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Twin Butte Energy Ltd EBITDA dropped on 147% in 2015 and EBITDA Margin dropped on 81.8 pp from 51.5% to -30.3%

22.03.2016 • About Twin Butte Energy Ltd ($TBE) • By InTwits

Twin Butte Energy Ltd reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Twin Butte Energy Ltd doesn't have a profitable business model yet: 2015 ROIC is -43.4%
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: -30.3% in 2015, 51.5% in 2014, 39.4% in 2013, 49.0% in 2012, 49.6% in 2011
  • Twin Butte Energy Ltd has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 52.1%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 73.7%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 80.2 in 2015, 144 in 2014, 262 in 2013, 148 in 2012, 70.1 in 2011
  • The company has unprofitable business model: ROIC is at -43.4%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Twin Butte Energy Ltd ($TBE) key annual financial indicators

mln. CAD201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue119.4269.8300.4410.9328.4-20.1%
Gross Profit37.070.625.565.5210.7221.4%
SG&A13.2
EBITDA59.2132.3118.2211.8-99.4-146.9%
Net Income-19.031.5-115.6-57.3-336.9487.6%
Balance Sheet
Cash0.00.00.00.00.0
Short Term Debt0.00.00.00.085.0
Long Term Debt80.2184.3329.8326.8200.3-38.7%
Cash flow
Capex70.1148.4261.8144.180.2-44.3%
Ratios
Revenue growth38.1%125.9%11.3%36.8%-20.1%
EBITDA growth60.0%123.4%-10.6%79.1%-146.9%
Gross Margin31.0%26.2%8.5%16.0%64.2%48.2%
EBITDA Margin49.6%49.0%39.4%51.5%-30.3%-81.8%
Net Income Margin-15.9%11.7%-38.5%-14.0%-102.6%-88.7%
SG&A, % of revenue4.0%4.0%
CAPEX, % of revenue58.7%55.0%87.1%35.1%24.4%-10.6%
ROIC7.7%7.0%-2.1%3.9%-43.4%-47.2%
ROE-10.4%9.7%-23.8%-12.8%-156.1%-143.3%
Net Debt/EBITDA1.4x1.4x2.8x1.5x-1.5x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue dropped on 20.1% in 2015. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin surged on 34.3 pp from -78.0% to -43.7% in 2015.

Gross Margin surged on 48.2 pp from 16.0% to 64.2% in 2015.

Net Income marign dropped on 88.7 pp from -14.0% to -103% in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In 2015 the company had CAPEX/Revenue of 24.4%. CAPEX/Revenue dropped on 30.6 pp from 55.0% in 2012 to 24.4% in 2015. For the last three years the average CAPEX/Revenue was 48.9%.

Return on investment


The company operates at negative ROIC (-43.36%) and ROE (-156.08%). ROIC dropped on 47.2 pp from 3.9% to -43.4% in 2015. ROE dropped on 143 pp from -12.8% to -156% in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 22.4x Net Debt / EBITDA and Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 1.5x from 1.5x to in 2015. Debt dropped on 12.7% in 2015 while cash didn't change in 2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Energy


Below we provide Twin Butte Energy Ltd benchmarking against other companies in Energy industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Petro Rio SA ($PRJ)-36.3%-32.1%-34.9%10,977.1%
ONEnergy Inc ($OEG)6,002.6%
Sterling Resources Ltd ($SLG)-94.8%4,514.9%2,244.4%
Ikkuma Resources Corp ($IKM)22.5%17.0%-4.5%1,231.1%
Spartan Energy Corp ($SPE)16.6%29.9%923.7%-3.7%
 
Median (162 companies)51.2%9.4%17.3%18.5%-27.7%
Twin Butte Energy Ltd ($TBE)125.9%11.3%36.8%-20.1%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
TransAlta Renewables Inc ($RNW)94.4%94.5%94.5%
Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd ($AAV)70.5%62.0%84.5%92.5%88.5%
Freehold Royalties Ltd ($FRU)91.7%90.4%89.0%90.2%86.3%
MEG Energy Corp ($MEG)85.5%86.8%87.4%87.6%84.1%
NXT Energy Solutions Inc ($SFD)-43.2%65.6%36.0%87.3%
 
Median (140 companies)34.3%29.7%31.6%30.3%36.7%
Twin Butte Energy Ltd ($TBE)31.0%26.2%8.5%16.0%64.2%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Seven Generations Energy Ltd ($VII)56.9%54.0%106.0%70.0%
Tourmaline Oil Corp ($TOU)67.4%67.9%80.0%97.6%70.1%
Bonavista Energy Corp ($BNP)63.8%64.6%62.6%91.6%54.5%
Bellatrix Exploration Ltd ($BXE)42.7%58.6%83.6%89.6%-115.8%
Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd ($AAV)-4.0%5.2%66.1%87.8%81.8%
 
Median (161 companies)25.5%24.6%31.1%29.6%8.1%
Twin Butte Energy Ltd ($TBE)49.6%49.0%39.4%51.5%-30.3%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Oryx Petroleum Corp Ltd ($OXC)1,997.8%712.8%
Petroshale Inc ($PSH)30.6%346.6%865.9%
Toro Oil & Gas Ltd ($TOO)192.4%139.0%39.2%808.7%
Athabasca Oil Corp ($ATH)176.2%2,426.4%596.6%504.7%315.2%
BNK Petroleum Inc ($BKX)139.2%195.8%789.1%316.6%52.8%
 
Median (164 companies)42.0%50.0%39.2%48.9%31.9%
Twin Butte Energy Ltd ($TBE)58.7%55.0%87.1%35.1%24.4%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Pason Systems Inc ($PSI)33.5%30.0%29.7%41.0%6.0%
Sea Dragon Energy Inc ($SDX)-10.1%8.1%21.8%32.9%
Raging River Exploration Inc ($RRX)29.1%6.2%
High Arctic Energy Services Inc ($HWO)27.0%31.4%26.3%24.9%24.2%
Rooster Energy Ltd ($COQ)22.9%
 
Median (167 companies)4.4%3.0%4.6%5.3%-8.0%
Twin Butte Energy Ltd ($TBE)7.7%7.0%-2.1%3.9%-43.4%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Veresen Inc ($VSN)22.3x16.2x14.7x30.3x7.4x
Lightstream Resources Ltd ($LTS)2.0x27.8x
Petroshale Inc ($PSH)0.1x21.7x
Connacher Oil and Gas Ltd ($CLC)9.7x16.7x8.8x17.1x
Pengrowth Energy Corp ($PGF)1.5x2.9x2.1x16.8x
 
Median (138 companies)1.2x1.6x1.5x1.3x2.9x
Twin Butte Energy Ltd ($TBE)1.4x1.4x2.8x1.5x