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AGF Management Ltd Net Income dropped on 21.6% in 2015 and Revenue decreased on 3.3%

27.01.2016 • About AGF Management Ltd ($AGF.B) • By InTwits

AGF Management Ltd reported FY2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • AGF Management Ltd is a company in decline: FY2015 revenue growth was -3.3%, 5 years revenue CAGR was -9.3%
  • EBITDA Margin is declining: 26.3% in FY2015 vs. 31.5% in FY2014 vs. 37.7% in FY2011
  • AGF Management Ltd has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 0.9%.
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

AGF Management Ltd ($AGF.B) key annual financial indicators

mln. CAD201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue580.8506.7475.2452.1437.4-3.3%
EBITDA218.8165.5154.4142.4114.9-19.3%
Net Income103.652.322.461.348.0-21.6%
Balance Sheet
Cash246.6371.3369.9261.548.7-81.4%
Short Term Debt0.0
Long Term Debt308.3308.4307.9308.2268.8-12.8%
Cash flow
Capex3.79.53.41.44.4219.3%
Ratios
Revenue growth-18.4%-12.8%-6.2%-4.9%-3.3%
EBITDA growth-38.2%-24.3%-6.7%-7.7%-19.3%
EBITDA Margin37.7%32.7%32.5%31.5%26.3%-5.2%
Net Income Margin17.8%10.3%4.7%13.5%11.0%-2.6%
CAPEX, % of revenue0.6%1.9%0.7%0.3%1.0%0.7%
ROE8.9%4.7%2.2%6.5%5.2%-1.2%
Net Debt/EBITDA0.3x-0.4x-0.4x0.3x1.9x1.6x

Revenue and profitability


AGF Management Ltd's Revenue decreased on 3.3% in FY2015. Revenue decline was accompanies by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin decreased on 5.2 pp from 31.5% to 26.3% in FY2015.

Net Income marign decreased on 2.6 pp from 13.5% to 11.0% in FY2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In FY2015 AGF Management Ltd had CAPEX/Revenue of 1.0%. CAPEX/Revenue decreased slightly on 0.86 pp from 1.9% in FY2012 to 1.0% in FY2015. It's average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 0.68%.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is 1.9x and Debt / EBITDA is 2.3x. Net Debt / EBITDA surged on 1.6x from 0.3x to 1.9x in FY2015. Debt dropped on 12.8% in FY2015 while cash dropped on 81.4% in FY2015.

Management team


Blake Charles Goldring is a AGF Management Ltd's CEO. Blake Charles Goldring is a founder and has spent 18 years at the company.

Appendix 1: Peers in Financial


Below you can find AGF Management Ltd benchmarking vs. other companies in Financial industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Westaim Corp/The ($WED)35.7%-99.9%38.0%5,680.8%
Wall Financial Corp ($WFC)35.2%-74.1%285.4%-75.3%
Element Financial Corp ($EFN)206.6%189.1%
DealNet Capital Corp ($DLS)-73.3%4,437.5%540.4%112.7%
Gluskin Sheff + Associates Inc ($GS)-39.1%60.6%97.9%-33.5%
 
Median (72 companies)10.3%9.3%7.2%8.9%0.5%
AGF Management Ltd ($AGF.B)-12.8%-6.2%-4.9%-3.3%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Olympia Financial Group Inc ($OLY)85.3%80.9%82.6%83.2%
Morguard Corp ($MRC)74.8%74.0%69.9%68.6%
DealNet Capital Corp ($DLS)14.9%36.7%45.6%
Brookfield Asset Management Inc ($BAM.A)34.3%25.6%30.7%28.6%
Onex Corp ($OCX)20.0%20.1%26.2%27.9%
 
Median (11 companies)25.2%22.6%25.7%20.5%16.9%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Firm Capital Mortgage Investment Corp ($FC)88.7%87.6%87.9%88.8%
Equitable Group Inc ($EQB)89.7%88.1%87.4%86.0%
Alaris Royalty Corp ($AD)97.0%81.3%61.8%81.8%
Brookfield Real Estate Services Inc ($BRE)77.1%77.7%77.9%78.4%
First National Financial Corp ($FN)66.1%67.8%76.5%77.1%
 
Median (48 companies)34.5%29.5%32.0%33.8%48.1%
AGF Management Ltd ($AGF.B)37.7%32.7%32.5%31.5%26.3%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Killam Properties Inc ($KMP)73.6%80.7%114.1%143.5%
Dundee Corp ($DC.A)10.3%14.1%88.8%123.6%
StorageVault Canada Inc ($SVI)29.6%150.5%73.3%79.1%
Mainstreet Equity Corp ($MEQ)152.4%115.8%62.3%75.8%56.3%
First Capital Realty Inc ($FCR)102.8%127.9%76.1%73.8%
 
Median (74 companies)1.3%1.4%0.8%1.1%1.7%
AGF Management Ltd ($AGF.B)0.6%1.9%0.7%0.3%1.0%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Gluskin Sheff + Associates Inc ($GS)71.3%21.0%82.9%153.9%63.6%
Brookfield Real Estate Services Inc ($BRE)17.1%26.0%31.0%47.0%
Redishred Capital Corp ($KUT)-3.9%-24.5%6.5%15.8%
IGM Financial Inc ($IGM)15.3%14.2%14.2%13.7%
Street Capital Group Inc ($SCB)2.3%10.9%11.0%13.4%
 
Median (76 companies)5.0%4.8%4.5%4.8%5.4%
AGF Management Ltd ($AGF.B)


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
First National Financial Corp ($FN)37.6x34.3x33.7x40.9x
Element Financial Corp ($EFN)140.2x31.9x37.6x
Gazit-Globe Ltd ($GZT)14.8x12.8x12.7x15.3x
Morguard Corp ($MRC)7.5x8.9x14.2x
StorageVault Canada Inc ($SVI)6.0x11.2x9.7x13.6x
 
Median (40 companies)5.3x5.5x5.0x4.5x2.9x
AGF Management Ltd ($AGF.B)0.3x-0.4x-0.4x0.3x1.9x