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Aston Hill Financial Inc EBITDA dropped on 128% in 2015 and Revenue dropped on 23.8%

21.03.2016 • About Aston Hill Financial Inc ($AHF) • By InTwits

Aston Hill Financial Inc reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Aston Hill Financial Inc doesn't have a profitable business model yet: 2015 ROIC is -5.9%
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: -8.4% in 2015, 22.9% in 2014, 23.1% in 2013, 17.4% in 2012, 24.9% in 2011
  • Aston Hill Financial Inc has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 1.7%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 7.6%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 0.15 in 2015, 0.26 in 2014, 0.15 in 2013, 1.4 in 2012, 0.24 in 2011
  • The company has unprofitable business model: ROIC is at -5.9%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Aston Hill Financial Inc ($AHF) key annual financial indicators

mln. CAD201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue18.17924.57135.56247.32936.050-23.8%
SG&A8.990
EBITDA4.5344.2738.22810.855-3.040-128.0%
Net Income1.326-0.5830.8651.480-14.976-1,111.9%
Balance Sheet
Cash7.4151.7275.83012.2093.255-73.3%
Short Term Debt2.5001.3960.3050.0000.000
Long Term Debt34.30934.87036.42838.09826.114-31.5%
Cash flow
Capex0.2431.4340.1510.2620.150-42.7%
Ratios
Revenue growth94.5%35.2%44.7%33.1%-23.8%
EBITDA growth118.7%-5.8%92.6%31.9%-128.0%
EBITDA Margin24.9%17.4%23.1%22.9%-8.4%-31.4%
Net Income Margin7.3%-2.4%2.4%3.1%-41.5%-44.7%
SG&A, % of revenue24.9%24.9%
CAPEX, % of revenue1.3%5.8%0.4%0.6%0.4%-0.1%
ROIC10.3%5.5%8.7%10.6%-5.9%-16.4%
ROE7.1%-2.9%3.0%3.9%-48.5%-52.4%
Net Debt/EBITDA6.5x8.1x3.8x2.4x-2.4x

Revenue and profitability


Aston Hill Financial Inc's Revenue dropped on 23.8% in 2015. Revenue decline was worsened by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin dropped on 31.4 pp from 22.9% to -8.4% in 2015.

Net Income marign dropped on 44.7 pp from 3.1% to -41.5% in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In 2015 the company had CAPEX/Revenue of 0.42%. CAPEX/Revenue decreased on 5.4 pp from 5.8% in 2012 to 0.42% in 2015. It's average level of CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 0.46%.

Return on investment


The company operates at negative ROIC (-5.86%) and ROE (-48.49%). ROIC dropped on 16.4 pp from 10.6% to -5.9% in 2015. ROE dropped on 52.4 pp from 3.9% to -48.5% in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is -0.8x Net Debt / EBITDA and Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 2.4x from 2.4x to in 2015. Debt dropped on 31.5% in 2015 while cash dropped on 73.3% in 2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Financial


Below you can find Aston Hill Financial Inc benchmarking vs. other companies in Financial industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Mogo Finance Technology Inc ($GO)13.7%34.6%86.0%
Morguard Corp ($MRC)5.3%27.2%9.2%58.8%
Chesswood Group Ltd ($CHW)12.2%9.4%-47.4%53.7%
Element Financial Corp ($EFN)206.6%189.1%47.2%
Clairvest Group Inc ($CVG)16.4%37.9%25.9%36.7%
 
Median (61 companies)25.2%8.5%7.2%8.9%1.6%
Aston Hill Financial Inc ($AHF)35.2%44.7%33.1%-23.8%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Olympia Financial Group Inc ($OLY)85.3%80.9%82.6%83.2%84.5%
Morguard Corp ($MRC)74.8%74.0%69.9%68.6%76.5%
Mogo Finance Technology Inc ($GO)70.4%64.5%63.4%62.3%
DealNet Capital Corp ($DLS)14.9%36.7%45.6%
Brookfield Asset Management Inc ($BAM.A)34.3%25.6%30.7%28.6%27.5%
 
Median (12 companies)25.2%25.0%26.2%24.2%31.0%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Equitable Group Inc ($EQB)89.7%88.1%87.4%86.0%84.7%
Atrium Mortgage Investment Corp ($AI)84.5%79.8%81.9%
Trez Capital Mortgage Investment Corp ($TZZ)76.2%
First National Financial Corp ($FN)66.1%67.8%76.5%77.1%74.6%
Madison Pacific Properties Inc ($MPC)59.2%62.9%65.7%66.0%
 
Median (42 companies)36.1%32.5%32.1%31.5%29.8%
Aston Hill Financial Inc ($AHF)24.9%17.4%23.1%22.9%-8.4%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Imperial Equities Inc ($IEI)23.1%22.8%16.0%27.7%147.5%
Dundee Corp ($DC.A)10.3%14.1%88.8%123.6%
Wall Financial Corp ($WFC)1.8%13.5%9.8%6.1%65.3%
First Capital Realty Inc ($FCR)102.8%127.9%76.1%73.8%56.7%
Mainstreet Equity Corp ($MEQ)152.4%115.8%62.3%75.8%56.3%
 
Median (63 companies)1.2%1.1%0.8%1.1%1.1%
Aston Hill Financial Inc ($AHF)1.3%5.8%0.4%0.6%0.4%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Gluskin Sheff + Associates Inc ($GS)71.3%21.0%82.9%153.9%63.6%
Brookfield Real Estate Services Inc ($BRE)17.1%26.0%31.0%47.0%61.0%
IGM Financial Inc ($IGM)15.3%14.2%14.2%13.7%13.7%
Clairvest Group Inc ($CVG)7.6%8.6%12.3%11.5%12.8%
Canadian Western Bank ($CWB)13.0%12.4%12.1%12.4%11.6%
 
Median (63 companies)4.9%4.8%4.5%4.7%4.8%
Aston Hill Financial Inc ($AHF)10.3%5.5%8.7%10.6%-5.9%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Element Financial Corp ($EFN)140.2x31.9x37.6x79.9x
First National Financial Corp ($FN)37.6x34.3x33.7x40.9x37.4x
Wall Financial Corp ($WFC)6.2x3.4x19.9x4.6x20.1x
Equitable Group Inc ($EQB)12.7x11.8x10.2x9.8x12.3x
Rifco Inc ($RFC)9.8x9.4x10.7x11.9x
 
Median (34 companies)2.9x5.2x5.3x4.5x4.8x