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Bonavista Energy Corp EBITDA dropped on 54.3% in 2015 and EBITDA Margin dropped on 37.0 pp from 91.6% to 54.5%

25.02.2016 • About Bonavista Energy Corp ($BNP) • By InTwits

Bonavista Energy Corp reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Bonavista Energy Corp is a company in decline: 2015 revenue growth was -23.3%, 5 years revenue CAGR was -3.0%
  • Bonavista Energy Corp has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 59.6%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 90.0%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 475 in 2015, 1,270 in 2014, 598 in 2013, 250 in 2012, 182 in 2011
  • The company has unprofitable business model: ROIC is at -24.1%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Bonavista Energy Corp ($BNP) key annual financial indicators

mln. CAD201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue890.4716.8826.2905.5695.0-23.3%
Gross Profit620.8448.6550.4637.0467.6-26.6%
SG&A24.127.030.832.032.51.5%
EBITDA568.2463.1517.5829.3379.0-54.3%
Net Income137.264.249.54.8-751.5-15,605.4%
Balance Sheet
Cash0.00.00.00.00.0
Short Term Debt0.00.00.050.034.6-30.8%
Long Term Debt1,080.6889.11,046.2989.71,231.024.4%
Cash flow
Capex473.4416.7460.1685.1383.5-44.0%
Ratios
Revenue growth9.8%-19.5%15.3%9.6%-23.3%
EBITDA growth2.3%-18.5%11.7%60.2%-54.3%
Gross Margin69.7%62.6%66.6%70.4%67.3%-3.1%
EBITDA Margin63.8%64.6%62.6%91.6%54.5%-37.0%
Net Income Margin15.4%9.0%6.0%0.5%-108.1%-108.7%
SG&A, % of revenue2.7%3.8%3.7%3.5%4.7%1.1%
CAPEX, % of revenue53.2%58.1%55.7%75.7%55.2%-20.5%
ROIC8.3%4.0%4.8%4.4%-24.1%-28.5%
ROE7.1%3.0%2.2%0.2%-38.5%-38.7%
Net Debt/EBITDA1.9x1.9x2.0x1.3x3.3x2.1x

Revenue and profitability


Bonavista Energy Corp's Revenue dropped on 23.3% in 2015. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin jumped on 50.4 pp from -17.2% to 33.2% in 2015.

Gross Margin decreased on 3.1 pp from 70.4% to 67.3% in 2015. SG&A as a % of Revenue increased slightly on 1.1 pp from 3.5% to 4.7% in 2015.

Net Income marign dropped on 109 pp from 0.54% to -108% in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In 2015 Bonavista Energy Corp had CAPEX/Revenue of 55.2%. Bonavista Energy Corp's CAPEX/Revenue decreased on 3.0 pp from 58.1% in 2012 to 55.2% in 2015. For the last three years the average CAPEX/Revenue was 62.2%.Battling declining revenue the company made large investments to CAPEX (101% of EBITDA) but that didn't help at least in this year.

Return on investment


The company operates at negative ROIC (-24.11%) and ROE (-38.48%). ROIC dropped on 28.5 pp from 4.4% to -24.1% in 2015. ROE dropped on 38.7 pp from 0.21% to -38.5% in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 3.3x Net Debt / EBITDA and 3.3x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA jumped on 2.1x from 1.3x to 3.3x in 2015. Debt surged on 21.7% in 2015 while cash didn't change in 2015.

Management team


Bonavista Energy Corp's CEO Jason E Skehar is a founder and has spent 5 years at the company. Dean Mark Kobelka is a The company's CFO. Dean Mark Kobelka has spent 3 years at the company.

Appendix 1: Peers in Energy


Below you can find Bonavista Energy Corp benchmarking vs. other companies in Energy industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Petro Rio SA ($PRJ)-36.3%-32.1%-34.9%10,977.1%
ONEnergy Inc ($OEG)6,002.6%
Sterling Resources Ltd ($SLG)-94.8%4,514.9%2,244.4%
Ikkuma Resources Corp ($IKM)22.5%17.0%-4.5%1,231.1%
Spartan Energy Corp ($SPE)-8.2%16.6%29.9%923.7%
 
Median (160 companies)38.6%10.4%17.1%18.5%-25.6%
Bonavista Energy Corp ($BNP)-19.5%15.3%9.6%-23.3%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
TransAlta Renewables Inc ($RNW)94.4%94.5%94.5%
Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd ($AAV)70.5%62.0%84.5%92.5%
Freehold Royalties Ltd ($FRU)91.7%90.4%89.0%90.2%
MEG Energy Corp ($MEG)85.5%86.8%87.4%87.6%84.1%
NXT Energy Solutions Inc ($SFD)-43.2%65.6%36.0%87.3%
 
Median (140 companies)33.3%29.3%31.5%29.6%30.7%
Bonavista Energy Corp ($BNP)69.7%62.6%66.6%70.4%67.3%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Seven Generations Energy Ltd ($VII)56.9%54.0%106.0%
Tourmaline Oil Corp ($TOU)67.4%67.9%80.0%97.6%
Bellatrix Exploration Ltd ($BXE)42.7%58.6%83.6%89.6%
Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd ($AAV)-4.0%5.2%66.1%87.8%
Peyto Exploration & Development Corp ($PEY)83.6%86.1%83.2%86.3%
 
Median (159 companies)24.7%25.0%30.5%28.9%5.9%
Bonavista Energy Corp ($BNP)63.8%64.6%62.6%91.6%54.5%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Oryx Petroleum Corp Ltd ($OXC)1,997.8%
Petroshale Inc ($PSH)30.6%346.6%865.9%
Toro Oil & Gas Ltd ($TOO)192.4%139.0%39.2%808.7%
Athabasca Oil Corp ($ATH)176.2%2,426.4%596.6%504.7%
BNK Petroleum Inc ($BKX)139.2%195.8%789.1%316.6%
 
Median (162 companies)42.0%47.3%39.1%47.1%21.2%
Bonavista Energy Corp ($BNP)53.2%58.1%55.7%75.7%55.2%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Pason Systems Inc ($PSI)33.5%30.0%29.7%41.0%6.0%
Sea Dragon Energy Inc ($SDX)-10.1%8.1%21.8%32.9%
Raging River Exploration Inc ($RRX)29.1%
High Arctic Energy Services Inc ($HWO)27.0%31.4%26.3%24.9%
Rooster Energy Ltd ($COQ)22.9%
 
Median (165 companies)4.4%3.2%4.5%5.1%-6.0%
Bonavista Energy Corp ($BNP)8.3%4.0%4.8%4.4%-24.1%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Veresen Inc ($VSN)22.3x16.2x14.7x30.3x
Lightstream Resources Ltd ($LTS)2.0x27.8x
Petroshale Inc ($PSH)0.1x21.7x
Connacher Oil and Gas Ltd ($CLC)9.7x16.7x8.8x17.1x
Pengrowth Energy Corp ($PGF)1.5x2.9x2.1x16.8x
 
Median (136 companies)1.2x1.5x1.5x1.4x4.8x
Bonavista Energy Corp ($BNP)1.9x1.9x2.0x1.3x3.3x