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Niko Resources Ltd CAPEX dropped on 67.1% in 2015 and Revenue decreased on 6.4%

26.06.2015 • About Niko Resources Ltd ($NKO) • By InTwits

Niko Resources Ltd reported FY2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Niko Resources Ltd is a company in decline: FY2015 revenue growth was -6.4%, 5 years revenue CAGR was -16.0%
  • The company operates at negative EBITDA Margin: -228.0%
  • Niko Resources Ltd spends a lot for Stock Based Compensation (SBC): average SBC/Revenue for FY2011-FY2015 is 0.0%. Average EBITDA Margin for the same period was -73.6%0
  • Niko Resources Ltd has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 65.2%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 87.8%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 50.6 in FY2015, 154 in FY2014, 204 in FY2013, 188 in FY2012, 18.4 in FY2011
  • The company has unprofitable business model: ROIC is at -112.1%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Niko Resources Ltd ($NKO) key annual financial indicators

mln. $201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue403.9321.3199.4129.4121.1-6.4%
Gross Profit256.2136.517.3-22.2-11.9-46.2%
SG&A10.88.86.99.59.93.7%
EBITDA213.3-128.83.9-677.0-276.1-59.2%
Net Income69.9-322.6-216.5-657.0-672.92.4%
Balance Sheet
Cash108.364.556.482.559.6-27.7%
Short Term Debt4.8310.96.127.7390.81,309.8%
Long Term Debt357.743.7206.8347.122.6-93.5%
Cash flow
Capex18.4188.0203.8153.850.6-67.1%
Ratios
Revenue growth39.5%-20.4%-38.0%-35.1%-6.4%
EBITDA growth-6.2%-160.4%-103.0%-17,601.6%-59.2%
Gross Margin63.4%42.5%8.7%-17.1%-9.9%7.3%
EBITDA Margin52.8%-40.1%1.9%-523.1%-228.0%295.1%
Net Income Margin17.3%-100.4%-108.6%-507.7%-555.7%-48.0%
SG&A, % of revenue2.7%2.7%3.5%7.4%8.2%0.8%
CAPEX, % of revenue4.6%58.5%102.2%118.9%41.8%-77.1%
ROIC5.3%-17.6%-10.6%-81.7%-112.1%-30.4%
ROE5.6%-31.0%-24.4%-115.3%115.3%
Net Debt/EBITDA1.2x40.5x0.0x

Revenue and profitability


Niko Resources Ltd's Revenue decreased on 6.4% in FY2015. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin surged on 295 pp from -523% to -228% in FY2015.

Gross Margin increased on 7.3 pp from -17.1% to -9.9% in FY2015. SG&A as a % of Revenue increased slightly on 0.80 pp from 7.4% to 8.2% in FY2015.

Net Income marign dropped on 48.0 pp from -508% to -556% in FY2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


The company's CAPEX/Revenue was 41.8% in FY2015. Niko Resources Ltd showed big decline in CAPEX/Revenue of 16.7 pp from 58.5% in FY2012 to 41.8% in FY2015. It's average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 87.6%.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is -1.9x Net Debt / EBITDA and Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA didn't change in FY2015. Debt jumped on 10.3% in FY2015 while cash dropped on 27.7% in FY2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Energy


Below you can find Niko Resources Ltd benchmarking vs. other companies in Energy industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Petro Rio SA ($PRJ)-36.3%-32.1%-34.9%10,977.1%
ONEnergy Inc ($OEG)6,002.6%
Sterling Resources Ltd ($SLG)-94.8%4,514.9%2,244.4%
Ikkuma Resources Corp ($IKM)22.5%17.0%-4.5%1,231.1%
Spartan Energy Corp ($SPE)-8.2%16.6%29.9%923.7%
 
Median (160 companies)37.8%10.4%17.1%18.5%-21.9%
Niko Resources Ltd ($NKO)-20.4%-38.0%-35.1%-6.4%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
TransAlta Renewables Inc ($RNW)94.4%94.5%
Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd ($AAV)70.5%62.0%84.5%92.5%
Freehold Royalties Ltd ($FRU)91.7%90.4%89.0%90.2%
MEG Energy Corp ($MEG)85.5%86.8%87.4%87.6%
NXT Energy Solutions Inc ($SFD)-43.2%65.6%36.0%87.3%
 
Median (140 companies)33.3%29.3%31.6%30.3%64.4%
Niko Resources Ltd ($NKO)63.4%42.5%8.7%-17.1%-9.9%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Seven Generations Energy Ltd ($VII)56.9%54.0%106.0%
Tourmaline Oil Corp ($TOU)67.4%67.9%80.0%97.6%
Bonavista Energy Corp ($BNP)63.8%64.6%62.6%91.6%
Bellatrix Exploration Ltd ($BXE)42.7%58.6%83.6%89.6%
Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd ($AAV)-4.0%5.2%66.1%87.8%
 
Median (159 companies)24.7%25.7%31.1%29.6%-23.0%
Niko Resources Ltd ($NKO)52.8%-40.1%1.9%-523.1%-228.0%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Oryx Petroleum Corp Ltd ($OXC)1,997.8%
Petroshale Inc ($PSH)30.6%346.6%865.9%
Toro Oil & Gas Ltd ($TOO)192.4%139.0%39.2%808.7%
Athabasca Oil Corp ($ATH)176.2%2,426.4%596.6%504.7%
BNK Petroleum Inc ($BKX)139.2%195.8%789.1%316.6%
 
Median (162 companies)43.3%47.3%39.1%47.1%49.6%
Niko Resources Ltd ($NKO)4.6%58.5%102.2%118.9%41.8%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Pason Systems Inc ($PSI)33.5%30.0%29.7%41.0%
Sea Dragon Energy Inc ($SDX)-10.1%8.1%21.8%32.9%
Raging River Exploration Inc ($RRX)29.1%
High Arctic Energy Services Inc ($HWO)27.0%31.4%26.3%24.9%
Rooster Energy Ltd ($COQ)22.9%
 
Median (165 companies)4.4%3.5%4.6%5.1%-16.9%
Niko Resources Ltd ($NKO)5.3%-17.6%-10.6%-81.7%-112.1%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Veresen Inc ($VSN)22.3x16.2x14.7x30.3x
Lightstream Resources Ltd ($LTS)2.0x27.8x
Petroshale Inc ($PSH)0.1x21.7x
Connacher Oil and Gas Ltd ($CLC)9.7x16.7x8.8x17.1x
Pengrowth Energy Corp ($PGF)1.5x2.9x2.1x16.8x
 
Median (137 companies)1.2x1.5x1.5x1.4x16.6x