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Caribbean Utilities Co Ltd CAPEX surged on 97.5% in 2015 while Revenue dropped on 18.5%

18.02.2016 • About Caribbean Utilities Co Ltd ($CUP.U) • By InTwits

Caribbean Utilities Co Ltd reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Caribbean Utilities Co Ltd has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 20.6%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 28.2%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 77.9 in 2015, 39.5 in 2014, 29.3 in 2013, 30.8 in 2012, 39.6 in 2011
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is at 5.7%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Caribbean Utilities Co Ltd ($CUP.U) key annual financial indicators

mln. $201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue218.1223.5226.2231.7188.9-18.5%
Gross Profit43.840.841.643.269.961.8%
SG&A9.1
EBITDA45.945.749.849.751.74.1%
Net Income20.417.720.420.822.89.7%
Balance Sheet
Cash0.40.71.221.81.4-93.7%
Short Term Debt22.656.718.314.015.712.4%
Long Term Debt188.5169.0202.0236.4222.6-5.9%
Cash flow
Capex39.630.829.339.577.997.5%
Ratios
Revenue growth21.1%2.5%1.2%2.4%-18.5%
EBITDA growth-0.8%-0.5%9.0%-0.2%4.1%
Gross Margin20.1%18.2%18.4%18.7%37.0%18.4%
EBITDA Margin21.0%20.4%22.0%21.4%27.4%5.9%
Net Income Margin9.3%7.9%9.0%9.0%12.1%3.1%
SG&A, % of revenue4.8%4.8%
CAPEX, % of revenue18.2%13.8%13.0%17.0%41.3%24.2%
ROIC6.6%5.8%6.3%6.1%5.7%-0.4%
ROE11.2%9.7%11.1%11.1%11.1%0.0%
Net Debt/EBITDA4.6x4.9x4.4x4.6x4.6x-0.0x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue dropped on 18.5% in 2015. Despite revenue decline the EBITDA margin expanded. EBITDA Margin increased on 5.9 pp from 21.4% to 27.4% in 2015.

Gross Margin jumped on 18.4 pp from 18.7% to 37.0% in 2015.

Net Income marign increased on 3.1 pp from 9.0% to 12.1% in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


Caribbean Utilities Co Ltd's CAPEX/Revenue was 41.3% in 2015. The company showed fast CAPEX/Revenue growth of 27.5 pp from 13.8% in 2012 to 41.3% in 2015. For the last three years the average CAPEX/Revenue was 23.8%.The company has spent a lot to CAPEX (151% of EBITDA) which didn't stop revenue from falling.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (5.70%) and ROE (11.11%). ROIC showed almost no change in 2015. ROE showed almost no change in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 4.6x Net Debt / EBITDA and 4.6x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA decreased slightly on 0.018x from 4.6x to 4.6x in 2015. Debt decreased on 4.8% in 2015 while cash dropped on 93.7% in 2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Utilities


Below you can find Caribbean Utilities Co Ltd benchmarking vs. other companies in Utilities industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp ($AQN)50.1%28.8%93.6%39.4%
Northland Power Inc ($NPI)14.0%1.5%54.1%36.4%
Fortis Inc/Canada ($FTS)-2.2%10.8%33.5%25.1%
Emera Inc ($EMA)-0.3%8.3%31.8%-5.1%
Just Energy Group Inc ($JE)-10.1%13.4%17.4%10.2%
 
Median (14 companies)14.2%0.1%11.1%13.3%-2.0%
Caribbean Utilities Co Ltd ($CUP.U)2.5%1.2%2.4%-18.5%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Atco Ltd/Canada ($ACO.X)82.3%85.6%85.1%82.3%
Canadian Utilities Ltd ($CU)76.5%81.0%80.8%77.7%
Northland Power Inc ($NPI)47.7%52.5%63.7%61.8%
Fortis Inc/Canada ($FTS)31.9%34.6%34.4%59.3%61.7%
Capital Power Corp ($CPX)48.9%58.9%59.8%58.4%61.4%
 
Median (13 companies)42.7%34.6%37.1%55.0%56.1%
Caribbean Utilities Co Ltd ($CUP.U)20.1%18.2%18.4%18.7%37.0%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Boralex Inc ($BLX)51.8%52.8%58.4%55.9%
Northland Power Inc ($NPI)48.1%54.2%52.4%51.2%
US Geothermal Inc ($GTH)-84.0%-129.5%52.9%49.6%
Canadian Utilities Ltd ($CU)42.9%45.9%45.7%47.4%
Atco Ltd/Canada ($ACO.X)36.7%39.8%41.0%41.4%
 
Median (14 companies)31.5%29.7%34.0%34.0%32.0%
Caribbean Utilities Co Ltd ($CUP.U)21.0%20.4%22.0%21.4%27.4%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Northland Power Inc ($NPI)101.7%84.0%60.2%238.7%
Boralex Inc ($BLX)17.7%5.6%62.5%85.9%
Canadian Utilities Ltd ($CU)43.7%70.7%66.4%58.5%
Atco Ltd/Canada ($ACO.X)36.2%58.8%54.2%48.3%
Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp ($AQN)22.4%21.7%23.5%45.9%
 
Median (14 companies)25.4%31.6%26.8%21.2%17.1%
Caribbean Utilities Co Ltd ($CUP.U)18.2%13.8%13.0%17.0%41.3%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Keyera Corp ($KEY)13.1%13.8%12.7%14.3%12.6%
Just Energy Group Inc ($JE)146.5%18.6%6.0%10.6%17.9%
Atco Ltd/Canada ($ACO.X)11.6%10.8%10.5%9.6%
Canadian Utilities Ltd ($CU)10.9%10.0%9.4%9.2%
Emera Inc ($EMA)6.1%5.8%5.9%8.4%5.6%
 
Median (14 companies)6.6%5.4%6.0%5.4%5.8%
Caribbean Utilities Co Ltd ($CUP.U)6.6%5.8%6.3%6.1%5.7%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Atlantic Power Corp ($ATP)44.8x12.6x13.0x22.4x
Boralex Inc ($BLX)5.9x6.6x7.6x12.1x
Northland Power Inc ($NPI)5.9x6.4x5.8x6.9x
Fortis Inc/Canada ($FTS)5.3x5.0x5.6x6.7x5.3x
Just Energy Group Inc ($JE)2.5x4.3x7.4x6.4x3.9x
 
Median (14 companies)3.4x5.0x5.6x4.5x4.1x
Caribbean Utilities Co Ltd ($CUP.U)4.6x4.9x4.4x4.6x4.6x