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Canacol Energy Ltd reports 123% EBITDA decline and 27.7% Revenue decline

23.09.2015 • About Canacol Energy Ltd ($CNE) • By InTwits

Canacol Energy Ltd reported FY2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Canacol Energy Ltd doesn't have a profitable business model yet: FY2015 ROIC is -13.6%
  • The company operates at negative EBITDA Margin: -15.9%
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: -15.9% in FY2015, 50.0% in FY2014, -12.2% in FY2013, 43.5% in FY2012, 29.8% in FY2011
  • Canacol Energy Ltd has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 78.5%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 93.9%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 191 in FY2015, 133 in FY2014, 56.8 in FY2013, 175 in FY2012, 73.4 in FY2011
  • The company has unprofitable business model: ROIC is at -13.6%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Canacol Energy Ltd ($CNE) key annual financial indicators

mln. $201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue112.8184.9139.7206.1149.0-27.7%
Gross Profit73.6105.413.398.686.3-12.5%
SG&A14.024.1
EBITDA33.680.4-17.0103.0-23.7-123.0%
Net Income-27.418.6-127.89.9-106.0-1,166.9%
Balance Sheet
Cash101.630.852.3163.745.8-72.0%
Short Term Debt0.012.00.044.00.0-100.0%
Long Term Debt31.541.4156.4166.7267.060.2%
Cash flow
Capex73.4174.756.8132.9190.543.4%
Ratios
Revenue growth394.0%63.9%-24.4%47.5%-27.7%
EBITDA growth-676.3%139.4%-121.1%-706.8%-123.0%
Gross Margin65.2%57.0%9.5%47.9%57.9%10.1%
EBITDA Margin29.8%43.5%-12.2%50.0%-15.9%-65.9%
Net Income Margin-24.3%10.0%-91.5%4.8%-71.1%-76.0%
SG&A, % of revenue12.4%16.1%16.1%
CAPEX, % of revenue65.0%94.5%40.7%64.5%127.8%63.4%
ROIC4.8%5.7%-17.0%12.4%-13.6%-26.0%
ROE-18.0%7.7%-48.2%3.1%-28.6%-31.7%
Net Debt/EBITDA-2.1x0.3x0.5x-0.5x

Revenue and profitability


Canacol Energy Ltd's Revenue dropped on 27.7% in FY2015. Revenue decline was worsened by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin dropped on 65.9 pp from 50.0% to -15.9% in FY2015.

Gross Margin jumped on 10.1 pp from 47.9% to 57.9% in FY2015.

Net Income marign dropped on 76.0 pp from 4.8% to -71.1% in FY2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In FY2015 the company had CAPEX/Revenue of 128%. Canacol Energy Ltd's CAPEX/Revenue surged on 33.4 pp from 94.5% in FY2012 to 128% in FY2015. It's average level of CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 77.7%.

Return on investment


The company operates at negative ROIC (-13.58%) and ROE (-28.58%). ROIC dropped on 26.0 pp from 12.4% to -13.6% in FY2015. ROE dropped on 31.7 pp from 3.1% to -28.6% in FY2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 1.4x Net Debt / EBITDA and Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 0.5x from 0.5x to in FY2015. Debt surged on 26.7% in FY2015 while cash dropped on 72.0% in FY2015.

Management team


The company's CEO is Charle A Gamba. Charle A Gamba is a founder and has 10 years tenure at the company. The company's CFO Jason Bednar has spent 3 years at the company.

Appendix 1: Peers in Energy


Below you can find Canacol Energy Ltd benchmarking vs. other companies in Energy industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Petro Rio SA ($PRJ)-36.3%-32.1%-34.9%10,977.1%
ONEnergy Inc ($OEG)6,002.6%
Sterling Resources Ltd ($SLG)-94.8%4,514.9%2,244.4%
Ikkuma Resources Corp ($IKM)22.5%17.0%-4.5%1,231.1%
Spartan Energy Corp ($SPE)-8.2%16.6%29.9%923.7%
 
Median (160 companies)37.7%9.6%17.1%17.6%-13.1%
Canacol Energy Ltd ($CNE)-24.4%47.5%-27.7%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
TransAlta Renewables Inc ($RNW)94.4%94.5%
Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd ($AAV)70.5%62.0%84.5%92.5%
Freehold Royalties Ltd ($FRU)91.7%90.4%89.0%90.2%
MEG Energy Corp ($MEG)85.5%86.8%87.4%87.6%
NXT Energy Solutions Inc ($SFD)-43.2%65.6%36.0%87.3%
 
Median (140 companies)34.0%29.3%31.6%29.6%44.3%
Canacol Energy Ltd ($CNE)57.0%9.5%47.9%57.9%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Seven Generations Energy Ltd ($VII)56.9%54.0%106.0%
Tourmaline Oil Corp ($TOU)67.4%67.9%80.0%97.6%
Bonavista Energy Corp ($BNP)63.8%64.6%62.6%91.6%
Bellatrix Exploration Ltd ($BXE)42.7%58.6%83.6%89.6%
Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd ($AAV)-4.0%5.2%66.1%87.8%
 
Median (159 companies)25.3%25.0%31.1%28.9%-43.6%
Canacol Energy Ltd ($CNE)43.5%-12.2%50.0%-15.9%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Oryx Petroleum Corp Ltd ($OXC)1,997.8%
Petroshale Inc ($PSH)30.6%346.6%865.9%
Toro Oil & Gas Ltd ($TOO)192.4%139.0%39.2%808.7%
Athabasca Oil Corp ($ATH)176.2%2,426.4%596.6%504.7%
BNK Petroleum Inc ($BKX)139.2%195.8%789.1%316.6%
 
Median (162 companies)42.6%47.3%39.1%47.1%49.5%
Canacol Energy Ltd ($CNE)94.5%40.7%64.5%127.8%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Pason Systems Inc ($PSI)33.5%30.0%29.7%41.0%
Sea Dragon Energy Inc ($SDX)-10.1%8.1%21.8%32.9%
Raging River Exploration Inc ($RRX)29.1%
High Arctic Energy Services Inc ($HWO)27.0%31.4%26.3%24.9%
Rooster Energy Ltd ($COQ)22.9%
 
Median (165 companies)4.4%3.2%4.6%5.0%-17.3%
Canacol Energy Ltd ($CNE)5.7%-17.0%12.4%-13.6%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Veresen Inc ($VSN)22.3x16.2x14.7x30.3x
Lightstream Resources Ltd ($LTS)2.0x27.8x
Petroshale Inc ($PSH)0.1x21.7x
Connacher Oil and Gas Ltd ($CLC)9.7x16.7x8.8x17.1x
Pengrowth Energy Corp ($PGF)1.5x2.9x2.1x16.8x
 
Median (136 companies)1.2x1.6x1.5x1.4x16.1x
Canacol Energy Ltd ($CNE)0.3x0.5x