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Primero Mining Corp CAPEX dropped on 11.2% in 2015 while Revenue increased on 6.1%

18.02.2016 • About Primero Mining Corp ($P) • By InTwits

Primero Mining Corp reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Primero Mining Corp doesn't have a profitable business model yet: 2015 ROIC is -9.9%
  • The company operates at negative EBITDA Margin: -2.7%
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: -2.7% in 2015, -48.2% in 2014, 43.6% in 2013, 42.3% in 2012, 46.5% in 2011
  • Primero Mining Corp has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 30.5%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 28.1%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 99.7 in 2015, 112 in 2014, 71.5 in 2013, 39.7 in 2012, 31.1 in 2011
  • The company has unprofitable business model: ROIC is at -9.9%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Primero Mining Corp ($P) key annual financial indicators

mln. $201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue156.5182.9200.3274.6291.36.1%
Gross Profit65.179.476.052.750.5-4.2%
SG&A18.930.024.536.820.0-45.5%
EBITDA72.877.487.3-132.3-7.9-94.0%
Net Income49.649.6-4.3-224.4-106.9-52.4%
Balance Sheet
Cash80.8139.2110.727.445.666.5%
Short Term Debt40.012.85.05.652.4833.4%
Long Term Debt40.027.222.289.862.7-30.1%
Cash flow
Capex31.139.771.5112.399.7-11.2%
Ratios
Revenue growth159.7%16.9%9.5%37.1%6.1%
EBITDA growth467.8%6.3%12.8%-251.4%-94.0%
Gross Margin41.6%43.4%37.9%19.2%17.3%-1.9%
EBITDA Margin46.5%42.3%43.6%-48.2%-2.7%45.5%
Net Income Margin31.7%27.1%-2.1%-81.7%-36.7%45.0%
SG&A, % of revenue12.1%16.4%12.2%13.4%6.9%-6.5%
CAPEX, % of revenue19.9%21.7%35.7%40.9%34.2%-6.7%
ROIC7.8%8.4%7.7%-24.0%-9.9%14.1%
ROE10.8%9.4%-0.7%-31.8%-15.3%16.5%
Net Debt/EBITDA-0.0x-1.3x-1.0x0.0x

Revenue and profitability


Primero Mining Corp's Revenue increased on 6.1% in 2015. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin surged on 34.3 pp from -78.0% to -43.7% in 2015.

Gross Margin decreased slightly on 1.9 pp from 19.2% to 17.3% in 2015. SG&A as a % of Revenue decreased on 6.5 pp from 13.4% to 6.9% in 2015.

Net Income marign surged on 45.0 pp from -81.7% to -36.7% in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In 2015 Primero Mining Corp had CAPEX/Revenue of 34.2%. The company's CAPEX/Revenue surged on 12.5 pp from 21.7% in 2012 to 34.2% in 2015. Average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 36.9%.

Return on investment


The company operates at negative ROIC (-9.85%) and ROE (-15.31%). ROIC jumped on 14.1 pp from -24.0% to -9.9% in 2015. ROE surged on 16.5 pp from -31.8% to -15.3% in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is -4.7x and Debt / EBITDA is . Net Debt / EBITDA didn't change in 2015. Debt surged on 20.7% in 2015 while cash jumped on 66.5% in 2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Basic Materials


Below we provide Primero Mining Corp benchmarking against other companies in Basic Materials industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Northern Sun Mining Corp ($NSC)-93.3%315.4%-99.4%8,924.9%
Turquoise Hill Resources Ltd ($TRQ)-34.0%3,268.9%-5.8%
Asian Mineral Resources Ltd ($ASN)859.1%
Ur-Energy Inc ($URE)285.4%
Nevsun Resources Ltd ($NSU)3.3%-72.5%256.5%
 
Median (130 companies)30.9%8.0%-5.1%-1.1%0.6%
Primero Mining Corp ($P)16.9%9.5%37.1%6.1%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Nevsun Resources Ltd ($NSU)90.3%89.9%94.8%95.5%
Franco-Nevada Corp ($FNV)84.6%86.1%85.0%83.5%
Labrador Iron Ore Royalty Corp ($LIF)80.2%80.2%80.2%80.2%
Lucara Diamond Corp ($LUC)42.5%57.4%66.7%
Royal Gold Inc ($RGL)68.9%71.5%70.6%57.6%86.0%
 
Median (133 companies)30.1%31.5%20.7%16.8%15.6%
Primero Mining Corp ($P)41.6%43.4%37.9%19.2%17.3%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Royal Gold Inc ($RGL)86.1%88.2%88.6%84.4%65.0%
Franco-Nevada Corp ($FNV)38.6%62.1%44.6%72.3%
Silver Wheaton Corp ($SLW)84.8%82.6%75.3%69.6%
Sandstorm Gold Ltd ($SSL)63.8%74.3%49.9%62.1%
Nevsun Resources Ltd ($NSU)81.0%76.8%54.5%60.4%
 
Median (137 companies)22.0%18.4%11.3%9.9%8.0%
Primero Mining Corp ($P)46.5%42.3%43.6%-48.2%-2.7%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Barkerville Gold Mines Ltd ($BGM)123.7%38.5%49.9%7,166.9%3.2%
Marlin Gold Mining Ltd ($MLN)508.8%
Imperial Metals Corp ($III)28.2%69.2%185.7%280.2%
Golden Minerals Co ($AUM)462.4%36.9%16.8%212.8%
Franco-Nevada Corp ($FNV)9.3%3.7%35.5%201.6%
 
Median (139 companies)24.1%26.3%25.2%16.0%11.7%
Primero Mining Corp ($P)19.9%21.7%35.7%40.9%34.2%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Lucara Diamond Corp ($LUC)-7.1%-2.9%41.3%54.7%
CanAf Group Inc ($CAF)74.9%37.0%65.2%37.6%
Nevsun Resources Ltd ($NSU)89.8%52.2%8.8%35.0%
Dynacor Gold Mines Inc ($DNG)45.6%62.8%50.9%31.3%
Canfor Pulp Products Inc ($CFX)103.5%4.9%13.2%21.3%24.1%
 
Median (143 companies)5.4%4.9%-0.1%0.6%-3.4%
Primero Mining Corp ($P)7.8%8.4%7.7%-24.0%-9.9%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
VMS Ventures Inc ($VMS)86.7x4.7x
Ur-Energy Inc ($URE)55.1x
Katanga Mining Ltd ($KAT)0.4x19.4x3.3x18.8x
HudBay Minerals Inc ($HBM)-2.8x-4.8x2.0x14.0x
Imperial Metals Corp ($III)-0.1x1.5x4.9x12.9x
 
Median (95 companies)-0.1x0.3x0.9x0.9x1.6x