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AgJunction Inc reports 573% EBITDA decline and 12.9% Revenue decline

28.03.2016 • About AgJunction Inc ($AJX) • By InTwits

AgJunction Inc reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • AgJunction Inc is a company in decline: 2015 revenue growth was -12.9%, 5 years revenue CAGR was -7.0%
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: -10.8% in 2015, 2.0% in 2014, 7.7% in 2013, 3.6% in 2012, 9.7% in 2011
  • AgJunction Inc has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 1.0%.
  • The company has unprofitable business model: ROIC is at -12.4%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 0.9x while industry average is 0.1x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

AgJunction Inc ($AJX) key annual financial indicators

mln. $201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue52.75255.43258.22044.81039.048-12.9%
Gross Profit25.35324.48625.50720.30814.828-27.0%
SG&A15.98314.00413.92213.836-0.6%
EBITDA5.1121.9914.5040.895-4.236-573.3%
Net Income-1.537-34.5985.176-16.657-9.139-45.1%
Balance Sheet
Cash6.7212.6462.04411.22413.04816.3%
Short Term Debt0.1102.2430.0200.0140.001-91.7%
Long Term Debt0.0520.0000.0180.0010.000-100.0%
Cash flow
Capex0.5830.6460.5150.2780.41348.4%
Ratios
Revenue growth-5.8%5.1%5.0%-23.0%-12.9%
EBITDA growth-252.8%-61.0%126.2%-80.1%-573.3%
Gross Margin48.1%44.2%43.8%45.3%38.0%-7.3%
EBITDA Margin9.7%3.6%7.7%2.0%-10.8%-12.8%
Net Income Margin-2.9%-62.4%8.9%-37.2%-23.4%13.8%
SG&A, % of revenue28.8%24.1%31.1%35.4%4.4%
CAPEX, % of revenue1.1%1.2%0.9%0.6%1.1%0.4%
ROIC3.8%-1.9%5.3%-1.5%-12.4%-10.8%
ROE-2.1%-55.4%10.1%-36.1%-19.9%16.2%
Net Debt/EBITDA-1.3x-0.2x-0.4x-12.5x12.5x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue dropped on 12.9% in 2015. Revenue decline was accompanies by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin dropped on 12.8 pp from 2.0% to -10.8% in 2015.

Gross Margin decreased on 7.3 pp from 45.3% to 38.0% in 2015. SG&A as a % of Revenue increased on 4.4 pp from 31.1% to 35.4% in 2015.

Net Income marign jumped on 13.8 pp from -37.2% to -23.4% in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


AgJunction Inc's CAPEX/Revenue was 1.1% in 2015. AgJunction Inc's CAPEX/Revenue showed almost no change from 2012 to 2015. It's average level of CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 0.85%.

Return on investment


The company operates at negative ROIC (-12.37%) and ROE (-19.90%). ROIC dropped on 10.8 pp from -1.5% to -12.4% in 2015. ROE jumped on 16.2 pp from -36.1% to -19.9% in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 0.9x Net Debt / EBITDA and Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA surged on 12.5x from -12.5x to in 2015. Debt dropped on 92.3% in 2015 while cash jumped on 16.3% in 2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Communications


Below we provide AgJunction Inc benchmarking against other companies in Communications industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Intertain Group Ltd/The ($IT)842.9%
DragonWave Inc ($DWI)-61.3%171.3%-27.3%75.3%
Blackline Safety Corp ($BLN)37.1%9.4%45.1%73.8%
NeuLion Inc ($NLN)-1.7%20.8%17.9%69.4%
TVA Group Inc ($TVA.B)1.7%-1.8%-1.2%34.3%
 
Median (44 companies)10.2%3.8%1.9%2.5%3.2%
AgJunction Inc ($AJX)5.1%5.0%-23.0%-12.9%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Wanted Technologies Corp ($WAN)86.6%90.5%93.2%94.3%95.6%
CounterPath Corp ($CCV)74.1%80.0%85.1%80.9%81.5%
NeuLion Inc ($NLN)45.2%53.6%63.8%70.2%81.1%
Mediagrif Interactive Technologies Inc ($MDF)78.2%79.8%79.8%78.8%80.1%
TeraGo Inc ($TGO)65.0%62.9%61.8%59.8%77.2%
 
Median (34 companies)43.2%43.0%42.6%41.9%49.9%
AgJunction Inc ($AJX)48.1%44.2%43.8%45.3%38.0%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Cogeco Cable Inc ($CCA)45.8%46.0%44.9%43.8%46.2%
Shaw Communications Inc ($SJR.B)43.3%42.7%43.3%42.1%44.6%
Cogeco Inc ($CGO)28.1%43.2%43.5%43.3%44.3%
Manitoba Telecom Services Inc ($MBT)33.7%34.3%33.7%47.4%42.3%
Mediagrif Interactive Technologies Inc ($MDF)32.0%32.5%41.3%37.2%39.0%
 
Median (43 companies)14.4%14.6%14.6%12.6%15.0%
AgJunction Inc ($AJX)9.7%3.6%7.7%2.0%-10.8%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Axia NetMedia Corp ($AXX)10.7%30.8%27.2%27.0%36.2%
Manitoba Telecom Services Inc ($MBT)16.3%19.8%18.1%22.4%22.9%
Shaw Communications Inc ($SJR.B)17.4%18.2%18.2%19.7%22.2%
Cogeco Cable Inc ($CCA)24.6%28.1%23.0%20.6%20.7%
TELUS Corp ($T)18.0%17.9%17.8%19.8%20.2%
 
Median (43 companies)4.3%2.3%3.2%2.2%2.3%
AgJunction Inc ($AJX)1.1%1.2%0.9%0.6%1.1%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Tucows Inc ($TC)12.8%17.7%22.5%35.4%51.4%
Points International Ltd ($PTS)20.7%14.9%15.0%21.2%18.8%
RDM Corp ($RC)-2.3%3.5%7.8%11.0%14.7%
Vecima Networks Inc ($VCM)-0.6%11.7%6.4%11.4%14.5%
Norsat International Inc ($NII)3.1%10.9%1.4%13.7%13.8%
 
Median (44 companies)7.2%8.6%8.7%8.3%3.8%
AgJunction Inc ($AJX)3.8%-1.9%5.3%-1.5%-12.4%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Intertain Group Ltd/The ($IT)9.4x
MDC Partners Inc ($MDZ.A)7.3x12.4x112.6x4.6x5.5x
Quebecor Inc ($QBR.B)2.0x3.7x3.9x4.2x4.8x
Plaintree Systems Inc ($NPT)0.7x124.2x3.9x
Rogers Communications Inc ($RCI.A)2.2x2.3x2.4x3.2x3.6x
 
Median (34 companies)1.0x1.4x1.3x1.5x1.5x