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First Majestic Silver Corp reports 45.4% CAPEX decline and 10.6% Revenue decline

25.02.2016 • About First Majestic Silver Corp ($FR) • By InTwits

First Majestic Silver Corp reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • First Majestic Silver Corp doesn't have a profitable business model yet: 2015 ROIC is -17.6%
  • The company operates at negative EBITDA Margin: -20.3%
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: -20.3% in 2015, -12.6% in 2014, 26.5% in 2013, 53.6% in 2012, 63.4% in 2011
  • First Majestic Silver Corp has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 43.2%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 26.4%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 56.9 in 2015, 104 in 2014, 94.4 in 2013, 175 in 2012, 95.9 in 2011
  • The company has unprofitable business model: ROIC is at -17.6%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

First Majestic Silver Corp ($FR) key annual financial indicators

mln. $201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue245.5247.2251.3245.5219.4-10.6%
Gross Profit178.7167.492.390.683.8-7.6%
SG&A16.021.824.919.417.0-12.3%
EBITDA155.6132.566.6-31.0-44.643.7%
Net Income103.688.9-38.2-61.4-108.476.4%
Balance Sheet
Cash91.2111.654.840.351.026.5%
Short Term Debt5.115.533.937.844.517.7%
Long Term Debt9.814.220.315.57.4-52.4%
Cash flow
Capex95.9175.194.4104.356.9-45.4%
Ratios
Revenue growth108.2%0.7%1.7%-2.3%-10.6%
EBITDA growth207.1%-14.8%-49.7%-146.6%43.7%
Gross Margin72.8%67.7%36.7%36.9%38.2%1.3%
EBITDA Margin63.4%53.6%26.5%-12.6%-20.3%-7.7%
Net Income Margin42.2%36.0%-15.2%-25.0%-49.4%-24.4%
SG&A, % of revenue6.5%8.8%9.9%7.9%7.7%-0.2%
CAPEX, % of revenue39.1%70.9%37.6%42.5%25.9%-16.5%
ROIC43.7%19.1%3.1%-12.7%-17.6%-4.9%
ROE36.9%18.8%-6.6%-11.3%-20.4%-9.1%
Net Debt/EBITDA-0.5x-0.6x-0.0x0.0x

Revenue and profitability


First Majestic Silver Corp's Revenue dropped on 10.6% in 2015. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin increased on 5.9 pp from 4.7% to 10.6% in FY2015.

Gross Margin increased slightly on 1.3 pp from 36.9% to 38.2% in 2015. SG&A as a % of Revenue showed almost no change in 2015.

Net Income marign dropped on 24.4 pp from -25.0% to -49.4% in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


The company's CAPEX/Revenue was 25.9% in 2015. First Majestic Silver Corp showed big decline in CAPEX/Revenue of 44.9 pp from 70.9% in 2012 to 25.9% in 2015. Average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 35.3%.

Return on investment


The company operates at negative ROIC (-17.62%) and ROE (-20.36%). ROIC decreased on 4.9 pp from -12.7% to -17.6% in 2015. ROE decreased on 9.1 pp from -11.3% to -20.4% in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is 0.6x and Debt / EBITDA is . Net Debt / EBITDA didn't change in 2015. Debt decreased on 2.6% in 2015 while cash surged on 26.5% in 2015.

Management team


The company's CEO is Keith Neumeyer. Keith Neumeyer is a founder and has 16 years tenure at the company. Raymond L Polman is a First Majestic Silver Corp's CFO. Raymond L Polman has spent 11 years at the company.

Appendix 1: Peers in Basic Materials


Below we provide First Majestic Silver Corp benchmarking against other companies in Basic Materials industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Northern Sun Mining Corp ($NSC)-93.3%315.4%-99.4%8,924.9%
Turquoise Hill Resources Ltd ($TRQ)-34.0%3,268.9%-5.8%
Asian Mineral Resources Ltd ($ASN)859.1%
Ur-Energy Inc ($URE)285.4%
Nevsun Resources Ltd ($NSU)3.3%-72.5%256.5%-35.7%
 
Median (130 companies)39.5%8.5%-5.1%-0.8%-4.4%
First Majestic Silver Corp ($FR)0.7%1.7%-2.3%-10.6%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Nevsun Resources Ltd ($NSU)90.3%89.9%94.8%95.5%82.3%
Franco-Nevada Corp ($FNV)84.6%86.1%85.0%83.5%
Labrador Iron Ore Royalty Corp ($LIF)80.2%80.2%80.2%80.2%
Lucara Diamond Corp ($LUC)42.5%57.4%66.7%60.9%
Royal Gold Inc ($RGL)68.9%71.5%70.6%57.6%86.0%
 
Median (133 companies)30.1%31.5%20.7%16.8%15.3%
First Majestic Silver Corp ($FR)72.8%67.7%36.7%36.9%38.2%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Royal Gold Inc ($RGL)86.1%88.2%88.6%84.4%65.0%
Franco-Nevada Corp ($FNV)38.6%62.1%44.6%72.3%
Silver Wheaton Corp ($SLW)84.8%82.6%75.3%69.6%
Sandstorm Gold Ltd ($SSL)63.8%74.3%49.9%62.1%
Nevsun Resources Ltd ($NSU)81.0%76.8%54.5%60.4%38.6%
 
Median (137 companies)22.0%18.4%11.3%9.9%6.8%
First Majestic Silver Corp ($FR)63.4%53.6%26.5%-12.6%-20.3%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Barkerville Gold Mines Ltd ($BGM)123.7%38.5%49.9%7,166.9%3.2%
Marlin Gold Mining Ltd ($MLN)508.8%
Imperial Metals Corp ($III)28.2%69.2%185.7%280.2%
Golden Minerals Co ($AUM)462.4%36.9%16.8%212.8%0.5%
Franco-Nevada Corp ($FNV)9.3%3.7%35.5%201.6%
 
Median (139 companies)23.9%26.3%25.2%16.0%15.7%
First Majestic Silver Corp ($FR)39.1%70.9%37.6%42.5%25.9%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Lucara Diamond Corp ($LUC)-7.1%-2.9%41.3%54.7%39.6%
CanAf Group Inc ($CAF)74.9%37.0%65.2%37.6%13.8%
Nevsun Resources Ltd ($NSU)89.8%52.2%8.8%35.0%10.4%
Dynacor Gold Mines Inc ($DNG)45.6%62.8%50.9%31.3%
Canfor Pulp Products Inc ($CFX)103.5%4.9%13.2%21.3%24.1%
 
Median (143 companies)5.4%4.9%-0.1%0.6%-3.6%
First Majestic Silver Corp ($FR)43.7%19.1%3.1%-12.7%-17.6%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
VMS Ventures Inc ($VMS)86.7x4.7x
Ur-Energy Inc ($URE)55.1x
Katanga Mining Ltd ($KAT)0.4x19.4x3.3x18.8x
HudBay Minerals Inc ($HBM)-2.8x-4.8x2.0x14.0x
Imperial Metals Corp ($III)-0.1x1.5x4.9x12.9x
 
Median (95 companies)-0.0x0.3x0.9x0.9x1.4x