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Birchcliff Energy Ltd Net Income dropped on 111% in 2015 and Revenue dropped on 29.9%

10.02.2016 • About Birchcliff Energy Ltd ($BIR) • By InTwits

Birchcliff Energy Ltd reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Birchcliff Energy Ltd has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 38.3%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 27.2%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 258 in 2015, 455 in 2014, 0.61 in 2013, 0.25 in 2012, 6.3 in 2011
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is at 2.3%
  • It operates with medium-size leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 3.3x while industry average is 2.8x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Birchcliff Energy Ltd ($BIR) key annual financial indicators

mln. CAD201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue235.2233.0289.1436.4305.8-29.9%
Gross Profit173.0163.4212.4342.2206.4-39.7%
SG&A34.128.024.827.126.0-4.1%
EBITDA141.1139.3221.4318.6187.8-41.1%
Net Income34.513.265.4114.3-12.2-110.6%
Balance Sheet
Cash0.10.00.10.10.15.6%
Short Term Debt0.00.71.40.00.0
Long Term Debt388.4501.5467.4469.0622.132.6%
Cash flow
Capex6.30.20.6454.8258.2-43.2%
Ratios
Revenue growth35.9%-0.9%24.1%51.0%-29.9%
EBITDA growth21.1%-1.2%58.9%43.9%-41.1%
Gross Margin73.6%70.1%73.5%78.4%67.5%-10.9%
EBITDA Margin60.0%59.8%76.6%73.0%61.4%-11.6%
Net Income Margin14.6%5.7%22.6%26.2%-4.0%-30.2%
SG&A, % of revenue14.5%12.0%8.6%6.2%8.5%2.3%
CAPEX, % of revenue2.7%0.1%0.2%104.2%84.4%-19.8%
ROIC6.9%3.6%8.0%11.7%2.3%-9.4%
ROE5.5%1.8%7.9%11.0%-1.9%-12.9%
Net Debt/EBITDA2.8x3.6x2.1x1.5x3.3x1.8x

Revenue and profitability


Birchcliff Energy Ltd's Revenue dropped on 29.9% in 2015. Revenue decline was accompanies by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin dropped on 11.6 pp from 73.0% to 61.4% in 2015.

Gross Margin dropped on 10.9 pp from 78.4% to 67.5% in 2015. SG&A as a % of Revenue increased on 2.3 pp from 6.2% to 8.5% in 2015.

Net Income marign dropped on 30.2 pp from 26.2% to -4.0% in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


Birchcliff Energy Ltd's CAPEX/Revenue was 84.4% in 2015. Birchcliff Energy Ltd's CAPEX/Revenue jumped on 84.3 pp from 0.11% in 2012 to 84.4% in 2015. It's average level of CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 63.0%.Birchcliff Energy Ltd has spent a lot to CAPEX (137% of EBITDA) which didn't stop revenue from falling.

Return on investment


The company operates at low but positive ROIC (2.31%) and negative ROE (-1.85%). ROIC decreased on 9.4 pp from 11.7% to 2.3% in 2015. ROE dropped on 12.9 pp from 11.0% to -1.9% in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is 3.3x and Debt / EBITDA is 3.3x. Net Debt / EBITDA jumped on 1.8x from 1.5x to 3.3x in 2015. Debt surged on 32.6% in 2015 while cash increased on 5.6% in 2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Energy


Below you can find Birchcliff Energy Ltd benchmarking vs. other companies in Energy industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Petro Rio SA ($PRJ)-36.3%-32.1%-34.9%10,977.1%
ONEnergy Inc ($OEG)6,002.6%
Sterling Resources Ltd ($SLG)-94.8%4,514.9%2,244.4%
Ikkuma Resources Corp ($IKM)22.5%17.0%-4.5%1,231.1%
Spartan Energy Corp ($SPE)-8.2%16.6%29.9%923.7%
 
Median (160 companies)37.8%10.4%16.2%17.6%-23.2%
Birchcliff Energy Ltd ($BIR)-0.9%24.1%51.0%-29.9%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
TransAlta Renewables Inc ($RNW)94.4%94.5%
Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd ($AAV)70.5%62.0%84.5%92.5%
Freehold Royalties Ltd ($FRU)91.7%90.4%89.0%90.2%
MEG Energy Corp ($MEG)85.5%86.8%87.4%87.6%84.1%
NXT Energy Solutions Inc ($SFD)-43.2%65.6%36.0%87.3%
 
Median (140 companies)33.3%29.3%31.5%29.6%44.3%
Birchcliff Energy Ltd ($BIR)73.6%70.1%73.5%78.4%67.5%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Seven Generations Energy Ltd ($VII)56.9%54.0%106.0%
Tourmaline Oil Corp ($TOU)67.4%67.9%80.0%97.6%
Bonavista Energy Corp ($BNP)63.8%64.6%62.6%91.6%
Bellatrix Exploration Ltd ($BXE)42.7%58.6%83.6%89.6%
Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd ($AAV)-4.0%5.2%66.1%87.8%
 
Median (159 companies)24.7%25.0%30.5%28.9%4.4%
Birchcliff Energy Ltd ($BIR)60.0%59.8%76.6%73.0%61.4%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Oryx Petroleum Corp Ltd ($OXC)1,997.8%
Petroshale Inc ($PSH)30.6%346.6%865.9%
Toro Oil & Gas Ltd ($TOO)192.4%139.0%39.2%808.7%
Athabasca Oil Corp ($ATH)176.2%2,426.4%596.6%504.7%
BNK Petroleum Inc ($BKX)139.2%195.8%789.1%316.6%
 
Median (162 companies)43.3%50.0%39.2%47.1%41.8%
Birchcliff Energy Ltd ($BIR)2.7%0.1%0.2%104.2%84.4%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Pason Systems Inc ($PSI)33.5%30.0%29.7%41.0%
Sea Dragon Energy Inc ($SDX)-10.1%8.1%21.8%32.9%
Raging River Exploration Inc ($RRX)29.1%
High Arctic Energy Services Inc ($HWO)27.0%31.4%26.3%24.9%
Rooster Energy Ltd ($COQ)22.9%
 
Median (165 companies)4.4%3.2%4.5%5.0%-7.1%
Birchcliff Energy Ltd ($BIR)6.9%3.6%8.0%11.7%2.3%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Veresen Inc ($VSN)22.3x16.2x14.7x30.3x
Lightstream Resources Ltd ($LTS)2.0x27.8x
Petroshale Inc ($PSH)0.1x21.7x
Connacher Oil and Gas Ltd ($CLC)9.7x16.7x8.8x17.1x
Pengrowth Energy Corp ($PGF)1.5x2.9x2.1x16.8x
 
Median (136 companies)1.2x1.5x1.5x1.4x2.5x
Birchcliff Energy Ltd ($BIR)2.8x3.6x2.1x1.5x3.3x