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Atco Ltd/Canada reports 63.3% Net Income decline and 2.7 pp EBITDA Margin decline from 41.4% to 38.7%

25.02.2016 • About Atco Ltd/Canada ($ACO.X) • By InTwits

Atco Ltd/Canada reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Atco Ltd/Canada has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 47.4%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 46.9%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 49.1 in FY2015, 43.5 in FY2014, 38.3 in FY2013, 33.0 in FY2012, 76.2 in FY2011
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is at 5.6%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Atco Ltd/Canada ($ACO.X) key annual financial indicators

mln. CAD201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue3,9914,0124,3594,5544,131-9.3%
Gross Profit3,2843,4333,7083,7493,511-6.3%
EBITDA1,4631,5981,7891,8871,599-15.3%
Net Income327370418420154-63.3%
Balance Sheet
Cash76847074359580034.5%
Short Term Debt1923417910321-79.6%
Long Term Debt4,5885,5046,2187,2858,03510.3%
Cash flow
Capex1,4432,3612,3612,1991,637-25.6%
Ratios
Revenue growth14.5%0.5%8.6%4.5%-9.3%
EBITDA growth11.9%9.2%12.0%5.5%-15.3%
Gross Margin82.3%85.6%85.1%82.3%85.0%2.7%
EBITDA Margin36.7%39.8%41.0%41.4%38.7%-2.7%
Net Income Margin8.2%9.2%9.6%9.2%3.7%-5.5%
CAPEX, % of revenue36.2%58.8%54.2%48.3%39.6%-8.7%
ROIC11.6%10.8%10.5%9.6%5.6%-4.1%
ROE15.8%16.3%16.0%13.9%4.7%-9.2%
Net Debt/EBITDA2.7x3.2x3.2x3.6x4.5x0.9x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue decreased on 9.3% in 2015. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin increased on 2.5 pp from 42.1% to 44.6% in FY2015.

Gross Margin increased on 2.7 pp from 82.3% to 85.0% in 2015.

Net Income marign decreased on 5.5 pp from 9.2% to 3.7% in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In 2015 Atco Ltd/Canada had CAPEX/Revenue of 39.6%. Atco Ltd/Canada showed big decline in CAPEX/Revenue of 19.2 pp from 58.8% in 2012 to 39.6% in 2015. It's average level of CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 47.4%.Battling declining revenue the company made large investments to CAPEX (102% of EBITDA) but that didn't help at least in this year.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (5.56%) and ROE (4.72%). ROIC decreased on 4.1 pp from 9.6% to 5.6% in 2015. ROE decreased on 9.2 pp from 13.9% to 4.7% in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is 4.5x and Debt / EBITDA is 5.0x. Net Debt / EBITDA jumped on 0.9x from 3.6x to 4.5x in 2015. Debt increased on 9.0% in 2015 while cash jumped on 34.5% in 2015.

Management team


The company's CEO Nancy C Southern is a founder and has spent 20 years at the company. Atco Ltd/Canada's CFO Brian R Bale has spent 8 years at the company.

Appendix 1: Peers in Utilities


Below you can find Atco Ltd/Canada benchmarking vs. other companies in Utilities industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp ($AQN)50.1%28.8%93.6%39.4%
Northland Power Inc ($NPI)1.5%54.1%36.4%-4.2%
Fortis Inc/Canada ($FTS)-2.2%10.8%33.5%25.1%
Emera Inc ($EMA)-0.3%8.3%31.8%-5.1%
Just Energy Group Inc ($JE)-10.1%13.4%17.4%10.2%
 
Median (14 companies)16.4%0.5%11.1%13.3%-4.6%
Atco Ltd/Canada ($ACO.X)0.5%8.6%4.5%-9.3%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Canadian Utilities Ltd ($CU)76.5%81.0%80.8%77.7%81.0%
Northland Power Inc ($NPI)47.7%52.5%63.7%61.8%69.0%
Fortis Inc/Canada ($FTS)31.9%34.6%34.4%59.3%61.7%
Capital Power Corp ($CPX)48.9%58.9%59.8%58.4%61.4%
TransAlta Corp ($TA)64.4%65.9%58.6%58.4%55.5%
 
Median (13 companies)35.9%33.7%35.1%36.1%59.0%
Atco Ltd/Canada ($ACO.X)82.3%85.6%85.1%82.3%85.0%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Boralex Inc ($BLX)51.8%52.8%58.4%55.9%60.4%
Northland Power Inc ($NPI)48.1%54.2%52.4%51.2%57.5%
US Geothermal Inc ($GTH)-84.0%-129.5%52.9%49.6%
Canadian Utilities Ltd ($CU)42.9%45.9%45.7%47.4%45.8%
TransAlta Corp ($TA)44.2%27.3%34.0%39.5%33.2%
 
Median (14 companies)29.6%27.8%33.2%32.4%33.4%
Atco Ltd/Canada ($ACO.X)36.7%39.8%41.0%41.4%38.7%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Northland Power Inc ($NPI)101.7%84.0%60.2%238.7%265.9%
Boralex Inc ($BLX)17.7%5.6%62.5%85.9%123.1%
Canadian Utilities Ltd ($CU)43.7%70.7%66.4%58.5%47.2%
Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp ($AQN)22.4%21.7%23.5%45.9%
Fortis Inc/Canada ($FTS)29.8%31.4%29.0%31.9%31.5%
 
Median (14 companies)22.7%26.5%24.0%19.6%29.8%
Atco Ltd/Canada ($ACO.X)36.2%58.8%54.2%48.3%39.6%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Keyera Corp ($KEY)13.1%13.8%12.7%14.3%12.6%
Just Energy Group Inc ($JE)146.5%18.6%6.0%10.6%17.9%
Canadian Utilities Ltd ($CU)10.9%10.0%9.4%9.2%5.9%
Emera Inc ($EMA)6.1%5.8%5.9%8.4%5.6%
Northland Power Inc ($NPI)6.5%6.0%7.4%7.2%5.3%
 
Median (14 companies)6.6%5.3%6.0%5.4%5.6%
Atco Ltd/Canada ($ACO.X)11.6%10.8%10.5%9.6%5.6%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Atlantic Power Corp ($ATP)44.8x12.6x13.0x22.4x
Boralex Inc ($BLX)5.9x6.6x7.6x12.1x9.0x
Northland Power Inc ($NPI)5.9x6.4x5.8x6.9x11.1x
Fortis Inc/Canada ($FTS)5.3x5.0x5.6x6.7x5.3x
Just Energy Group Inc ($JE)2.5x4.3x7.4x6.4x3.9x
 
Median (14 companies)4.5x5.0x5.6x4.8x4.8x
Atco Ltd/Canada ($ACO.X)2.7x3.2x3.2x3.6x4.5x