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Pason Systems Inc reports 113% Net Income decline and 10.8 pp EBITDA Margin decline from 50.1% to 39.3%

25.02.2016 • About Pason Systems Inc ($PSI) • By InTwits

Pason Systems Inc reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Pason Systems Inc has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 17.6%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 6.8%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 44.3 in 2015, 114 in 2014, 56.2 in 2013, 58.6 in 2012, 71.4 in 2011
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is at 6.0%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Pason Systems Inc ($PSI) key annual financial indicators

mln. CAD201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue346.2386.5403.1499.3285.1-42.9%
Gross Profit213.8245.5250.8323.9167.6-48.3%
SG&A21.319.918.618.816.5-12.2%
EBITDA173.8179.4172.4250.2112.0-55.2%
Net Income86.239.923.7112.1-14.6-113.0%
Balance Sheet
Cash105.0138.378.0144.9195.835.2%
Short Term Debt0.00.00.00.00.0
Long Term Debt0.00.00.00.00.0
Cash flow
Capex71.458.656.2113.744.3-61.1%
Ratios
Revenue growth38.7%11.7%4.3%23.9%-42.9%
EBITDA growth70.9%3.2%-3.9%45.1%-55.2%
Gross Margin61.8%63.5%62.2%64.9%58.8%-6.1%
EBITDA Margin50.2%46.4%42.8%50.1%39.3%-10.8%
Net Income Margin24.9%10.3%5.9%22.5%-5.1%-27.6%
SG&A, % of revenue6.2%5.2%4.6%3.8%5.8%2.0%
CAPEX, % of revenue20.6%15.2%13.9%22.8%15.5%-7.2%
ROIC33.5%30.0%29.7%41.0%6.0%-35.0%
ROE25.5%10.8%6.4%26.4%-3.0%-29.4%
Net Debt/EBITDA-0.6x-0.8x-0.5x-0.6x-1.7x-1.2x

Revenue and profitability


Pason Systems Inc's Revenue dropped on 42.9% in 2015. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin increased on 9.4 pp from 7.5% to 16.9% in 2015.

Gross Margin decreased on 6.1 pp from 64.9% to 58.8% in 2015. SG&A as a % of Revenue increased on 2.0 pp from 3.8% to 5.8% in 2015.

Net Income marign dropped on 27.6 pp from 22.5% to -5.1% in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In 2015 the company had CAPEX/Revenue of 15.5%. The company's CAPEX/Revenue showed almost no change from 2012 to 2015. Average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 17.4%.

Return on investment


The company operates at low but positive ROIC (6.04%) and negative ROE (-3.00%). ROIC dropped on 35.0 pp from 41.0% to 6.0% in 2015. ROE dropped on 29.4 pp from 26.4% to -3.0% in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


The company has no debt. Cash jumped on 35.2% in 2015.

Management team


Pason Systems Inc's CEO Marcel Kessler is a founder and has spent 7 years at the company. Jon Faber is a The company's CFO. Jon Faber has spent 4 years at the company.

Appendix 1: Peers in Energy


Below we provide Pason Systems Inc benchmarking against other companies in Energy industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Petro Rio SA ($PRJ)-36.3%-32.1%-34.9%10,977.1%
ONEnergy Inc ($OEG)6,002.6%
Sterling Resources Ltd ($SLG)-94.8%4,514.9%2,244.4%
Ikkuma Resources Corp ($IKM)22.5%17.0%-4.5%1,231.1%
Spartan Energy Corp ($SPE)-8.2%16.6%29.9%923.7%
 
Median (160 companies)38.6%9.5%17.1%17.6%-24.0%
Pason Systems Inc ($PSI)11.7%4.3%23.9%-42.9%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
TransAlta Renewables Inc ($RNW)94.4%94.5%94.5%
Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd ($AAV)70.5%62.0%84.5%92.5%
Freehold Royalties Ltd ($FRU)91.7%90.4%89.0%90.2%
MEG Energy Corp ($MEG)85.5%86.8%87.4%87.6%84.1%
NXT Energy Solutions Inc ($SFD)-43.2%65.6%36.0%87.3%
 
Median (140 companies)33.3%29.3%31.5%29.6%30.7%
Pason Systems Inc ($PSI)61.8%63.5%62.2%64.9%58.8%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Seven Generations Energy Ltd ($VII)56.9%54.0%106.0%
Tourmaline Oil Corp ($TOU)67.4%67.9%80.0%97.6%
Bonavista Energy Corp ($BNP)63.8%64.6%62.6%91.6%54.5%
Bellatrix Exploration Ltd ($BXE)42.7%58.6%83.6%89.6%
Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd ($AAV)-4.0%5.2%66.1%87.8%
 
Median (159 companies)24.7%25.0%30.5%28.9%5.9%
Pason Systems Inc ($PSI)50.2%46.4%42.8%50.1%39.3%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Oryx Petroleum Corp Ltd ($OXC)1,997.8%
Petroshale Inc ($PSH)30.6%346.6%865.9%
Toro Oil & Gas Ltd ($TOO)192.4%139.0%39.2%808.7%
Athabasca Oil Corp ($ATH)176.2%2,426.4%596.6%504.7%
BNK Petroleum Inc ($BKX)139.2%195.8%789.1%316.6%
 
Median (162 companies)43.3%50.0%39.2%48.8%21.5%
Pason Systems Inc ($PSI)20.6%15.2%13.9%22.8%15.5%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Sea Dragon Energy Inc ($SDX)-10.1%8.1%21.8%32.9%
Raging River Exploration Inc ($RRX)29.1%
High Arctic Energy Services Inc ($HWO)27.0%31.4%26.3%24.9%
Rooster Energy Ltd ($COQ)22.9%
ARC Resources Ltd ($ARX)6.5%3.2%7.9%20.7%-6.0%
 
Median (165 companies)4.4%3.2%4.5%5.0%-7.1%
Pason Systems Inc ($PSI)33.5%30.0%29.7%41.0%6.0%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Veresen Inc ($VSN)22.3x16.2x14.7x30.3x
Lightstream Resources Ltd ($LTS)2.0x27.8x
Petroshale Inc ($PSH)0.1x21.7x
Connacher Oil and Gas Ltd ($CLC)9.7x16.7x8.8x17.1x
Pengrowth Energy Corp ($PGF)1.5x2.9x2.1x16.8x
 
Median (136 companies)1.2x1.6x1.5x1.4x4.8x
Pason Systems Inc ($PSI)-0.6x-0.8x-0.5x-0.6x-1.7x