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Surge Energy Inc EBITDA dropped on 281% in 2015 and Revenue dropped on 37.6%

16.03.2016 • About Surge Energy Inc ($SGY) • By InTwits

Surge Energy Inc reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Surge Energy Inc doesn't have a profitable business model yet: 2015 ROIC is -16.5%
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: -37.7% in 2015, 13.0% in 2014, 46.1% in 2013, 0.0% in 2012, 55.0% in 2011
  • Surge Energy Inc has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 74.6%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 73.9%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 2.7 in FY2015, 4.6 in FY2014, 5.9 in FY2013, 2.4 in FY2012, 5.8 in FY2011
  • The company has unprofitable business model: ROIC is at -16.5%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Surge Energy Inc ($SGY) key annual financial indicators

mln. CAD201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue114.0157.5222.3389.2242.9-37.6%
Gross Profit75.2112.5164.3275.5143.1-48.1%
SG&A9.510.812.212.911.0-14.8%
EBITDA62.70.1102.450.6-91.6-280.9%
Net Income2.1-53.2-9.9-33.2-213.9544.7%
Balance Sheet
Cash0.00.00.00.00.0
Short Term Debt0.00.01.93.01.7-43.9%
Long Term Debt72.2194.5279.6564.3149.0-73.6%
Cash flow
Capex150.1180.7125.5149.676.7-48.7%
Ratios
Revenue growth128.8%38.3%41.1%75.1%-37.6%
EBITDA growth373.9%-99.9%148,260.9%-50.6%-280.9%
Gross Margin66.0%71.4%73.9%70.8%58.9%-11.9%
EBITDA Margin55.0%0.0%46.1%13.0%-37.7%-50.7%
Net Income Margin1.8%-33.8%-4.4%-8.5%-88.0%-79.5%
SG&A, % of revenue8.3%6.9%5.5%3.3%4.5%1.2%
CAPEX, % of revenue131.7%114.7%56.5%38.4%31.6%-6.8%
ROIC3.8%-13.8%2.2%-7.7%-16.5%-8.8%
ROE0.7%-15.8%-1.6%-3.4%-22.7%-19.2%
Net Debt/EBITDA1.2x2,819.2x2.8x11.2x-11.2x

Revenue and profitability


Surge Energy Inc's Revenue dropped on 37.6% in 2015. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin surged on 62.5 pp from 28.2% to 90.7% in 2015.

Gross Margin dropped on 11.9 pp from 70.8% to 58.9% in 2015. SG&A as a % of Revenue increased slightly on 1.2 pp from 3.3% to 4.5% in 2015.

Net Income marign dropped on 79.5 pp from -8.5% to -88.0% in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


Surge Energy Inc's CAPEX/Revenue was 31.6% in 2015. Surge Energy Inc showed big decline in CAPEX/Revenue of 83.1 pp from 115% in 2012 to 31.6% in 2015. It's average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 42.2%.

Return on investment


The company operates at negative ROIC (-16.46%) and ROE (-22.66%). ROIC decreased on 8.8 pp from -7.7% to -16.5% in 2015. ROE dropped on 19.2 pp from -3.4% to -22.7% in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 11.0x Net Debt / EBITDA and Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 11.2x from 11.2x to in 2015. Debt dropped on 73.4% in 2015 while cash didn't change in 2015.

Management team


Surge Energy Inc's CEO Paul Colborne is a founder and has spent 5 years at the company. Paul Ferguson is a The company's CFO. Paul Ferguson has spent 3 years at the company.

Appendix 1: Peers in Energy


Below we provide Surge Energy Inc benchmarking against other companies in Energy industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Petro Rio SA ($PRJ)-36.3%-32.1%-34.9%10,977.1%
ONEnergy Inc ($OEG)6,002.6%
Sterling Resources Ltd ($SLG)-94.8%4,514.9%2,244.4%
Ikkuma Resources Corp ($IKM)22.5%17.0%-4.5%1,231.1%
Spartan Energy Corp ($SPE)16.6%29.9%923.7%-3.7%
 
Median (161 companies)41.6%9.4%17.0%18.3%-27.4%
Surge Energy Inc ($SGY)38.3%41.1%75.1%-37.6%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
TransAlta Renewables Inc ($RNW)94.4%94.5%94.5%
Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd ($AAV)70.5%62.0%84.5%92.5%88.5%
Freehold Royalties Ltd ($FRU)91.7%90.4%89.0%90.2%86.3%
MEG Energy Corp ($MEG)85.5%86.8%87.4%87.6%84.1%
NXT Energy Solutions Inc ($SFD)-43.2%65.6%36.0%87.3%
 
Median (140 companies)33.3%29.3%31.5%29.6%33.6%
Surge Energy Inc ($SGY)66.0%71.4%73.9%70.8%58.9%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Seven Generations Energy Ltd ($VII)56.9%54.0%106.0%70.0%
Tourmaline Oil Corp ($TOU)67.4%67.9%80.0%97.6%70.1%
Bonavista Energy Corp ($BNP)63.8%64.6%62.6%91.6%54.5%
Bellatrix Exploration Ltd ($BXE)42.7%58.6%83.6%89.6%-115.8%
Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd ($AAV)-4.0%5.2%66.1%87.8%81.8%
 
Median (160 companies)25.3%25.3%30.7%29.7%9.2%
Surge Energy Inc ($SGY)55.0%0.0%46.1%13.0%-37.7%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Oryx Petroleum Corp Ltd ($OXC)1,997.8%712.8%
Petroshale Inc ($PSH)30.6%346.6%865.9%
Toro Oil & Gas Ltd ($TOO)192.4%139.0%39.2%808.7%
Athabasca Oil Corp ($ATH)176.2%2,426.4%596.6%504.7%315.2%
BNK Petroleum Inc ($BKX)139.2%195.8%789.1%316.6%52.8%
 
Median (163 companies)40.9%48.7%39.2%48.9%31.6%
Surge Energy Inc ($SGY)131.7%114.7%56.5%38.4%31.6%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Pason Systems Inc ($PSI)33.5%30.0%29.7%41.0%6.0%
Sea Dragon Energy Inc ($SDX)-10.1%8.1%21.8%32.9%
Raging River Exploration Inc ($RRX)29.1%6.2%
High Arctic Energy Services Inc ($HWO)27.0%31.4%26.3%24.9%24.2%
Rooster Energy Ltd ($COQ)22.9%
 
Median (166 companies)4.5%3.3%4.7%5.3%-7.2%
Surge Energy Inc ($SGY)3.8%-13.8%2.2%-7.7%-16.5%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Veresen Inc ($VSN)22.3x16.2x14.7x30.3x7.4x
Lightstream Resources Ltd ($LTS)2.0x27.8x
Petroshale Inc ($PSH)0.1x21.7x
Connacher Oil and Gas Ltd ($CLC)9.7x16.7x8.8x17.1x
Pengrowth Energy Corp ($PGF)1.5x2.9x2.1x16.8x
 
Median (137 companies)1.2x1.5x1.5x1.4x2.7x
Surge Energy Inc ($SGY)1.2x2,819.2x2.8x11.2x