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Gibson Energy Inc EBITDA dropped on 66.7% in 2015 and Revenue dropped on 37.0%

01.03.2016 • About Gibson Energy Inc ($GEI) • By InTwits

Gibson Energy Inc reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Gibson Energy Inc doesn't have a profitable business model yet: 2015 ROIC is -4.3%
  • EBITDA Margin is declining: 2.7% in 2015 vs. 5.1% in 2014 vs. 4.7% in 2011
  • Gibson Energy Inc has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 3.9%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 28.2%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 319 in 2015, 355 in 2014, 227 in 2013, 169 in 2012, 135 in 2011
  • The company has unprofitable business model: ROIC is at -4.3%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Gibson Energy Inc ($GEI) key annual financial indicators

mln. CAD201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue5,0724,9136,9418,5745,405-37.0%
Gross Profit154205274274109-60.1%
SG&A394047567227.5%
EBITDA240300418440146-66.7%
Net Income-6311610492-281-405.3%
Balance Sheet
Cash65619713283-37.2%
Short Term Debt7380035
Long Term Debt6216007581,1651,29110.8%
Cash flow
Capex135169227355319-10.1%
Ratios
Revenue growth37.4%-3.1%41.3%23.5%-37.0%
EBITDA growth66.7%24.9%39.3%5.3%-66.7%
Gross Margin3.0%4.2%4.0%3.2%2.0%-1.2%
EBITDA Margin4.7%6.1%6.0%5.1%2.7%-2.4%
Net Income Margin-1.2%2.4%1.5%1.1%-5.2%-6.3%
SG&A, % of revenue0.8%0.8%0.7%0.7%1.3%0.7%
CAPEX, % of revenue2.7%3.4%3.3%4.1%5.9%1.8%
ROIC9.0%9.2%10.4%9.0%-4.3%-13.2%
ROE-10.0%10.8%7.8%6.6%-21.6%-28.2%
Net Debt/EBITDA2.3x1.9x1.6x2.4x8.5x6.1x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue dropped on 37.0% in 2015. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin increased slightly on 0.76 pp from 2.2% to 2.9% in 2015.

Gross Margin decreased slightly on 1.2 pp from 3.2% to 2.0% in 2015. SG&A as a % of Revenue increased slightly on 0.67 pp from 0.66% to 1.3% in 2015.

Net Income marign decreased on 6.3 pp from 1.1% to -5.2% in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In 2015 Gibson Energy Inc had CAPEX/Revenue of 5.9%. CAPEX/Revenue increased on 2.5 pp from 3.4% in 2012 to 5.9% in 2015. It's average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 4.4%.Gibson Energy Inc has spent a lot to CAPEX (218% of EBITDA) which didn't stop revenue from falling.

Return on investment


The company operates at negative ROIC (-4.28%) and ROE (-21.64%). ROIC dropped on 13.2 pp from 9.0% to -4.3% in 2015. ROE dropped on 28.2 pp from 6.6% to -21.6% in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is 8.5x and Debt / EBITDA is 9.1x. Net Debt / EBITDA surged on 6.1x from 2.4x to 8.5x in 2015. Debt jumped on 13.8% in 2015 while cash dropped on 37.2% in 2015.

Management team


The company's CEO is A Stewart Hanlon. A Stewart Hanlon is a founder and has 9 years tenure at the company.

Appendix 1: Peers in Energy


Below we provide Gibson Energy Inc benchmarking against other companies in Energy industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Petro Rio SA ($PRJ)-36.3%-32.1%-34.9%10,977.1%
ONEnergy Inc ($OEG)6,002.6%
Sterling Resources Ltd ($SLG)-94.8%4,514.9%2,244.4%
Ikkuma Resources Corp ($IKM)22.5%17.0%-4.5%1,231.1%
Spartan Energy Corp ($SPE)-8.2%16.6%29.9%923.7%
 
Median (160 companies)37.9%10.4%16.2%17.6%-25.6%
Gibson Energy Inc ($GEI)-3.1%41.3%23.5%-37.0%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
TransAlta Renewables Inc ($RNW)94.4%94.5%94.5%
Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd ($AAV)70.5%62.0%84.5%92.5%
Freehold Royalties Ltd ($FRU)91.7%90.4%89.0%90.2%
MEG Energy Corp ($MEG)85.5%86.8%87.4%87.6%84.1%
NXT Energy Solutions Inc ($SFD)-43.2%65.6%36.0%87.3%
 
Median (140 companies)34.2%29.3%31.6%30.3%30.5%
Gibson Energy Inc ($GEI)3.0%4.2%4.0%3.2%2.0%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Seven Generations Energy Ltd ($VII)56.9%54.0%106.0%
Tourmaline Oil Corp ($TOU)67.4%67.9%80.0%97.6%
Bonavista Energy Corp ($BNP)63.8%64.6%62.6%91.6%54.5%
Bellatrix Exploration Ltd ($BXE)42.7%58.6%83.6%89.6%
Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd ($AAV)-4.0%5.2%66.1%87.8%
 
Median (159 companies)25.5%25.7%31.1%29.6%12.0%
Gibson Energy Inc ($GEI)4.7%6.1%6.0%5.1%2.7%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Oryx Petroleum Corp Ltd ($OXC)1,997.8%
Petroshale Inc ($PSH)30.6%346.6%865.9%
Toro Oil & Gas Ltd ($TOO)192.4%139.0%39.2%808.7%
Athabasca Oil Corp ($ATH)176.2%2,426.4%596.6%504.7%
BNK Petroleum Inc ($BKX)139.2%195.8%789.1%316.6%
 
Median (162 companies)43.3%50.0%39.2%48.8%22.2%
Gibson Energy Inc ($GEI)2.7%3.4%3.3%4.1%5.9%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Pason Systems Inc ($PSI)33.5%30.0%29.7%41.0%6.0%
Sea Dragon Energy Inc ($SDX)-10.1%8.1%21.8%32.9%
Raging River Exploration Inc ($RRX)29.1%
High Arctic Energy Services Inc ($HWO)27.0%31.4%26.3%24.9%
Rooster Energy Ltd ($COQ)22.9%
 
Median (165 companies)4.4%3.2%4.5%5.0%-6.8%
Gibson Energy Inc ($GEI)9.0%9.2%10.4%9.0%-4.3%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Veresen Inc ($VSN)22.3x16.2x14.7x30.3x
Lightstream Resources Ltd ($LTS)2.0x27.8x
Petroshale Inc ($PSH)0.1x21.7x
Connacher Oil and Gas Ltd ($CLC)9.7x16.7x8.8x17.1x
Pengrowth Energy Corp ($PGF)1.5x2.9x2.1x16.8x
 
Median (136 companies)1.2x1.5x1.5x1.4x3.5x
Gibson Energy Inc ($GEI)2.3x1.9x1.6x2.4x8.5x