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Yangarra Resources Ltd reports 120% Net Income decline and 24.8 pp EBITDA Margin decline from 77.4% to 52.6%

16.03.2016 • About Yangarra Resources Ltd ($YGR) • By InTwits

Yangarra Resources Ltd reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Yangarra Resources Ltd has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 168.6%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 73.9%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 40.7 in 2015, 79.8 in 2014, 47.0 in 2013, 24.4 in 2012, 65.0 in 2011
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is at 2.5%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Yangarra Resources Ltd ($YGR) key annual financial indicators

mln. CAD201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue20.38322.29434.03951.92933.207-36.1%
Gross Profit8.482-1.57513.85626.42425.359-4.0%
SG&A1.671
EBITDA13.72914.67225.99940.17917.453-56.6%
Net Income1.386-0.2182.58624.372-4.781-119.6%
Balance Sheet
Cash0.0000.0000.0000.0000.000
Short Term Debt26.24632.13932.11255.60262.13111.7%
Long Term Debt0.0000.0007.7870.0000.000
Cash flow
Capex65.01924.44947.02279.80740.732-49.0%
Ratios
Revenue growth214.0%9.4%52.7%52.6%-36.1%
EBITDA growth800.2%6.9%77.2%54.5%-56.6%
Gross Margin41.6%-7.1%40.7%50.9%76.4%25.5%
EBITDA Margin67.4%65.8%76.4%77.4%52.6%-24.8%
Net Income Margin6.8%-1.0%7.6%46.9%-14.4%-61.3%
SG&A, % of revenue5.0%5.0%
CAPEX, % of revenue319.0%109.7%138.1%153.7%122.7%-31.0%
ROIC6.8%-3.4%9.1%12.9%2.5%-10.4%
ROE2.2%-0.3%3.0%20.0%-3.1%-23.1%
Net Debt/EBITDA1.9x2.2x1.5x1.4x3.6x2.2x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue dropped on 36.1% in 2015. Revenue decline was accompanies by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin dropped on 24.8 pp from 77.4% to 52.6% in 2015.

Gross Margin jumped on 25.5 pp from 50.9% to 76.4% in 2015.

Net Income marign dropped on 61.3 pp from 46.9% to -14.4% in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In 2015 Yangarra Resources Ltd had CAPEX/Revenue of 123%. Yangarra Resources Ltd's CAPEX/Revenue jumped on 13.0 pp from 110% in 2012 to 123% in 2015. For the last three years the average CAPEX/Revenue was 138%.Battling declining revenue Yangarra Resources Ltd made large investments to CAPEX (233% of EBITDA) but that didn't help at least in this year.

Return on investment


The company operates at low but positive ROIC (2.52%) and negative ROE (-3.09%). ROIC dropped on 10.4 pp from 12.9% to 2.5% in 2015. ROE dropped on 23.1 pp from 20.0% to -3.1% in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 3.6x Net Debt / EBITDA and 3.6x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA jumped on 2.2x from 1.4x to 3.6x in 2015. Debt jumped on 11.7% in 2015 while cash didn't change in 2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Energy


Below you can find Yangarra Resources Ltd benchmarking vs. other companies in Energy industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Petro Rio SA ($PRJ)-36.3%-32.1%-34.9%10,977.1%
ONEnergy Inc ($OEG)6,002.6%
Sterling Resources Ltd ($SLG)-94.8%4,514.9%2,244.4%
Ikkuma Resources Corp ($IKM)22.5%17.0%-4.5%1,231.1%
Spartan Energy Corp ($SPE)16.6%29.9%923.7%-3.7%
 
Median (161 companies)41.6%9.6%17.0%18.3%-27.4%
Yangarra Resources Ltd ($YGR)9.4%52.7%52.6%-36.1%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
TransAlta Renewables Inc ($RNW)94.4%94.5%94.5%
Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd ($AAV)70.5%62.0%84.5%92.5%88.5%
Freehold Royalties Ltd ($FRU)91.7%90.4%89.0%90.2%86.3%
MEG Energy Corp ($MEG)85.5%86.8%87.4%87.6%84.1%
NXT Energy Solutions Inc ($SFD)-43.2%65.6%36.0%87.3%
 
Median (140 companies)33.3%29.3%31.5%29.6%33.6%
Yangarra Resources Ltd ($YGR)41.6%-7.1%40.7%50.9%76.4%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Seven Generations Energy Ltd ($VII)56.9%54.0%106.0%70.0%
Tourmaline Oil Corp ($TOU)67.4%67.9%80.0%97.6%70.1%
Bonavista Energy Corp ($BNP)63.8%64.6%62.6%91.6%54.5%
Bellatrix Exploration Ltd ($BXE)42.7%58.6%83.6%89.6%-115.8%
Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd ($AAV)-4.0%5.2%66.1%87.8%81.8%
 
Median (160 companies)25.3%24.8%30.7%29.3%8.1%
Yangarra Resources Ltd ($YGR)67.4%65.8%76.4%77.4%52.6%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Oryx Petroleum Corp Ltd ($OXC)1,997.8%712.8%
Petroshale Inc ($PSH)30.6%346.6%865.9%
Toro Oil & Gas Ltd ($TOO)192.4%139.0%39.2%808.7%
Athabasca Oil Corp ($ATH)176.2%2,426.4%596.6%504.7%315.2%
BNK Petroleum Inc ($BKX)139.2%195.8%789.1%316.6%52.8%
 
Median (163 companies)40.9%48.7%39.2%48.6%31.3%
Yangarra Resources Ltd ($YGR)319.0%109.7%138.1%153.7%122.7%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Pason Systems Inc ($PSI)33.5%30.0%29.7%41.0%6.0%
Sea Dragon Energy Inc ($SDX)-10.1%8.1%21.8%32.9%
Raging River Exploration Inc ($RRX)29.1%6.2%
High Arctic Energy Services Inc ($HWO)27.0%31.4%26.3%24.9%24.2%
Rooster Energy Ltd ($COQ)22.9%
 
Median (166 companies)4.4%3.3%4.6%5.0%-7.5%
Yangarra Resources Ltd ($YGR)6.8%-3.4%9.1%12.9%2.5%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Veresen Inc ($VSN)22.3x16.2x14.7x30.3x7.4x
Lightstream Resources Ltd ($LTS)2.0x27.8x
Petroshale Inc ($PSH)0.1x21.7x
Connacher Oil and Gas Ltd ($CLC)9.7x16.7x8.8x17.1x
Pengrowth Energy Corp ($PGF)1.5x2.9x2.1x16.8x
 
Median (137 companies)1.2x1.5x1.5x1.4x2.6x
Yangarra Resources Ltd ($YGR)1.9x2.2x1.5x1.4x3.6x