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Whitecap Resources Inc reports 210% Net Income decline and 2.8 pp EBITDA Margin decline from 72.5% to 69.7%

02.03.2016 • About Whitecap Resources Inc ($WCP) • By InTwits

Whitecap Resources Inc reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Whitecap Resources Inc doesn't have a profitable business model yet: 2015 ROIC is -10.6%
  • Whitecap Resources Inc has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 128.7%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 90.0%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 475 in 2015, 1,270 in 2014, 598 in 2013, 250 in 2012, 182 in 2011
  • The company has unprofitable business model: ROIC is at -10.6%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Whitecap Resources Inc ($WCP) key annual financial indicators

mln. CAD201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue123.6283.5387.6679.7709.84.4%
Gross Profit50.0111.0163.3291.8-262.1-189.8%
SG&A3.69.212.117.721.521.6%
EBITDA88.1186.6278.0492.7495.00.5%
Net Income25.552.540.4453.1-500.7-210.5%
Balance Sheet
Cash0.00.00.00.00.0
Short Term Debt0.00.00.00.00.0
Long Term Debt130.8310.7382.9756.6876.215.8%
Cash flow
Capex181.8250.0597.51,270.3475.1-62.6%
Ratios
Revenue growth437.9%129.4%36.7%75.4%4.4%
EBITDA growth1,725.7%111.9%49.0%77.2%0.5%
Gross Margin40.5%39.2%42.1%42.9%-36.9%-79.9%
EBITDA Margin71.3%65.8%71.7%72.5%69.7%-2.8%
Net Income Margin20.6%18.5%10.4%66.7%-70.5%-137.2%
SG&A, % of revenue2.9%3.3%3.1%2.6%3.0%0.4%
CAPEX, % of revenue147.1%88.2%154.2%186.9%66.9%-120.0%
ROIC10.7%7.1%8.1%9.6%-10.6%-20.2%
ROE9.6%8.1%3.7%23.8%-19.9%-43.6%
Net Debt/EBITDA1.5x1.7x1.4x1.5x1.8x0.2x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue increased on 4.4% in 2015. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin jumped on 50.4 pp from -17.2% to 33.2% in 2015.

Gross Margin dropped on 79.9 pp from 42.9% to -36.9% in 2015. SG&A as a % of Revenue showed almost no change in 2015.

Net Income marign dropped on 137 pp from 66.7% to -70.5% in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In 2015 Whitecap Resources Inc had CAPEX/Revenue of 66.9%. Whitecap Resources Inc's CAPEX/Revenue dropped on 21.2 pp from 88.2% in 2012 to 66.9% in 2015. For the last three years the average CAPEX/Revenue was 136%.The company maintained rich investment policy and has spent a big chunk of EBITDA (96.0%) to CAPEX.

Return on investment


The company operates at negative ROIC (-10.60%) and ROE (-19.87%). ROIC dropped on 20.2 pp from 9.6% to -10.6% in 2015. ROE dropped on 43.6 pp from 23.8% to -19.9% in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 1.8x Net Debt / EBITDA and 1.8x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA surged on 0.2x from 1.5x to 1.8x in 2015. Debt jumped on 15.8% in 2015 while cash didn't change in 2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Energy


Below we provide Whitecap Resources Inc benchmarking against other companies in Energy industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Petro Rio SA ($PRJ)-36.3%-32.1%-34.9%10,977.1%
ONEnergy Inc ($OEG)6,002.6%
Sterling Resources Ltd ($SLG)-94.8%4,514.9%2,244.4%
Ikkuma Resources Corp ($IKM)22.5%17.0%-4.5%1,231.1%
Spartan Energy Corp ($SPE)-8.2%16.6%29.9%923.7%
 
Median (160 companies)39.0%9.5%16.2%17.6%-27.0%
Whitecap Resources Inc ($WCP)129.4%36.7%75.4%4.4%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
TransAlta Renewables Inc ($RNW)94.4%94.5%94.5%
Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd ($AAV)70.5%62.0%84.5%92.5%
Freehold Royalties Ltd ($FRU)91.7%90.4%89.0%90.2%
MEG Energy Corp ($MEG)85.5%86.8%87.4%87.6%84.1%
NXT Energy Solutions Inc ($SFD)-43.2%65.6%36.0%87.3%
 
Median (140 companies)33.3%29.3%31.5%29.6%29.9%
Whitecap Resources Inc ($WCP)40.5%39.2%42.1%42.9%-36.9%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Seven Generations Energy Ltd ($VII)56.9%54.0%106.0%
Tourmaline Oil Corp ($TOU)67.4%67.9%80.0%97.6%
Bonavista Energy Corp ($BNP)63.8%64.6%62.6%91.6%54.5%
Bellatrix Exploration Ltd ($BXE)42.7%58.6%83.6%89.6%
Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd ($AAV)-4.0%5.2%66.1%87.8%
 
Median (159 companies)24.7%25.0%30.5%28.9%11.9%
Whitecap Resources Inc ($WCP)71.3%65.8%71.7%72.5%69.7%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Oryx Petroleum Corp Ltd ($OXC)1,997.8%
Petroshale Inc ($PSH)30.6%346.6%865.9%
Toro Oil & Gas Ltd ($TOO)192.4%139.0%39.2%808.7%
Athabasca Oil Corp ($ATH)176.2%2,426.4%596.6%504.7%
BNK Petroleum Inc ($BKX)139.2%195.8%789.1%316.6%
 
Median (162 companies)42.0%47.3%39.1%47.1%21.4%
Whitecap Resources Inc ($WCP)147.1%88.2%154.2%186.9%66.9%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Pason Systems Inc ($PSI)33.5%30.0%29.7%41.0%6.0%
Sea Dragon Energy Inc ($SDX)-10.1%8.1%21.8%32.9%
Raging River Exploration Inc ($RRX)29.1%
High Arctic Energy Services Inc ($HWO)27.0%31.4%26.3%24.9%
Rooster Energy Ltd ($COQ)22.9%
 
Median (165 companies)4.4%3.2%4.5%5.0%-4.3%
Whitecap Resources Inc ($WCP)10.7%7.1%8.1%9.6%-10.6%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Veresen Inc ($VSN)22.3x16.2x14.7x30.3x
Lightstream Resources Ltd ($LTS)2.0x27.8x
Petroshale Inc ($PSH)0.1x21.7x
Connacher Oil and Gas Ltd ($CLC)9.7x16.7x8.8x17.1x
Pengrowth Energy Corp ($PGF)1.5x2.9x2.1x16.8x
 
Median (136 companies)1.2x1.5x1.5x1.4x3.3x
Whitecap Resources Inc ($WCP)1.5x1.7x1.4x1.5x1.8x