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Anglo Pacific Group revenue returned to growth in 2015: increased 149% vs. 76.4% decline a year earliner

23.03.2016 • About Anglo Pacific Group ($APY) • By InTwits

Anglo Pacific Group reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Anglo Pacific Group doesn't have a profitable business model yet: 2015 ROIC is 1.1%
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: 53.7% in 2015, -58.0% in 2014, 77.9% in 2013, 76.2% in 2012, 90.3% in 2011
  • Anglo Pacific Group has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 1.1%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 8.8%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 0 in 2015, 0.19 in 2014, 0.014 in 2013, 0 in 2012, 0.029 in 2011
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is at 1.1%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Anglo Pacific Group ($APY) key annual financial indicators

mln. £201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue34.67915.15714.7313.4818.683149.4%
EBITDA31.30711.54511.478-2.0204.663-330.8%
Net Income36.28011.580-42.497-47.589-22.576-52.6%
Balance Sheet
Cash32.19724.03615.7068.7695.708-34.9%
Short Term Debt0.0000.0000.0000.0000.000
Long Term Debt0.0000.0000.0000.0007.272
Cash flow
Capex0.0290.0000.0140.1880.000-100.0%
Ratios
Revenue growth15.1%-56.3%-2.8%-76.4%149.4%
EBITDA growth16.3%-63.1%-0.6%-117.6%-330.8%
EBITDA Margin90.3%76.2%77.9%-58.0%53.7%111.7%
Net Income Margin104.6%76.4%-288.5%-1,367.1%-260.0%1,107.1%
CAPEX, % of revenue0.1%0.0%0.1%5.4%0.0%-5.4%
ROIC7.9%3.0%3.6%-1.3%1.1%2.3%
ROE11.1%3.8%-16.4%-25.2%-14.0%11.2%
Net Debt/EBITDA-1.0x-2.1x-1.4x0.3x0.3x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue surged on 149% in 2015. Revenue decline was accompanies by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin dropped on 95.7 pp from -17.4% to -113% in FY2015.

Net Income marign surged on 1,107 pp from -1,367% to -260% in 2015.

Return on investment


The company operates at low but positive ROIC (1.07%) and negative ROE (-13.97%). ROIC increased on 2.3 pp from -1.3% to 1.1% in 2015. ROE surged on 11.2 pp from -25.2% to -14.0% in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 0.3x Net Debt / EBITDA and 1.6x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA surged0.3x from to 0.3x in 2015. Debt jumped while cash dropped on 34.9% in 2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Mining


Below you can find Anglo Pacific Group benchmarking vs. other companies in Mining industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Kirkland Lake Gold Inc ($KGI)54.7%-5.1%14.2%26.9%
China Gold International Resources Corp Ltd ($CGG)-9.0%-8.2%22.4%
Centamin ($CEE)25.2%18.2%-6.2%7.6%
Orosur Mining Inc ($OMI)19.0%13.0%-24.1%-18.0%
Caledonia Mining Corp ($CAL)33.6%-16.0%-15.4%-28.3%
 
Median (6 companies)-35.3%22.1%-5.1%-8.2%-5.2%
Anglo Pacific Group ($APY)-56.3%-2.8%-76.4%149.4%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Rambler Metals & Mining ($RAB)50.2%44.7%39.6%52.2%30.6%
China Gold International Resources Corp Ltd ($CGG)37.6%33.7%35.6%18.5%
Caledonia Mining Corp ($CAL)57.6%54.4%45.9%34.7%26.9%
Centamin ($CEE)62.3%60.2%44.9%24.2%18.1%
Minera Irl Ltd ($IRL)47.3%41.0%20.7%22.7%
 
Median (8 companies)47.3%41.0%33.7%23.4%20.6%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
China Gold International Resources Corp Ltd ($CGG)41.7%38.3%47.3%33.7%
Rambler Metals & Mining ($RAB)-26.1%-194.4%29.6%45.1%20.5%
Centamin ($CEE)61.9%61.4%44.9%35.6%30.4%
Orosur Mining Inc ($OMI)29.0%14.8%17.3%27.9%-49.7%
Caledonia Mining Corp ($CAL)49.0%31.9%38.9%27.1%18.3%
 
Median (8 companies)29.0%31.9%29.6%27.5%25.4%
Anglo Pacific Group ($APY)90.3%76.2%77.9%-58.0%53.7%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
China Gold International Resources Corp Ltd ($CGG)64.7%156.1%95.6%81.4%
Kirkland Lake Gold Inc ($KGI)54.9%44.6%72.9%47.7%21.6%
Serabi Gold ($SBI)3,151.4%44.5%
Centamin ($CEE)41.0%55.9%55.8%18.7%14.0%
Orosur Mining Inc ($OMI)34.7%53.8%29.6%14.1%19.7%
 
Median (8 companies)41.0%53.8%29.6%16.4%21.1%
Anglo Pacific Group ($APY)0.1%0.0%0.1%5.4%0.0%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Caledonia Mining Corp ($CAL)61.7%37.6%34.9%18.1%8.4%
Rambler Metals & Mining ($RAB)-1.5%-2.6%3.3%16.7%0.5%
Centamin ($CEE)30.2%24.6%15.7%6.6%4.5%
Orosur Mining Inc ($OMI)22.0%3.8%-1.5%4.5%-84.1%
China Gold International Resources Corp Ltd ($CGG)5.9%4.0%3.0%1.5%
 
Median (8 companies)13.6%6.0%2.4%3.8%3.0%
Anglo Pacific Group ($APY)7.9%3.0%3.6%-1.3%1.1%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
China Gold International Resources Corp Ltd ($CGG)0.2x3.4x4.7x7.3x
Rambler Metals & Mining ($RAB)2.5x0.6x2.4x
Kirkland Lake Gold Inc ($KGI)-1.0x-0.3x3.2x4.1x0.6x
Caledonia Mining Corp ($CAL)-0.3x-1.2x-0.9x-1.6x-1.1x
Centamin ($CEE)-0.8x-0.6x-0.5x-0.7x-1.3x
 
Median (5 companies)-0.6x-0.3x2.5x0.6x0.6x
Anglo Pacific Group ($APY)-1.0x-2.1x-1.4x0.3x