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Geodrill Ltd reports 194% EBITDA growth and 34.6% Revenue growth

07.03.2016 • About Geodrill Ltd ($GEO) • By InTwits

Geodrill Ltd reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: 21.6% in 2015, 9.9% in 2014, 19.3% in 2013, 21.4% in 2012, 35.9% in 2011
  • Geodrill Ltd has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 13.7%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 6.9%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 2.7 in 2015, 1.8 in 2014, 1.5 in 2013, 22.8 in 2012, 13.0 in 2011
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is at 3.6%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Geodrill Ltd ($GEO) key annual financial indicators

mln. $201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue70.14965.58637.21235.59547.92234.6%
Gross Profit38.05625.85211.8546.82315.446126.4%
SG&A19.53719.80614.28912.80813.4565.1%
EBITDA25.15514.0237.1903.53110.369193.6%
Net Income12.4133.205-4.908-6.701-1.908-71.5%
Balance Sheet
Cash8.1657.5623.2095.1975.84912.5%
Short Term Debt3.0916.3915.4456.4642.481-61.6%
Long Term Debt0.0005.8381.0700.9003.669307.6%
Cash flow
Capex12.98422.8221.5431.8142.75051.6%
Ratios
Revenue growth55.7%-6.5%-43.3%-4.3%34.6%
EBITDA growth75.9%-44.3%-48.7%-50.9%193.6%
Gross Margin54.3%39.4%31.9%19.2%32.2%13.1%
EBITDA Margin35.9%21.4%19.3%9.9%21.6%11.7%
Net Income Margin17.7%4.9%-13.2%-18.8%-4.0%14.8%
SG&A, % of revenue27.9%30.2%38.4%36.0%28.1%-7.9%
CAPEX, % of revenue18.5%34.8%4.1%5.1%5.7%0.6%
ROIC33.9%8.6%-3.5%-9.3%3.6%12.8%
ROE25.4%5.5%-8.5%-12.8%-4.0%8.8%
Net Debt/EBITDA-0.2x0.3x0.5x0.6x0.0x-0.6x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue jumped on 34.6% in 2015. Revenue growth happened at the same time with EBITDA margin expansion. EBITDA Margin jumped on 11.7 pp from 9.9% to 21.6% in 2015.

Gross Margin surged on 13.1 pp from 19.2% to 32.2% in 2015. SG&A as a % of Revenue decreased on 7.9 pp from 36.0% to 28.1% in 2015.

Net Income marign surged on 14.8 pp from -18.8% to -4.0% in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In 2015 the company had CAPEX/Revenue of 5.7%. Geodrill Ltd showed big decline in CAPEX/Revenue of 29.1 pp from 34.8% in 2012 to 5.7% in 2015. For the last three years the average CAPEX/Revenue was 5.0%.

Return on investment


The company operates at low but positive ROIC (3.57%) and negative ROE (-3.95%). ROIC surged on 12.8 pp from -9.3% to 3.6% in 2015. ROE increased on 8.8 pp from -12.8% to -4.0% in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 0.0x Net Debt / EBITDA and 0.6x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 0.6x from 0.6x to 0.029x in 2015. Debt dropped on 16.5% in 2015 while cash jumped on 12.5% in 2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Basic Materials


Below we provide Geodrill Ltd benchmarking against other companies in Basic Materials industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Northern Sun Mining Corp ($NSC)-93.3%315.4%-99.4%8,924.9%
Turquoise Hill Resources Ltd ($TRQ)-34.0%3,268.9%-5.8%
Asian Mineral Resources Ltd ($ASN)859.1%
Ur-Energy Inc ($URE)285.4%42.7%
Nevsun Resources Ltd ($NSU)3.3%-72.5%256.5%-35.7%
 
Median (130 companies)39.5%8.5%-5.0%-0.8%-5.6%
Geodrill Ltd ($GEO)-6.5%-43.3%-4.3%34.6%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Nevsun Resources Ltd ($NSU)90.3%89.9%94.8%95.5%82.3%
Franco-Nevada Corp ($FNV)84.6%86.1%85.0%83.5%
Labrador Iron Ore Royalty Corp ($LIF)80.2%80.2%80.2%80.2%80.3%
Lucara Diamond Corp ($LUC)42.5%57.4%66.7%60.9%
Royal Gold Inc ($RGL)68.9%71.5%70.6%57.6%86.0%
 
Median (133 companies)30.1%31.5%20.7%16.8%15.4%
Geodrill Ltd ($GEO)54.3%39.4%31.9%19.2%32.2%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Royal Gold Inc ($RGL)86.1%88.2%88.6%84.4%65.0%
Franco-Nevada Corp ($FNV)38.6%62.1%44.6%72.3%
Silver Wheaton Corp ($SLW)84.8%82.6%75.3%69.6%
Sandstorm Gold Ltd ($SSL)63.8%74.3%49.9%62.1%
Nevsun Resources Ltd ($NSU)81.0%76.8%54.5%60.4%38.6%
 
Median (137 companies)22.0%18.4%11.3%9.7%6.8%
Geodrill Ltd ($GEO)35.9%21.4%19.3%9.9%21.6%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Barkerville Gold Mines Ltd ($BGM)123.7%38.5%49.9%7,166.9%3.2%
Marlin Gold Mining Ltd ($MLN)508.8%
Imperial Metals Corp ($III)28.2%69.2%185.7%280.2%
Golden Minerals Co ($AUM)462.4%36.9%16.8%212.8%0.5%
Franco-Nevada Corp ($FNV)9.3%3.7%35.5%201.6%
 
Median (139 companies)24.1%26.3%25.5%16.3%13.7%
Geodrill Ltd ($GEO)18.5%34.8%4.1%5.1%5.7%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Lucara Diamond Corp ($LUC)-7.1%-2.9%41.3%54.7%39.6%
CanAf Group Inc ($CAF)74.9%37.0%65.2%37.6%13.8%
Nevsun Resources Ltd ($NSU)89.8%52.2%8.8%35.0%10.4%
Dynacor Gold Mines Inc ($DNG)45.6%62.8%50.9%31.3%
Canfor Pulp Products Inc ($CFX)103.5%4.9%13.2%21.3%24.1%
 
Median (143 companies)5.4%4.9%0.1%0.6%-3.6%
Geodrill Ltd ($GEO)33.9%8.6%-3.5%-9.3%3.6%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
VMS Ventures Inc ($VMS)86.7x4.7x
Ur-Energy Inc ($URE)55.1x6.7x
Katanga Mining Ltd ($KAT)0.4x19.4x3.3x18.8x
HudBay Minerals Inc ($HBM)-2.8x-4.8x2.0x14.0x
Imperial Metals Corp ($III)-0.1x1.5x4.9x12.9x
 
Median (94 companies)-0.0x0.3x0.9x0.9x1.4x
Geodrill Ltd ($GEO)-0.2x0.3x0.5x0.6x0.0x