016.

Gross Margin increased on 2.1 pp from 36.9% to 39.0% in FY2016. SG&A as a % of Revenue decreased slightly on 0.66 pp from 17.1% to 16.4% in FY2016.

Net Income marign increased slightly on 1.9 pp from 12.7% to 14.5% in FY2016.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


Dollarama Inc's CAPEX/Revenue was 3.1% in FY2016. CAPEX/Revenue decreased slightly on 0.60 pp from 3.7% in FY2013 to 3.1% in FY2016. Average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 3.7%.

Return on investment


The company operates at high and attractive ROIC (36.39%) and ROE (63.80%). ROIC increased on 6.5 pp from 29.9% to 36.4% in FY2016. ROE surged on 27.0 pp from 36.8% to 63.8% in FY2016.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 1.4x Net Debt / EBITDA and 1.5x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA jumped on 0.3x from 1.1x to 1.4x in FY2016. Debt surged on 63.4% while cash jumped on 47.2%.

Appendix 1: Peers in Consumer, Cyclical


Below we provide Dollarama Inc benchmarking against other companies in Consumer, Cyclical industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Poydras Gaming Finance Corp ($PYD)539.9%
Restaurant Brands International Inc ($QSR)4.6%238.0%
Amaya Inc ($AYA)311.5%85.2%254.0%113.8%
NYX Gaming Group Ltd ($NYX)65.2%52.8%45.8%91.8%
Rainmaker Entertainment Inc ($RNK)-24.6%-45.0%30.1%56.4%
 
Median (49 companies)5.3%4.9%7.8%8.6%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
NYX Gaming Group Ltd ($NYX)91.3%86.7%88.3%85.6%
DEQ Systems Corp ($DEQ)77.5%78.4%84.7%82.7%
Second Cup Ltd/The ($SCU)86.6%85.1%72.7%81.1%
New Look Vision Group Inc ($BCI)71.8%72.6%72.6%78.7%
Cara Operations Ltd ($CAO)79.2%78.9%78.4%
 
Median (42 companies)34.1%31.8%31.9%30.6%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Westshore Terminals Investment Corp ($WTE)49.7%65.9%60.9%59.6%
Gamehost Inc ($GH)46.1%45.7%45.9%42.8%
Great Canadian Gaming Corp ($GC)16.8%41.1%40.1%36.6%
Restaurant Brands International Inc ($QSR)51.1%20.8%33.9%
Cara Operations Ltd ($CAO)9.6%22.6%32.6%
 
Median (46 companies)7.5%9.7%10.2%9.0%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Holloway Lodging Corp ($HLC)8.2%6.7%14.8%26.7%
WestJet Airlines Ltd ($WJA)7.9%19.5%18.6%22.5%
Westshore Terminals Investment Corp ($WTE)25.7%11.5%6.2%21.2%
Exchange Income Corp ($EIF)7.9%15.8%15.5%15.4%
Chorus Aviation Inc ($CHR.A)9.9%9.6%3.9%15.0%
 
Median (49 companies)2.7%3.1%3.4%2.8%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Partner Jet Corp ($PJT)-51.6%-50.8%85.1%51.1%
Westshore Terminals Investment Corp ($WTE)24.0%37.8%35.0%38.3%
Cara Operations Ltd ($CAO)24.7%35.1%
Air Canada ($AC)37.0%23.2%28.4%
BMTC Group Inc ($GBT)33.0%32.5%25.2%25.2%
 
Median (49 companies)9.2%9.7%9.9%7.7%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Poydras Gaming Finance Corp ($PYD)39.7x
Mountain China Resorts Holding Ltd ($MCG)317.1x29.0x
Rainmaker Entertainment Inc ($RNK)18.6x
Holloway Lodging Corp ($HLC)5.8x8.4x17.1x
AutoCanada Inc ($ACQ)4.2x4.7x6.4x8.0x
 
Median (38 companies)1.6x2.0x2.4x2.7x