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Granite Oil Corp EBITDA Margin jumped on 131 pp from 70.8% to 202% in 2015 while Revenue dropped on 54.0%

21.03.2016 • About Granite Oil Corp ($GXO) • By InTwits

Granite Oil Corp reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • EBITDA Margin is expanding: 201.9% in 2015 vs. 70.8% in 2014 vs. 9.2% in 2011
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: 201.9% in 2015, 70.8% in 2014, 64.5% in 2013, 59.4% in 2012, 9.2% in 2011
  • Granite Oil Corp has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 150.1%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 73.8%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 64.9 in 2015, 274 in 2014, 200 in 2013, 137 in 2012, 61.6 in 2011
  • The company has highly profitable business model: ROIC is at 37.7%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Granite Oil Corp ($GXO) key annual financial indicators

mln. CAD201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue26.769.4137.6234.7107.9-54.0%
Gross Profit11.838.254.9105.940.2-62.0%
SG&A4.8
EBITDA2.541.288.8166.2217.831.1%
Net Income-12.67.218.076.2150.297.0%
Balance Sheet
Cash0.00.00.00.00.0
Short Term Debt8.563.188.40.037.0
Long Term Debt0.00.00.0139.20.0-100.0%
Cash flow
Capex61.6137.3200.2274.064.9-76.3%
Ratios
Revenue growth341.2%160.2%98.2%70.5%-54.0%
EBITDA growth101.2%1,571.5%115.3%87.2%31.1%
Gross Margin44.2%55.0%39.9%45.1%37.3%-7.8%
EBITDA Margin9.2%59.4%64.5%70.8%201.9%131.1%
Net Income Margin-47.1%10.3%13.1%32.5%139.3%106.8%
SG&A, % of revenue4.5%4.5%
CAPEX, % of revenue230.7%197.7%145.4%116.7%60.2%-56.6%
ROIC-10.9%4.4%10.8%16.1%37.7%21.6%
ROE-11.3%3.8%6.9%19.7%44.5%24.8%
Net Debt/EBITDA3.5x1.5x1.0x0.8x0.2x-0.7x

Revenue and profitability


Granite Oil Corp's Revenue dropped on 54.0% in 2015. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin surged on 131 pp from 70.8% to 202% in 2015.

Gross Margin decreased on 7.8 pp from 45.1% to 37.3% in 2015.

Net Income marign surged on 107 pp from 32.5% to 139% in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In 2015 Granite Oil Corp had CAPEX/Revenue of 60.2%. The company's CAPEX/Revenue dropped on 138 pp from 198% in 2012 to 60.2% in 2015. Average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 107%.

Return on investment


The company operates at high and attractive ROIC (37.70%) and ROE (44.52%). ROIC jumped on 21.6 pp from 16.1% to 37.7% in 2015. ROE surged on 24.8 pp from 19.7% to 44.5% in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 0.2x Net Debt / EBITDA and 0.2x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 0.7x from 0.8x to 0.2x in 2015. Debt dropped on 73.4% in 2015 while cash didn't change in 2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Energy


Below you can find Granite Oil Corp benchmarking vs. other companies in Energy industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Petro Rio SA ($PRJ)-36.3%-32.1%-34.9%10,977.1%
ONEnergy Inc ($OEG)6,002.6%
Sterling Resources Ltd ($SLG)-94.8%4,514.9%2,244.4%
Ikkuma Resources Corp ($IKM)22.5%17.0%-4.5%1,231.1%
Spartan Energy Corp ($SPE)16.6%29.9%923.7%-3.7%
 
Median (162 companies)43.4%9.4%17.1%18.5%-27.6%
Granite Oil Corp ($GXO)160.2%98.2%70.5%-54.0%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
TransAlta Renewables Inc ($RNW)94.4%94.5%94.5%
Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd ($AAV)70.5%62.0%84.5%92.5%88.5%
Freehold Royalties Ltd ($FRU)91.7%90.4%89.0%90.2%86.3%
MEG Energy Corp ($MEG)85.5%86.8%87.4%87.6%84.1%
NXT Energy Solutions Inc ($SFD)-43.2%65.6%36.0%87.3%
 
Median (140 companies)34.0%29.3%31.5%29.6%36.2%
Granite Oil Corp ($GXO)44.2%55.0%39.9%45.1%37.3%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Seven Generations Energy Ltd ($VII)56.9%54.0%106.0%70.0%
Tourmaline Oil Corp ($TOU)67.4%67.9%80.0%97.6%70.1%
Bonavista Energy Corp ($BNP)63.8%64.6%62.6%91.6%54.5%
Bellatrix Exploration Ltd ($BXE)42.7%58.6%83.6%89.6%-115.8%
Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd ($AAV)-4.0%5.2%66.1%87.8%81.8%
 
Median (161 companies)25.8%24.6%31.1%29.6%7.9%
Granite Oil Corp ($GXO)9.2%59.4%64.5%70.8%201.9%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Oryx Petroleum Corp Ltd ($OXC)1,997.8%712.8%
Petroshale Inc ($PSH)30.6%346.6%865.9%
Toro Oil & Gas Ltd ($TOO)192.4%139.0%39.2%808.7%
Athabasca Oil Corp ($ATH)176.2%2,426.4%596.6%504.7%315.2%
BNK Petroleum Inc ($BKX)139.2%195.8%789.1%316.6%52.8%
 
Median (164 companies)42.0%50.0%39.2%48.8%31.6%
Granite Oil Corp ($GXO)230.7%197.7%145.4%116.7%60.2%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Pason Systems Inc ($PSI)33.5%30.0%29.7%41.0%6.0%
Sea Dragon Energy Inc ($SDX)-10.1%8.1%21.8%32.9%
Raging River Exploration Inc ($RRX)29.1%6.2%
High Arctic Energy Services Inc ($HWO)27.0%31.4%26.3%24.9%24.2%
Rooster Energy Ltd ($COQ)22.9%
 
Median (167 companies)4.5%3.0%4.5%5.1%-8.2%
Granite Oil Corp ($GXO)-10.9%4.4%10.8%16.1%37.7%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Veresen Inc ($VSN)22.3x16.2x14.7x30.3x7.4x
Lightstream Resources Ltd ($LTS)2.0x27.8x
Petroshale Inc ($PSH)0.1x21.7x
Connacher Oil and Gas Ltd ($CLC)9.7x16.7x8.8x17.1x
Pengrowth Energy Corp ($PGF)1.5x2.9x2.1x16.8x
 
Median (138 companies)1.2x1.6x1.5x1.4x3.0x
Granite Oil Corp ($GXO)3.5x1.5x1.0x0.8x0.2x