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NeuLion Inc reports 627% Net Income growth while 5.1 pp EBITDA Margin decline from 11.1% to 6.0%

03.03.2016 • About NeuLion Inc ($NLN) • By InTwits

NeuLion Inc reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • NeuLion Inc doesn't have a profitable business model yet: 2015 ROIC is -3.7%
  • NeuLion Inc has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 3.0%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 10.6%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 7.2 in 2015, 0.57 in 2014, 1.1 in 2013, 10.9 in 2012, 0.52 in 2011
  • The company has unprofitable business model: ROIC is at -3.7%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

NeuLion Inc ($NLN) key annual financial indicators

mln. $201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue39.66638.98347.10755.52094.04369.4%
Gross Profit17.92320.88130.07339.00276.26895.6%
SG&A24.29027.07345.67268.7%
EBITDA-8.524-4.9262.1156.1695.684-7.9%
Net Income-14.352-10.079-2.2783.56725.916626.5%
Balance Sheet
Cash12.34711.10819.64425.89853.413106.2%
Short Term Debt0.0000.0000.0000.0000.000
Long Term Debt0.0000.0000.0000.0000.000
Cash flow
Capex1.8761.1071.3011.8501.428-22.8%
Ratios
Revenue growth19.6%-1.7%20.8%17.9%69.4%
EBITDA growth-36.4%-42.2%-142.9%191.6%-7.9%
Gross Margin45.2%53.6%63.8%70.2%81.1%10.9%
EBITDA Margin-21.5%-12.6%4.5%11.1%6.0%-5.1%
Net Income Margin-36.2%-25.9%-4.8%6.4%27.6%21.1%
SG&A, % of revenue51.6%48.8%48.6%-0.2%
CAPEX, % of revenue4.7%2.8%2.8%3.3%1.5%-1.8%
ROIC-62.1%-55.8%-10.3%18.5%-3.7%-22.2%
ROE-150.8%45.8%45.8%
Net Debt/EBITDA-9.3x-4.2x-9.4x-5.2x

Revenue and profitability


NeuLion Inc's Revenue jumped on 69.4% in 2015. Revenue decline was accompanies by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin dropped on 14.4 pp from 7.4% to -7.0% in 2015.

Gross Margin jumped on 10.9 pp from 70.2% to 81.1% in 2015. SG&A as a % of Revenue showed almost no change in 2015.

Net Income marign surged on 21.1 pp from 6.4% to 27.6% in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In 2015 the company had CAPEX/Revenue of 1.5%. NeuLion Inc's CAPEX/Revenue decreased slightly on 1.3 pp from 2.8% in 2012 to 1.5% in 2015. It's average level of CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 2.5%.

Return on investment


The company operates at negative ROIC (-3.67%) and low but positive ROE (45.81%). ROIC dropped on 22.2 pp from 18.5% to -3.7% in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


The company has no debt. Cash jumped on 106% in 2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Communications


Below we provide NeuLion Inc benchmarking against other companies in Communications industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Telehop Communications Inc ($HOP)-11.7%-13.1%-7.8%105.7%
Wi2Wi Corp ($YTY)11.5%100.3%
BSM Technologies Inc ($GPS)39.1%55.5%2.7%
Plaintree Systems Inc ($NPT)14.5%9.1%50.8%-7.1%
Aimia Inc ($AIM)6.3%-25.6%47.5%-0.3%
 
Median (49 companies)10.4%5.0%1.8%1.9%2.7%
NeuLion Inc ($NLN)-1.7%20.8%17.9%69.4%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Wanted Technologies Corp ($WAN)86.6%90.5%93.2%94.3%95.6%
CounterPath Corp ($CCV)74.1%80.0%85.1%80.9%81.5%
Mediagrif Interactive Technologies Inc ($MDF)78.2%79.8%79.8%78.8%80.1%
Sangoma Technologies Corp ($STC)74.5%68.8%66.9%67.2%
Advantex Marketing International Inc ($ADX)69.4%67.2%61.7%61.1%
 
Median (40 companies)43.2%42.8%42.5%41.8%46.4%
NeuLion Inc ($NLN)45.2%53.6%63.8%70.2%81.1%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Manitoba Telecom Services Inc ($MBT)33.7%34.3%33.7%47.4%42.3%
Cogeco Cable Inc ($CCA)45.8%46.0%44.9%43.8%46.2%
Cogeco Inc ($CGO)28.1%43.2%43.5%43.3%44.3%
Shaw Communications Inc ($SJR.B)43.3%42.7%43.3%42.1%44.6%
BCE Inc ($BCE)37.0%38.8%37.7%38.4%37.7%
 
Median (49 companies)16.4%15.6%14.8%13.4%14.5%
NeuLion Inc ($NLN)-21.5%-12.6%4.5%11.1%6.0%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Newfoundland Capital Corp Ltd ($NCC.B)8.7%5.5%76.8%5.9%
Axia NetMedia Corp ($AXX)10.7%30.8%27.2%27.0%
UrtheCast Corp ($UR)26.5%
TeraGo Inc ($TGO)21.6%20.9%21.5%23.1%
Manitoba Telecom Services Inc ($MBT)16.3%19.8%18.1%22.4%22.9%
 
Median (52 companies)4.3%2.2%3.3%2.1%2.5%
NeuLion Inc ($NLN)4.7%2.8%2.8%3.3%1.5%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Wi2Wi Corp ($YTY)-28.5%-166.9%136.7%
Tucows Inc ($TC)12.8%17.7%22.5%35.4%51.4%
Asian Television Network International Ltd ($SAT)102.7%34.6%23.6%23.4%
Points International Ltd ($PTS)20.7%14.9%15.0%21.2%18.8%
Yellow Pages Ltd/Canada ($Y)8.9%18.0%28.4%17.9%11.1%
 
Median (53 companies)7.2%9.2%8.3%8.0%5.1%
NeuLion Inc ($NLN)-62.1%-55.8%-10.3%18.5%-3.7%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Plaintree Systems Inc ($NPT)0.7x124.2x3.9x
Advantex Marketing International Inc ($ADX)4.8x2.2x5.0x
MDC Partners Inc ($MDZ.A)7.3x12.4x112.6x4.6x5.5x
Quebecor Inc ($QBR.B)2.0x3.7x3.9x4.2x
Postmedia Network Canada Corp ($PNC.B)2.9x3.3x3.4x4.2x
 
Median (41 companies)1.0x1.4x1.3x1.5x1.9x
NeuLion Inc ($NLN)-9.3x-4.2x-9.4x