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OceanaGold Corp reports 52.4% Net Income decline and 9.8% Revenue decline

18.02.2016 • About OceanaGold Corp ($OGC) • By InTwits

OceanaGold Corp reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • OceanaGold Corp has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 37.7%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 28.1%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 142 in 2015, 109 in 2014, 160 in 2013, 290 in 2012, 147 in 2011
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is at 6.8%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

OceanaGold Corp ($OGC) key annual financial indicators

mln. $201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue395.6385.4553.6563.3508.0-9.8%
Gross Profit178.8159.4293.0273.4242.9-11.2%
SG&A14.514.928.434.545.331.2%
EBITDA164.3144.5264.5238.9197.6-17.3%
Net Income44.220.7-47.9111.553.1-52.4%
Balance Sheet
Cash170.096.524.851.2185.5262.1%
Short Term Debt72.7130.267.415.010.8-27.9%
Long Term Debt153.1136.7126.5103.1187.982.3%
Cash flow
Capex146.6290.3160.0108.5142.331.1%
Ratios
Revenue growth29.4%-2.6%43.6%1.8%-9.8%
EBITDA growth16.4%-12.0%83.1%-9.7%-17.3%
Gross Margin45.2%41.4%52.9%48.5%47.8%-0.7%
EBITDA Margin41.5%37.5%47.8%42.4%38.9%-3.5%
Net Income Margin11.2%5.4%-8.6%19.8%10.4%-9.4%
SG&A, % of revenue3.7%3.9%5.1%6.1%8.9%2.8%
CAPEX, % of revenue37.1%75.3%28.9%19.3%28.0%8.7%
ROIC11.3%6.4%15.8%13.7%6.8%-6.9%
ROE9.7%3.8%-8.0%17.3%5.8%-11.5%
Net Debt/EBITDA0.3x1.2x0.6x0.3x0.1x-0.2x

Revenue and profitability


OceanaGold Corp's Revenue decreased on 9.8% in 2015. Revenue decline was accompanies by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin decreased on 3.5 pp from 42.4% to 38.9% in 2015.

Gross Margin decreased slightly on 0.72 pp from 48.5% to 47.8% in 2015. SG&A as a % of Revenue increased on 2.8 pp from 6.1% to 8.9% in 2015.

Net Income marign decreased on 9.4 pp from 19.8% to 10.4% in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In 2015 OceanaGold Corp had CAPEX/Revenue of 28.0%. The company's CAPEX/Revenue dropped on 47.3 pp from 75.3% in 2012 to 28.0% in 2015. For the last three years the average CAPEX/Revenue was 25.4%.The company invested a big chunk of EBITDA (72.0%) to CAPEX which didn't stop revenue from falling.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (6.78%) and ROE (5.78%). ROIC decreased on 6.9 pp from 13.7% to 6.8% in 2015. ROE dropped on 11.5 pp from 17.3% to 5.8% in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is 0.1x and Debt / EBITDA is 1.0x. Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 0.2x from 0.3x to 0.1x in 2015. Debt jumped on 68.3% in 2015 while cash surged on 262% in 2015.

Management team


The company's CEO is Michael F Wilkes "Mick". Michael F Wilkes "Mick" is a founder and has 7 years tenure at the company. Mark Chamberlain is a OceanaGold Corp's CFO. Mark Chamberlain has spent 7 years at the company.

Appendix 1: Peers in Basic Materials


Below we provide OceanaGold Corp benchmarking against other companies in Basic Materials industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Northern Sun Mining Corp ($NSC)-93.3%315.4%-99.4%8,924.9%
Turquoise Hill Resources Ltd ($TRQ)-34.0%3,268.9%-5.8%
Asian Mineral Resources Ltd ($ASN)859.1%
Ur-Energy Inc ($URE)285.4%
Nevsun Resources Ltd ($NSU)3.3%-72.5%256.5%
 
Median (130 companies)30.9%8.5%-5.1%-1.1%4.3%
OceanaGold Corp ($OGC)-2.6%43.6%1.8%-9.8%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Nevsun Resources Ltd ($NSU)90.3%89.9%94.8%95.5%
Franco-Nevada Corp ($FNV)84.6%86.1%85.0%83.5%
Labrador Iron Ore Royalty Corp ($LIF)80.2%80.2%80.2%80.2%
Lucara Diamond Corp ($LUC)42.5%57.4%66.7%
Royal Gold Inc ($RGL)68.9%71.5%70.6%57.6%86.0%
 
Median (133 companies)30.1%31.5%20.7%16.8%15.6%
OceanaGold Corp ($OGC)45.2%41.4%52.9%48.5%47.8%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Royal Gold Inc ($RGL)86.1%88.2%88.6%84.4%65.0%
Franco-Nevada Corp ($FNV)38.6%62.1%44.6%72.3%
Silver Wheaton Corp ($SLW)84.8%82.6%75.3%69.6%
Sandstorm Gold Ltd ($SSL)63.8%74.3%49.9%62.1%
Nevsun Resources Ltd ($NSU)81.0%76.8%54.5%60.4%
 
Median (137 companies)22.0%18.4%11.3%9.7%6.9%
OceanaGold Corp ($OGC)41.5%37.5%47.8%42.4%38.9%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Barkerville Gold Mines Ltd ($BGM)123.7%38.5%49.9%7,166.9%3.2%
Marlin Gold Mining Ltd ($MLN)508.8%
Imperial Metals Corp ($III)28.2%69.2%185.7%280.2%
Golden Minerals Co ($AUM)462.4%36.9%16.8%212.8%
Franco-Nevada Corp ($FNV)9.3%3.7%35.5%201.6%
 
Median (139 companies)23.9%26.3%25.2%16.0%11.7%
OceanaGold Corp ($OGC)37.1%75.3%28.9%19.3%28.0%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Lucara Diamond Corp ($LUC)-7.1%-2.9%41.3%54.7%
CanAf Group Inc ($CAF)74.9%37.0%65.2%37.6%
Nevsun Resources Ltd ($NSU)89.8%52.2%8.8%35.0%
Dynacor Gold Mines Inc ($DNG)45.6%62.8%50.9%31.3%
Canfor Pulp Products Inc ($CFX)103.5%4.9%13.2%21.3%24.1%
 
Median (143 companies)5.4%4.9%-0.1%-0.1%-3.5%
OceanaGold Corp ($OGC)11.3%6.4%15.8%13.7%6.8%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
VMS Ventures Inc ($VMS)86.7x4.7x
Ur-Energy Inc ($URE)55.1x
Katanga Mining Ltd ($KAT)0.4x19.4x3.3x18.8x
HudBay Minerals Inc ($HBM)-2.8x-4.8x2.0x14.0x
Imperial Metals Corp ($III)-0.1x1.5x4.9x12.9x
 
Median (94 companies)-0.1x0.3x0.9x0.9x1.6x
OceanaGold Corp ($OGC)0.3x1.2x0.6x0.3x0.1x