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TORC Oil & Gas Ltd EBITDA dropped on 136% in 2015 and Revenue dropped on 10.1%

03.03.2016 • About TORC Oil & Gas Ltd ($TOG) • By InTwits

TORC Oil & Gas Ltd reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • TORC Oil & Gas Ltd doesn't have a profitable business model yet: 2015 ROIC is -14.4%
  • The company operates at negative EBITDA Margin: -16.8%
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: -16.8% in 2015, 41.8% in 2014, 38.8% in 2013, -6.9% in 2012, -54.8% in 2011
  • TORC Oil & Gas Ltd has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 1,617.6%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 90.1%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 552 in 2015, 280 in 2014, 652 in 2013, 135 in 2012, 210 in 2011
  • The company has unprofitable business model: ROIC is at -14.4%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

TORC Oil & Gas Ltd ($TOG) key annual financial indicators

mln. CAD201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue3.129.7139.6267.6240.7-10.1%
Gross Profit2.420.5105.0204.7152.6-25.4%
SG&A2.73.67.19.711.215.2%
EBITDA-1.7-2.054.2111.8-40.6-136.3%
Net Income-4.7-18.8-10.16.3-172.7-2,858.9%
Balance Sheet
Cash110.779.713.60.00.0
Short Term Debt0.00.00.00.00.0
Long Term Debt0.00.085.0179.8230.127.9%
Cash flow
Capex210.2134.7651.6279.6552.297.5%
Ratios
Revenue growth-96.8%864.7%370.3%91.8%-10.1%
EBITDA growth-103.1%20.9%-2,756.8%106.3%-136.3%
Gross Margin78.8%69.0%75.2%76.5%63.4%-13.1%
EBITDA Margin-54.8%-6.9%38.8%41.8%-16.8%-58.6%
Net Income Margin-151.7%-63.2%-7.2%2.3%-71.7%-74.1%
SG&A, % of revenue88.1%12.2%5.1%3.6%4.7%1.0%
CAPEX, % of revenue6,833.4%453.8%466.9%104.5%229.4%124.9%
ROIC-1.1%-4.7%-0.7%-0.2%-14.4%-14.1%
ROE-1.7%-4.3%-1.4%0.7%-15.4%-16.1%
Net Debt/EBITDA1.3x1.6x-1.6x

Revenue and profitability


TORC Oil & Gas Ltd's Revenue dropped on 10.1% in 2015. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin surged on 62.5 pp from 28.2% to 90.7% in 2015.

Gross Margin dropped on 13.1 pp from 76.5% to 63.4% in 2015. SG&A as a % of Revenue increased slightly on 1.0 pp from 3.6% to 4.7% in 2015.

Net Income marign dropped on 74.1 pp from 2.3% to -71.7% in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In 2015 TORC Oil & Gas Ltd had CAPEX/Revenue of 229%. CAPEX/Revenue dropped on 224 pp from 454% in 2012 to 229% in 2015. For the last three years the average CAPEX/Revenue was 267%.

Return on investment


The company operates at negative ROIC (-14.37%) and ROE (-15.44%). ROIC dropped on 14.1 pp from -0.24% to -14.4% in 2015. ROE dropped on 16.1 pp from 0.67% to -15.4% in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is -0.7x Net Debt / EBITDA and Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 1.6x from 1.6x to in 2015. Debt surged on 27.9% in 2015 while cash didn't change in 2015.

Management team


The company's CEO is Brett Herman. Brett Herman is a founder and has 8 years tenure at the company.

Appendix 1: Peers in Energy


Below we provide TORC Oil & Gas Ltd benchmarking against other companies in Energy industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Petro Rio SA ($PRJ)-36.3%-32.1%-34.9%10,977.1%
ONEnergy Inc ($OEG)6,002.6%
Sterling Resources Ltd ($SLG)-94.8%4,514.9%2,244.4%
Ikkuma Resources Corp ($IKM)22.5%17.0%-4.5%1,231.1%
Spartan Energy Corp ($SPE)-8.2%16.6%29.9%923.7%
 
Median (160 companies)39.6%9.5%16.2%17.6%-29.9%
TORC Oil & Gas Ltd ($TOG)864.7%370.3%91.8%-10.1%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
TransAlta Renewables Inc ($RNW)94.4%94.5%94.5%
Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd ($AAV)70.5%62.0%84.5%92.5%88.5%
Freehold Royalties Ltd ($FRU)91.7%90.4%89.0%90.2%86.3%
MEG Energy Corp ($MEG)85.5%86.8%87.4%87.6%84.1%
NXT Energy Solutions Inc ($SFD)-43.2%65.6%36.0%87.3%
 
Median (140 companies)33.3%29.3%31.5%29.6%30.2%
TORC Oil & Gas Ltd ($TOG)78.8%69.0%75.2%76.5%63.4%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Seven Generations Energy Ltd ($VII)56.9%54.0%106.0%
Tourmaline Oil Corp ($TOU)67.4%67.9%80.0%97.6%
Bonavista Energy Corp ($BNP)63.8%64.6%62.6%91.6%54.5%
Bellatrix Exploration Ltd ($BXE)42.7%58.6%83.6%89.6%
Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd ($AAV)-4.0%5.2%66.1%87.8%81.8%
 
Median (159 companies)25.5%25.7%30.5%28.9%12.6%
TORC Oil & Gas Ltd ($TOG)-54.8%-6.9%38.8%41.8%-16.8%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Oryx Petroleum Corp Ltd ($OXC)1,997.8%
Petroshale Inc ($PSH)30.6%346.6%865.9%
Toro Oil & Gas Ltd ($TOO)192.4%139.0%39.2%808.7%
Athabasca Oil Corp ($ATH)176.2%2,426.4%596.6%504.7%
BNK Petroleum Inc ($BKX)139.2%195.8%789.1%316.6%
 
Median (162 companies)42.0%47.3%39.1%47.1%22.8%
TORC Oil & Gas Ltd ($TOG)6,833.4%453.8%466.9%104.5%229.4%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Pason Systems Inc ($PSI)33.5%30.0%29.7%41.0%6.0%
Sea Dragon Energy Inc ($SDX)-10.1%8.1%21.8%32.9%
Raging River Exploration Inc ($RRX)29.1%
High Arctic Energy Services Inc ($HWO)27.0%31.4%26.3%24.9%
Rooster Energy Ltd ($COQ)22.9%
 
Median (165 companies)4.5%3.5%4.6%5.1%-5.1%
TORC Oil & Gas Ltd ($TOG)-1.1%-4.7%-0.7%-0.2%-14.4%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Veresen Inc ($VSN)22.3x16.2x14.7x30.3x
Lightstream Resources Ltd ($LTS)2.0x27.8x
Petroshale Inc ($PSH)0.1x21.7x
Connacher Oil and Gas Ltd ($CLC)9.7x16.7x8.8x17.1x
Pengrowth Energy Corp ($PGF)1.5x2.9x2.1x16.8x
 
Median (136 companies)1.2x1.5x1.5x1.4x3.1x
TORC Oil & Gas Ltd ($TOG)1.3x1.6x