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Royal Gold Inc reports 24.5% CAPEX decline while 17.2% Revenue growth

05.08.2015 • About Royal Gold Inc ($RGL) • By InTwits

Royal Gold Inc reported FY2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Royal Gold Inc has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 79.7%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 28.2%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 60.4 in FY2015, 80.0 in FY2014, 314 in FY2013, 277 in FY2012, 280 in FY2011
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is at 3.2%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Royal Gold Inc ($RGL) key annual financial indicators

mln. $201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue216.5263.1289.2237.2278.017.2%
Gross Profit149.1188.1204.2136.7239.175.0%
SG&A21.120.424.021.227.931.5%
EBITDA186.3231.9256.2200.1180.7-9.7%
Net Income71.492.569.262.652.0-17.0%
Balance Sheet
Cash114.2375.5664.0659.5742.812.6%
Short Term Debt15.60.00.00.00.0
Long Term Debt210.5293.2302.3311.9313.90.6%
Cash flow
Capex280.0276.7314.380.060.4-24.5%
Ratios
Revenue growth58.5%21.5%9.9%-18.0%17.2%
EBITDA growth96.5%24.5%10.5%-21.9%-9.7%
Gross Margin68.9%71.5%70.6%57.6%86.0%28.4%
EBITDA Margin86.1%88.2%88.6%84.4%65.0%-19.4%
Net Income Margin33.0%35.2%23.9%26.4%18.7%-7.7%
SG&A, % of revenue9.8%7.8%8.3%8.9%10.0%1.1%
CAPEX, % of revenue129.4%105.2%108.7%33.7%21.7%-12.0%
ROIC7.0%8.1%7.1%4.0%3.2%-0.8%
ROE5.0%5.6%3.3%2.7%2.2%-0.5%
Net Debt/EBITDA0.6x-0.4x-1.4x-1.7x-2.4x-0.6x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue jumped on 17.2% in FY2015. Revenue growth was financed by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin dropped on 19.4 pp from 84.4% to 65.0% in FY2015.

Gross Margin surged on 28.4 pp from 57.6% to 86.0% in FY2015. SG&A as a % of Revenue increased slightly on 1.1 pp from 8.9% to 10.0% in FY2015.

Net Income marign decreased on 7.7 pp from 26.4% to 18.7% in FY2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In FY2015 the company had CAPEX/Revenue of 21.7%. Royal Gold Inc's CAPEX/Revenue dropped on 83.4 pp from 105% in FY2012 to 21.7% in FY2015. Average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 54.7%.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (3.22%) and ROE (2.21%). ROIC decreased slightly on 0.82 pp from 4.0% to 3.2% in FY2015. ROE showed almost no change in FY2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is -2.4x Net Debt / EBITDA and 1.7x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 0.6x from -1.7x to -2.4x in FY2015. Debt increased slightly on 0.64% in FY2015 while cash surged on 12.6% in FY2015.

Management team


The company's CEO is Tony A Jensen. Tony A Jensen is a founder and has 12 years tenure at the company. Royal Gold Inc's CFO is Stefan L Wenger. Stefan L Wenger has 12 years tenure at the company.

Appendix 1: Peers in Basic Materials


Below you can find Royal Gold Inc benchmarking vs. other companies in Basic Materials industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Northern Sun Mining Corp ($NSC)-93.3%315.4%-99.4%8,924.9%
Turquoise Hill Resources Ltd ($TRQ)-34.0%3,268.9%-5.8%
Asian Mineral Resources Ltd ($ASN)859.1%
Ur-Energy Inc ($URE)285.4%
Nevsun Resources Ltd ($NSU)3.3%-72.5%256.5%
 
Median (129 companies)27.7%8.0%-5.0%-1.1%19.4%
Royal Gold Inc ($RGL)21.5%9.9%-18.0%17.2%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Nevsun Resources Ltd ($NSU)90.3%89.9%94.8%95.5%
Franco-Nevada Corp ($FNV)84.6%86.1%85.0%83.5%
Labrador Iron Ore Royalty Corp ($LIF)80.2%80.2%80.2%80.2%
Lucara Diamond Corp ($LUC)42.5%57.4%66.7%
Silver Wheaton Corp ($SLW)88.2%86.2%80.3%49.8%
 
Median (132 companies)30.1%31.4%21.3%16.2%24.1%
Royal Gold Inc ($RGL)68.9%71.5%70.6%57.6%86.0%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Franco-Nevada Corp ($FNV)38.6%62.1%44.6%72.3%
Silver Wheaton Corp ($SLW)84.8%82.6%75.3%69.6%
Sandstorm Gold Ltd ($SSL)63.8%74.3%49.9%62.1%
Nevsun Resources Ltd ($NSU)81.0%76.8%54.5%60.4%
Lucara Diamond Corp ($LUC)7.6%57.3%57.5%
 
Median (136 companies)22.0%18.2%10.8%9.6%4.0%
Royal Gold Inc ($RGL)86.1%88.2%88.6%84.4%65.0%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Barkerville Gold Mines Ltd ($BGM)123.7%38.5%49.9%7,166.9%3.2%
Marlin Gold Mining Ltd ($MLN)508.8%
Imperial Metals Corp ($III)28.2%69.2%185.7%280.2%
Golden Minerals Co ($AUM)462.4%36.9%16.8%212.8%
Franco-Nevada Corp ($FNV)9.3%3.7%35.5%201.6%
 
Median (138 companies)23.9%26.2%25.1%16.0%8.7%
Royal Gold Inc ($RGL)129.4%105.2%108.7%33.7%21.7%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Lucara Diamond Corp ($LUC)-7.1%-2.9%41.3%54.7%
CanAf Group Inc ($CAF)74.9%37.0%65.2%37.6%
Nevsun Resources Ltd ($NSU)89.8%52.2%8.8%35.0%
Dynacor Gold Mines Inc ($DNG)45.6%62.8%50.9%31.3%
Canfor Pulp Products Inc ($CFX)103.5%4.9%13.2%21.3%
 
Median (142 companies)5.4%4.8%-0.1%-0.3%-4.7%
Royal Gold Inc ($RGL)7.0%8.1%7.1%4.0%3.2%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
VMS Ventures Inc ($VMS)86.7x
Ur-Energy Inc ($URE)55.1x
Katanga Mining Ltd ($KAT)0.4x19.4x3.3x18.8x
HudBay Minerals Inc ($HBM)-2.8x-4.8x2.0x14.0x
Imperial Metals Corp ($III)-0.1x1.5x4.9x12.9x
 
Median (93 companies)-0.1x0.3x0.8x0.9x0.5x
Royal Gold Inc ($RGL)0.6x-0.4x-1.4x-1.7x-2.4x