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Fairfax Financial Holdings Ltd Net Income dropped on 65.2% in 2015 and Revenue decreased on 4.4%

18.02.2016 • About Fairfax Financial Holdings Ltd ($FFH) • By InTwits

Fairfax Financial Holdings Ltd reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Fairfax Financial Holdings Ltd has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 1.0%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 6.8%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 201 in 2015, 67.1 in 2014, 48.1 in 2013, 71.5 in 2012, 42.2 in 2011
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is at 2.4%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Fairfax Financial Holdings Ltd ($FFH) key annual financial indicators

mln. $201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue7,4758,0235,94510,0189,580-4.4%
Net Income45527-5731,633568-65.2%
Balance Sheet
Cash1,0271,1691,2971,2441,2772.6%
Short Term Debt047211217129-40.5%
Long Term Debt3,0182,5252,9582,9623,2238.8%
Cash flow
Capex42724867201200.0%
Ratios
Revenue growth25.3%7.3%-25.9%68.5%-4.4%
Net Income Margin0.6%6.6%-9.6%16.3%5.9%-10.4%
CAPEX, % of revenue0.6%0.9%0.8%0.7%2.1%1.4%
ROIC0.7%2.7%-2.4%7.8%2.4%-5.4%
ROE-0.1%6.2%-8.5%20.3%6.0%-14.2%

Revenue and profitability


Fairfax Financial Holdings Ltd's Revenue decreased on 4.4% in 2015.

Net Income marign dropped on 10.4 pp from 16.3% to 5.9% in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


The company's CAPEX/Revenue was 2.1% in 2015. The company showed small growth in CAPEX/Revenue of 1.2 pp from 0.89% in 2012 to 2.1% in 2015. For the last three years the average CAPEX/Revenue was 1.2%.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (2.38%) and ROE (6.03%). ROIC decreased on 5.4 pp from 7.8% to 2.4% in 2015. ROE dropped on 14.2 pp from 20.3% to 6.0% in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt increased on 5.4% in 2015 while cash increased on 2.6% in 2015.

Management team


The company's CEO is V Prem Watsa. V Prem Watsa is a founder and has 33 years tenure at the company. David J Bonham is a The company's CFO. David J Bonham has spent 6 years at the company.

Appendix 1: Peers in Financial


Below we provide Fairfax Financial Holdings Ltd benchmarking against other companies in Financial industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Westaim Corp/The ($WED)35.7%-99.9%38.0%5,680.8%
Wall Financial Corp ($WFC)35.2%-74.1%285.4%-75.3%
Element Financial Corp ($EFN)206.6%189.1%
DealNet Capital Corp ($DLS)-73.3%4,437.5%540.4%112.7%
Gluskin Sheff + Associates Inc ($GS)-39.1%60.6%97.9%-33.5%
 
Median (73 companies)10.8%9.4%7.4%8.9%1.1%
Fairfax Financial Holdings Ltd ($FFH)7.3%-25.9%68.5%-4.4%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Olympia Financial Group Inc ($OLY)85.3%80.9%82.6%83.2%
Morguard Corp ($MRC)74.8%74.0%69.9%68.6%
DealNet Capital Corp ($DLS)14.9%36.7%45.6%
Brookfield Asset Management Inc ($BAM.A)34.3%25.6%30.7%28.6%27.5%
Onex Corp ($OCX)20.0%20.1%26.2%27.9%
 
Median (11 companies)25.2%22.6%25.7%20.5%27.6%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Firm Capital Mortgage Investment Corp ($FC)88.7%87.6%87.9%88.8%
Equitable Group Inc ($EQB)89.7%88.1%87.4%86.0%
Alaris Royalty Corp ($AD)97.0%81.3%61.8%81.8%
Brookfield Real Estate Services Inc ($BRE)77.1%77.7%77.9%78.4%
First National Financial Corp ($FN)66.1%67.8%76.5%77.1%
 
Median (49 companies)35.8%32.5%32.1%31.5%43.8%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Killam Properties Inc ($KMP)73.6%80.7%114.1%143.5%46.7%
Dundee Corp ($DC.A)10.3%14.1%88.8%123.6%
StorageVault Canada Inc ($SVI)29.6%150.5%73.3%79.1%
Mainstreet Equity Corp ($MEQ)152.4%115.8%62.3%75.8%56.3%
First Capital Realty Inc ($FCR)102.8%127.9%76.1%73.8%56.7%
 
Median (75 companies)1.3%1.6%0.7%1.0%1.2%
Fairfax Financial Holdings Ltd ($FFH)0.6%0.9%0.8%0.7%2.1%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Gluskin Sheff + Associates Inc ($GS)71.3%21.0%82.9%153.9%63.6%
Brookfield Real Estate Services Inc ($BRE)17.1%26.0%31.0%47.0%
Redishred Capital Corp ($KUT)-3.9%-24.5%6.5%15.8%
IGM Financial Inc ($IGM)15.3%14.2%14.2%13.7%13.7%
Street Capital Group Inc ($SCB)2.3%10.9%11.0%13.4%
 
Median (77 companies)5.3%4.8%4.6%4.8%4.9%
Fairfax Financial Holdings Ltd ($FFH)0.7%2.7%-2.4%7.8%2.4%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
First National Financial Corp ($FN)37.6x34.3x33.7x40.9x
Element Financial Corp ($EFN)140.2x31.9x37.6x
Gazit-Globe Ltd ($GZT)14.8x12.8x12.7x15.3x
Morguard Corp ($MRC)7.5x8.9x14.2x
StorageVault Canada Inc ($SVI)6.0x11.2x9.7x13.6x
 
Median (41 companies)4.1x5.2x4.8x4.3x2.9x