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Pacific Exploration and Production Corp reports 558% EBITDA decline and 42.9% Revenue decline

18.03.2016 • About Pacific Exploration and Production Corp ($PRE) • By InTwits

Pacific Exploration and Production Corp reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Pacific Exploration and Production Corp doesn't have a profitable business model yet: 2015 ROIC is -103.6%
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: -137.4% in 2015, 17.1% in 2014, 54.1% in 2013, 51.1% in 2012, 56.1% in 2011
  • Pacific Exploration and Production Corp has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 38.5%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 88.7%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 649 in 2015, 2,473 in 2014, 2,151 in 2013, 1,512 in 2012, 1,153 in 2011
  • The company has unprofitable business model: ROIC is at -103.6%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Pacific Exploration and Production Corp ($PRE) key annual financial indicators

mln. $201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue3,3813,8854,6274,9502,825-42.9%
Gross Profit2,1352,2982,9042,9241,369-53.2%
SG&A189278337361221-38.6%
EBITDA1,8981,9872,504848-3,882-557.5%
Net Income554528426-1,310-5,462317.1%
Balance Sheet
Cash7302446333343432.7%
Short Term Debt22285713395,3911,490.9%
Long Term Debt1,0121,2603,8664,36623-99.5%
Cash flow
Capex1,1531,5122,1512,473649-73.8%
Ratios
Revenue growth103.5%14.9%19.1%7.0%-42.9%
EBITDA growth123.1%4.7%26.0%-66.1%-557.5%
Gross Margin63.2%59.2%62.8%59.1%48.5%-10.6%
EBITDA Margin56.1%51.1%54.1%17.1%-137.4%-154.6%
Net Income Margin16.4%13.6%9.2%-26.5%-193.4%-166.9%
SG&A, % of revenue5.6%7.2%7.3%7.3%7.8%0.6%
CAPEX, % of revenue34.1%38.9%46.5%50.0%23.0%-27.0%
ROIC31.2%20.1%15.3%-9.2%-103.6%-94.4%
ROE21.9%15.3%10.4%-39.3%39.3%
Net Debt/EBITDA0.2x0.5x1.5x5.2x-5.2x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue dropped on 42.9% in 2015. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin increased slightly on 1.2 pp from 2.3% to 3.5% in FY2015.

Gross Margin dropped on 10.6 pp from 59.1% to 48.5% in 2015. SG&A as a % of Revenue increased slightly on 0.55 pp from 7.3% to 7.8% in 2015.

Net Income marign dropped on 167 pp from -26.5% to -193% in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In 2015 Pacific Exploration and Production Corp had CAPEX/Revenue of 23.0%. CAPEX/Revenue dropped on 15.9 pp from 38.9% in 2012 to 23.0% in 2015. It's average level of CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 39.8%.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is -3.3x and Debt / EBITDA is . Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 5.2x from 5.2x to in 2015. Debt surged on 15.1% in 2015 while cash increased on 2.7% in 2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Energy


Below we provide Pacific Exploration and Production Corp benchmarking against other companies in Energy industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Petro Rio SA ($PRJ)-36.3%-32.1%-34.9%10,977.1%
ONEnergy Inc ($OEG)6,002.6%
Sterling Resources Ltd ($SLG)-94.8%4,514.9%2,244.4%
Ikkuma Resources Corp ($IKM)22.5%17.0%-4.5%1,231.1%
Spartan Energy Corp ($SPE)16.6%29.9%923.7%-3.7%
 
Median (162 companies)51.2%9.4%17.1%18.9%-27.5%
Pacific Exploration and Production Corp ($PRE)14.9%19.1%7.0%-42.9%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
TransAlta Renewables Inc ($RNW)94.4%94.5%94.5%
Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd ($AAV)70.5%62.0%84.5%92.5%88.5%
Freehold Royalties Ltd ($FRU)91.7%90.4%89.0%90.2%86.3%
MEG Energy Corp ($MEG)85.5%86.8%87.4%87.6%84.1%
NXT Energy Solutions Inc ($SFD)-43.2%65.6%36.0%87.3%
 
Median (140 companies)34.0%29.3%31.5%29.6%35.2%
Pacific Exploration and Production Corp ($PRE)63.2%59.2%62.8%59.1%48.5%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Seven Generations Energy Ltd ($VII)56.9%54.0%106.0%70.0%
Tourmaline Oil Corp ($TOU)67.4%67.9%80.0%97.6%70.1%
Bonavista Energy Corp ($BNP)63.8%64.6%62.6%91.6%54.5%
Bellatrix Exploration Ltd ($BXE)42.7%58.6%83.6%89.6%-115.8%
Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd ($AAV)-4.0%5.2%66.1%87.8%81.8%
 
Median (161 companies)25.5%24.6%31.1%29.7%8.1%
Pacific Exploration and Production Corp ($PRE)56.1%51.1%54.1%17.1%-137.4%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Oryx Petroleum Corp Ltd ($OXC)1,997.8%712.8%
Petroshale Inc ($PSH)30.6%346.6%865.9%
Toro Oil & Gas Ltd ($TOO)192.4%139.0%39.2%808.7%
Athabasca Oil Corp ($ATH)176.2%2,426.4%596.6%504.7%315.2%
BNK Petroleum Inc ($BKX)139.2%195.8%789.1%316.6%52.8%
 
Median (164 companies)43.3%51.1%39.2%48.8%31.9%
Pacific Exploration and Production Corp ($PRE)34.1%38.9%46.5%50.0%23.0%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Pason Systems Inc ($PSI)33.5%30.0%29.7%41.0%6.0%
Sea Dragon Energy Inc ($SDX)-10.1%8.1%21.8%32.9%
Raging River Exploration Inc ($RRX)29.1%6.2%
High Arctic Energy Services Inc ($HWO)27.0%31.4%26.3%24.9%24.2%
Rooster Energy Ltd ($COQ)22.9%
 
Median (167 companies)4.4%3.0%4.5%5.3%-8.0%
Pacific Exploration and Production Corp ($PRE)31.2%20.1%15.3%-9.2%-103.6%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Veresen Inc ($VSN)22.3x16.2x14.7x30.3x7.4x
Lightstream Resources Ltd ($LTS)2.0x27.8x
Petroshale Inc ($PSH)0.1x21.7x
Connacher Oil and Gas Ltd ($CLC)9.7x16.7x8.8x17.1x
Pengrowth Energy Corp ($PGF)1.5x2.9x2.1x16.8x
 
Median (138 companies)1.2x1.6x1.5x1.3x3.0x
Pacific Exploration and Production Corp ($PRE)0.2x0.5x1.5x5.2x