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Ballard Power Systems Inc revenue started to decline in 2015: dropped 17.8% vs. 12.2% growth a year earliner

24.02.2016 • About Ballard Power Systems Inc ($BLD) • By InTwits

Ballard Power Systems Inc reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Ballard Power Systems Inc is a company in decline: 2015 revenue growth was -17.8%, 5 years revenue CAGR was -2.8%
  • The company operates at negative EBITDA Margin: -36.3%
  • Ballard Power Systems Inc motivates its personel by high Stock Based Compensation (SBC): average SBC/Revenue for 2011-2015 was 0.0%. On average EBITDA Margin was -39.7% for the sames years0
  • Ballard Power Systems Inc has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 3.2%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 27.1%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 2.3 in 2015, 0.83 in 2014, 0.49 in 2013, 1.2 in 2012, 4.1 in 2011
  • The company has unprofitable business model: ROIC is at -23.8%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Ballard Power Systems Inc ($BLD) key annual financial indicators

mln. $201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue55.77343.69061.25168.72156.463-17.8%
Gross Profit7.2797.36916.75910.2469.974-2.7%
SG&A19.20718.15217.71518.0221.7%
EBITDA-31.681-25.183-13.640-22.444-20.509-8.6%
Net Income-33.420-42.320-19.988-28.188-5.815-79.4%
Balance Sheet
Cash20.3169.77030.30123.67140.04969.2%
Short Term Debt5.56510.4011.3991.0081.0110.3%
Long Term Debt15.34113.01110.7729.2266.723-27.1%
Cash flow
Capex4.1071.1680.4850.8292.282175.3%
Ratios
Revenue growth-14.2%-21.7%40.2%12.2%-17.8%
EBITDA growth-6.5%-20.5%-45.8%64.5%-8.6%
Gross Margin13.1%16.9%27.4%14.9%17.7%2.8%
EBITDA Margin-56.8%-57.6%-22.3%-32.7%-36.3%-3.7%
Net Income Margin-59.9%-96.9%-32.6%-41.0%-10.3%30.7%
SG&A, % of revenue44.0%29.6%25.8%31.9%6.1%
CAPEX, % of revenue7.4%2.7%0.8%1.2%4.0%2.8%
ROIC-29.3%-32.0%-23.6%-32.6%-23.8%8.9%
ROE-29.7%-53.7%-29.8%-36.7%-5.9%30.8%

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue dropped on 17.8% in 2015. Revenue decline was worsened by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin decreased on 3.7 pp from -32.7% to -36.3% in 2015.

Gross Margin increased on 2.8 pp from 14.9% to 17.7% in 2015. SG&A as a % of Revenue increased on 6.1 pp from 25.8% to 31.9% in 2015.

Net Income marign jumped on 30.7 pp from -41.0% to -10.3% in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


The company's CAPEX/Revenue was 4.0% in 2015. Ballard Power Systems Inc's CAPEX/Revenue increased slightly on 1.4 pp from 2.7% in 2012 to 4.0% in 2015. Average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 2.0%.

Return on investment


The company operates at negative ROIC (-23.79%) and ROE (-5.92%). ROIC increased on 8.9 pp from -32.6% to -23.8% in 2015. ROE jumped on 30.8 pp from -36.7% to -5.9% in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is -1.4x and Debt / EBITDA is . Net Debt / EBITDA didn't change in 2015. Debt dropped on 24.4% in 2015 while cash jumped on 69.2% in 2015.

Management team


R Randall Macewen "Randy" is a Ballard Power Systems Inc's CEO. R Randall Macewen "Randy" is a founder and has spent 4 years at the company.

Appendix 1: Peers in Energy


Below you can find Ballard Power Systems Inc benchmarking vs. other companies in Energy industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Petro Rio SA ($PRJ)-36.3%-32.1%-34.9%10,977.1%
ONEnergy Inc ($OEG)6,002.6%
Sterling Resources Ltd ($SLG)-94.8%4,514.9%2,244.4%
Ikkuma Resources Corp ($IKM)22.5%17.0%-4.5%1,231.1%
Spartan Energy Corp ($SPE)-8.2%16.6%29.9%923.7%
 
Median (160 companies)38.0%10.4%16.2%18.5%-26.7%
Ballard Power Systems Inc ($BLD)-21.7%40.2%12.2%-17.8%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
TransAlta Renewables Inc ($RNW)94.4%94.5%94.5%
Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd ($AAV)70.5%62.0%84.5%92.5%
Freehold Royalties Ltd ($FRU)91.7%90.4%89.0%90.2%
MEG Energy Corp ($MEG)85.5%86.8%87.4%87.6%84.1%
NXT Energy Solutions Inc ($SFD)-43.2%65.6%36.0%87.3%
 
Median (140 companies)34.2%29.3%31.6%30.3%37.2%
Ballard Power Systems Inc ($BLD)13.1%16.9%27.4%14.9%17.7%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Seven Generations Energy Ltd ($VII)56.9%54.0%106.0%
Tourmaline Oil Corp ($TOU)67.4%67.9%80.0%97.6%
Bonavista Energy Corp ($BNP)63.8%64.6%62.6%91.6%
Bellatrix Exploration Ltd ($BXE)42.7%58.6%83.6%89.6%
Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd ($AAV)-4.0%5.2%66.1%87.8%
 
Median (159 companies)25.5%25.7%31.1%29.6%5.2%
Ballard Power Systems Inc ($BLD)-56.8%-57.6%-22.3%-32.7%-36.3%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Oryx Petroleum Corp Ltd ($OXC)1,997.8%
Petroshale Inc ($PSH)30.6%346.6%865.9%
Toro Oil & Gas Ltd ($TOO)192.4%139.0%39.2%808.7%
Athabasca Oil Corp ($ATH)176.2%2,426.4%596.6%504.7%
BNK Petroleum Inc ($BKX)139.2%195.8%789.1%316.6%
 
Median (162 companies)43.3%50.0%39.2%48.8%21.4%
Ballard Power Systems Inc ($BLD)7.4%2.7%0.8%1.2%4.0%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Pason Systems Inc ($PSI)33.5%30.0%29.7%41.0%
Sea Dragon Energy Inc ($SDX)-10.1%8.1%21.8%32.9%
Raging River Exploration Inc ($RRX)29.1%
High Arctic Energy Services Inc ($HWO)27.0%31.4%26.3%24.9%
Rooster Energy Ltd ($COQ)22.9%
 
Median (165 companies)4.5%3.5%4.6%5.1%-6.5%
Ballard Power Systems Inc ($BLD)-29.3%-32.0%-23.6%-32.6%-23.8%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Veresen Inc ($VSN)22.3x16.2x14.7x30.3x
Lightstream Resources Ltd ($LTS)2.0x27.8x
Petroshale Inc ($PSH)0.1x21.7x
Connacher Oil and Gas Ltd ($CLC)9.7x16.7x8.8x17.1x
Pengrowth Energy Corp ($PGF)1.5x2.9x2.1x16.8x
 
Median (137 companies)1.2x1.5x1.5x1.4x4.9x