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Holloway Lodging Corp reports 114% Net Income decline and 18.0 pp EBITDA Margin decline from 30.2% to 12.2%

09.03.2016 • About Holloway Lodging Corp ($HLC) • By InTwits

Holloway Lodging Corp reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Holloway Lodging Corp doesn't have a profitable business model yet: 2015 ROIC is -0.1%
  • Holloway Lodging Corp has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 11.9%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 5.1%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 29.5 in 2015, 14.4 in 2014, 4.0 in 2013, 4.8 in 2012, 2.6 in 2011
  • The company has unprofitable business model: ROIC is at -0.1%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 17.1x while industry average is 8.1x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Holloway Lodging Corp ($HLC) key annual financial indicators

mln. CAD201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue77.458.460.097.5110.713.5%
EBITDA18.729.413.5-54.2%
Net Income-8.419.74.527.3-3.8-114.0%
Balance Sheet
Cash2.51.30.93.52.0-41.8%
Short Term Debt51.01.51.088.189.01.0%
Long Term Debt116.0111.7107.6162.8143.8-11.7%
Cash flow
Capex2.64.84.014.429.5104.7%
Ratios
Revenue growth5.4%-24.6%2.7%62.7%13.5%
EBITDA growth57.2%-54.2%
EBITDA Margin0.0%0.0%31.2%30.2%12.2%-18.0%
Net Income Margin-10.9%33.8%7.5%27.9%-3.4%-31.4%
CAPEX, % of revenue3.4%8.2%6.7%14.8%26.7%11.9%
ROIC3.5%4.5%5.1%6.2%-0.1%-6.3%
ROE-34.7%37.3%5.3%27.1%-3.4%-30.5%
Net Debt/EBITDA5.8x8.4x17.1x8.7x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue surged on 13.5% in 2015. Revenue decline was accompanies by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin dropped on 33.4 pp from 26.7% to -6.6% in 2015.

Net Income marign dropped on 31.4 pp from 27.9% to -3.4% in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In 2015 Holloway Lodging Corp had CAPEX/Revenue of 26.7%. CAPEX/Revenue surged on 18.5 pp from 8.2% in 2012 to 26.7% in 2015. It's average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 16.1%.The company has spent a lot to CAPEX (219% of EBITDA) to fuel its growth.

Return on investment


The company operates at negative ROIC (-0.11%) and ROE (-3.41%). ROIC decreased on 6.3 pp from 6.2% to -0.11% in 2015. ROE dropped on 30.5 pp from 27.1% to -3.4% in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 17.1x Net Debt / EBITDA and 17.3x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA jumped on 8.7x from 8.4x to 17.1x in 2015. Debt decreased on 7.2% in 2015 while cash dropped on 41.8% in 2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Consumer, Cyclical


Below you can find Holloway Lodging Corp benchmarking vs. other companies in Consumer, Cyclical industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Amaya Inc ($AYA)216.4%311.5%85.2%254.0%
Partner Jet Corp ($PJT)-19.9%-15.2%1.2%119.7%
Kelso Technologies Inc ($KLS)80.5%577.5%487.8%81.4%
XPEL Technologies Corp ($DAP.U)46.3%76.6%67.7%65.5%
AutoCanada Inc ($ACQ)16.1%9.2%27.9%57.2%
 
Median (68 companies)16.1%5.3%5.3%7.0%4.0%
Holloway Lodging Corp ($HLC)-24.6%2.7%62.7%13.5%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Restaurant Brands International Inc ($QSR)69.7%87.0%42.9%
Imvescor Restaurant Group Inc ($IRG)96.2%94.2%89.7%84.9%84.3%
DEQ Systems Corp ($DEQ)74.3%77.5%78.4%84.7%
Cara Operations Ltd ($CAO)79.2%78.9%78.4%
Second Cup Ltd/The ($SCU)91.1%86.6%85.1%72.7%81.1%
 
Median (61 companies)37.0%35.3%32.1%34.6%36.1%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Westshore Terminals Investment Corp ($WTE)49.7%65.9%60.9%59.6%
Gamehost Inc ($GH)44.2%46.1%45.7%45.9%42.8%
Great Canadian Gaming Corp ($GC)34.1%16.8%41.1%40.1%36.6%
Amaya Inc ($AYA)-5.7%7.2%38.2%39.3%
MTY Food Group Inc ($MTY)32.2%36.3%38.7%37.0%34.9%
 
Median (66 companies)8.7%8.0%9.6%9.8%10.1%
Holloway Lodging Corp ($HLC)31.2%30.2%12.2%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Poydras Gaming Finance Corp ($PYD)32.5%
WestJet Airlines Ltd ($WJA)3.9%7.9%19.5%18.6%22.5%
Exchange Income Corp ($EIF)8.2%7.9%15.8%15.5%15.4%
Kelso Technologies Inc ($KLS)79.2%0.4%0.7%13.5%
Gildan Activewear Inc ($GIL)9.0%3.7%7.4%12.1%8.7%
 
Median (69 companies)2.6%2.7%2.8%2.3%3.1%
Holloway Lodging Corp ($HLC)3.4%8.2%6.7%14.8%26.7%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Partner Jet Corp ($PJT)-30.7%-51.6%-50.8%85.1%
Kelso Technologies Inc ($KLS)-121.3%48.8%
XPEL Technologies Corp ($DAP.U)52.9%54.7%57.5%43.2%
Westshore Terminals Investment Corp ($WTE)24.0%37.8%35.0%38.3%
Iplayco Corp Ltd ($IPC)-35.4%23.0%58.5%33.6%10.9%
 
Median (69 companies)10.7%9.8%10.8%9.9%11.2%
Holloway Lodging Corp ($HLC)3.5%4.5%5.1%6.2%-0.1%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Mountain China Resorts Holding Ltd ($MCG)317.1x
Restaurant Brands International Inc ($QSR)3.8x33.6x5.8x
Allied Hotel Properties Inc ($AHP)21.3x
Hudson's Bay Co ($HBC)8.7x3.8x3.6x19.1x3.6x
Amaya Inc ($AYA)17.9x1.8x13.5x
 
Median (58 companies)1.3x1.3x1.8x2.0x1.4x
Holloway Lodging Corp ($HLC)5.8x8.4x17.1x