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Capital Power Corp Net Income surged on 95.7% in 2015 and EBITDA Margin increased on 3.5 pp from 33.6% to 37.1%

18.02.2016 • About Capital Power Corp ($CPX) • By InTwits

Capital Power Corp reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Capital Power Corp has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 34.2%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 44.0%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 140 in 2015, 220 in 2014, 943 in 2013, 598 in 2012, 493 in 2011
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is at 5.1%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Capital Power Corp ($CPX) key annual financial indicators

mln. CAD201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue1,7701,2961,3931,2281,2411.1%
Gross Profit8667638337177626.3%
SG&A5681888885-3.4%
EBITDA42936749741346111.6%
Net Income7762175469095.7%
Balance Sheet
Cash7353100718012.7%
Short Term Debt2819346599340-43.2%
Long Term Debt1,4521,6401,1819871,29731.4%
Cash flow
Capex493598943220140-36.4%
Ratios
Revenue growth0.5%-26.8%7.5%-11.8%1.1%
EBITDA growth21.9%-14.5%35.4%-16.9%11.6%
Gross Margin48.9%58.9%59.8%58.4%61.4%3.0%
EBITDA Margin24.2%28.3%35.7%33.6%37.1%3.5%
Net Income Margin4.4%4.8%12.6%3.7%7.3%3.5%
SG&A, % of revenue3.2%6.3%6.3%7.2%6.8%-0.3%
CAPEX, % of revenue27.9%46.1%67.7%17.9%11.3%-6.6%
ROIC4.6%3.4%6.1%4.7%5.1%0.4%
ROE6.0%3.5%8.6%1.2%3.1%2.0%
Net Debt/EBITDA3.3x4.4x2.9x3.7x3.4x-0.3x

Revenue and profitability


Capital Power Corp's Revenue increased slightly on 1.1% in 2015. Revenue decline was accompanies by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin decreased on 3.8 pp from 6.3% to 2.5% in 2015.

Gross Margin increased on 3.0 pp from 58.4% to 61.4% in 2015. SG&A as a % of Revenue showed almost no change in 2015.

Net Income marign increased on 3.5 pp from 3.7% to 7.3% in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In 2015 the company had CAPEX/Revenue of 11.3%. CAPEX/Revenue dropped on 34.9 pp from 46.1% in 2012 to 11.3% in 2015. It's average level of CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 32.3%.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (5.10%) and ROE (3.14%). ROIC showed almost no change in 2015. ROE increased slightly on 2.0 pp from 1.2% to 3.1% in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is 3.4x and Debt / EBITDA is 3.6x. Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 0.3x from 3.7x to 3.4x in 2015. Debt increased on 3.2% in 2015 while cash surged on 12.7% in 2015.

Management team


Brian Tellef Vaasjo is a Capital Power Corp's CEO. Brian Tellef Vaasjo is a founder and has spent 9 years at the company. Bryan Deneve is a Capital Power Corp's CFO. Bryan Deneve has spent 3 years at the company.

Appendix 1: Peers in Utilities


Below you can find Capital Power Corp benchmarking vs. other companies in Utilities industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp ($AQN)50.1%28.8%93.6%39.4%
Northland Power Inc ($NPI)14.0%1.5%54.1%36.4%
Fortis Inc/Canada ($FTS)-2.2%10.8%33.5%25.1%
Emera Inc ($EMA)-0.3%8.3%31.8%-5.1%
Just Energy Group Inc ($JE)-10.1%13.4%17.4%10.2%
 
Median (14 companies)14.2%0.9%11.1%13.3%-9.3%
Capital Power Corp ($CPX)-26.8%7.5%-11.8%1.1%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Atco Ltd/Canada ($ACO.X)82.3%85.6%85.1%82.3%
Canadian Utilities Ltd ($CU)76.5%81.0%80.8%77.7%
Northland Power Inc ($NPI)47.7%52.5%63.7%61.8%
Fortis Inc/Canada ($FTS)31.9%34.6%34.4%59.3%61.7%
TransAlta Corp ($TA)64.4%65.9%58.6%58.4%55.5%
 
Median (13 companies)35.9%33.7%35.1%36.1%46.3%
Capital Power Corp ($CPX)48.9%58.9%59.8%58.4%61.4%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Boralex Inc ($BLX)51.8%52.8%58.4%55.9%
Northland Power Inc ($NPI)48.1%54.2%52.4%51.2%
US Geothermal Inc ($GTH)-84.0%-129.5%52.9%49.6%
Canadian Utilities Ltd ($CU)42.9%45.9%45.7%47.4%
Atco Ltd/Canada ($ACO.X)36.7%39.8%41.0%41.4%
 
Median (14 companies)31.5%29.2%33.2%32.7%29.1%
Capital Power Corp ($CPX)24.2%28.3%35.7%33.6%37.1%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Northland Power Inc ($NPI)101.7%84.0%60.2%238.7%
Boralex Inc ($BLX)17.7%5.6%62.5%85.9%
Canadian Utilities Ltd ($CU)43.7%70.7%66.4%58.5%
Atco Ltd/Canada ($ACO.X)36.2%58.8%54.2%48.3%
Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp ($AQN)22.4%21.7%23.5%45.9%
 
Median (14 companies)22.7%26.5%24.0%21.2%24.5%
Capital Power Corp ($CPX)27.9%46.1%67.7%17.9%11.3%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Keyera Corp ($KEY)13.1%13.8%12.7%14.3%12.6%
Just Energy Group Inc ($JE)146.5%18.6%6.0%10.6%17.9%
Atco Ltd/Canada ($ACO.X)11.6%10.8%10.5%9.6%
Canadian Utilities Ltd ($CU)10.9%10.0%9.4%9.2%
Emera Inc ($EMA)6.1%5.8%5.9%8.4%5.6%
 
Median (14 companies)6.7%5.8%6.0%5.8%5.9%
Capital Power Corp ($CPX)4.6%3.4%6.1%4.7%5.1%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Atlantic Power Corp ($ATP)44.8x12.6x13.0x22.4x
Boralex Inc ($BLX)5.9x6.6x7.6x12.1x
Northland Power Inc ($NPI)5.9x6.4x5.8x6.9x
Fortis Inc/Canada ($FTS)5.3x5.0x5.6x6.7x5.3x
Just Energy Group Inc ($JE)2.5x4.3x7.4x6.4x3.9x
 
Median (14 companies)4.5x5.0x5.6x4.8x4.4x
Capital Power Corp ($CPX)3.3x4.4x2.9x3.7x3.4x