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CNOOC Ltd Net Income dropped on 66.4% in 2015 while EBITDA Margin increased on 2.3 pp from 50.7% to 53.0%

24.03.2016 • About CNOOC Ltd ($CNU) • By InTwits

CNOOC Ltd reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • CNOOC Ltd has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 30.4%.
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is at 3.2%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

CNOOC Ltd ($CNU) key annual financial indicators

mln. CNY201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue240,944247,627285,857274,634171,437-37.6%
SG&A2,8543,3777,8596,6135,705-13.7%
EBITDA121,128120,044134,959139,20190,895-34.7%
Net Income70,25563,69156,46160,19920,246-66.4%
Balance Sheet
Cash23,67855,02414,31814,91811,867-20.5%
Short Term Debt19,91928,83049,84131,18033,5857.7%
Long Term Debt18,07629,05682,011105,383131,06024.4%
Cash flow
Capex52,65262,89886,71795,67367,674-29.3%
Ratios
Revenue growth33.8%2.8%15.4%-3.9%-37.6%
EBITDA growth23.7%-0.9%12.4%3.1%-34.7%
EBITDA Margin50.3%48.5%47.2%50.7%53.0%2.3%
Net Income Margin29.2%25.7%19.8%21.9%11.8%-10.1%
SG&A, % of revenue1.2%1.4%2.7%2.4%3.3%0.9%
CAPEX, % of revenue21.9%25.4%30.3%34.8%39.5%4.6%
ROIC32.4%25.7%18.1%15.8%3.2%-12.5%
ROE29.4%22.2%17.3%16.7%5.3%-11.4%
Net Debt/EBITDA0.1x0.0x0.9x0.9x1.7x0.8x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue dropped on 37.6% in 2015. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin increased on 2.3 pp from 50.7% to 53.0% in 2015.

SG&A as a % of Revenue increased slightly on 0.92 pp from 2.4% to 3.3% in 2015.

Net Income marign dropped on 10.1 pp from 21.9% to 11.8% in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


CNOOC Ltd's CAPEX/Revenue was 39.5% in 2015. CAPEX/Revenue surged on 14.1 pp from 25.4% in 2012 to 39.5% in 2015. It's average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 34.9%.Battling declining revenue CNOOC Ltd invested a large share of EBITDA (74.5%) to CAPEX but that didn't help at least in this year.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (3.23%) and ROE (5.29%). ROIC dropped on 12.5 pp from 15.8% to 3.2% in 2015. ROE dropped on 11.4 pp from 16.7% to 5.3% in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is 1.7x and Debt / EBITDA is 1.8x. Net Debt / EBITDA surged on 0.8x from 0.9x to 1.7x in 2015. Debt surged on 20.6% in 2015 while cash dropped on 20.5% in 2015.

Management team


The company's CEO is Yang Hua. Yang Hua has 8 years tenure at the company. The company's CFO is Zhong Hua. Zhong Hua has 8 years tenure at the company.

Appendix 1: Peers in Energy


Below you can find CNOOC Ltd benchmarking vs. other companies in Energy industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Petro Rio SA ($PRJ)-32.1%-34.9%10,977.1%-48.0%
ONEnergy Inc ($OEG)6,002.6%231.5%
Sterling Resources Ltd ($SLG)-94.8%4,514.9%2,244.4%
Ikkuma Resources Corp ($IKM)22.5%17.0%-4.5%1,231.1%
Spartan Energy Corp ($SPE)16.6%29.9%923.7%-3.7%
 
Median (162 companies)51.2%9.5%17.3%18.9%-27.3%
CNOOC Ltd ($CNU)2.8%15.4%-3.9%-37.6%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Americas Petrogas Inc ($BOE)77.1%43.3%-34.3%121.1%
TransAlta Renewables Inc ($RNW)94.4%94.5%94.5%
Serinus Energy Inc ($SEN)80.4%80.5%76.5%86.8%88.5%
Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd ($AAV)70.5%62.0%84.5%92.5%88.5%
Polaris Infrastructure Inc ($PIF)58.4%39.9%33.6%32.0%86.7%
 
Median (114 companies)34.2%29.3%31.6%29.6%35.2%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Seven Generations Energy Ltd ($VII)56.9%54.0%106.0%70.0%
Tourmaline Oil Corp ($TOU)67.4%67.9%80.0%97.6%70.1%
Bonavista Energy Corp ($BNP)63.8%64.6%62.6%91.6%54.5%
Bellatrix Exploration Ltd ($BXE)42.7%58.6%83.6%89.6%-115.8%
Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd ($AAV)-4.0%5.2%66.1%87.8%81.8%
 
Median (161 companies)25.5%24.6%31.1%29.6%7.2%
CNOOC Ltd ($CNU)50.3%48.5%47.2%50.7%53.0%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Oryx Petroleum Corp Ltd ($OXC)1,997.8%712.8%
Petroshale Inc ($PSH)30.6%346.6%865.9%
Toro Oil & Gas Ltd ($TOO)192.4%139.0%39.2%808.7%
Athabasca Oil Corp ($ATH)176.2%2,426.4%596.6%504.7%315.2%
BNK Petroleum Inc ($BKX)139.2%195.8%789.1%316.6%52.8%
 
Median (164 companies)43.3%51.1%39.2%48.9%31.6%
CNOOC Ltd ($CNU)21.9%25.4%30.3%34.8%39.5%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Pason Systems Inc ($PSI)33.5%30.0%29.7%41.0%6.0%
Sea Dragon Energy Inc ($SDX)-10.1%8.1%21.8%32.9%
Raging River Exploration Inc ($RRX)29.1%6.2%
High Arctic Energy Services Inc ($HWO)27.0%31.4%26.3%24.9%24.2%
Rooster Energy Ltd ($COQ)22.9%
 
Median (167 companies)4.4%3.0%4.5%5.1%-8.4%
CNOOC Ltd ($CNU)32.4%25.7%18.1%15.8%3.2%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Veresen Inc ($VSN)22.3x16.2x14.7x30.3x7.4x
Lightstream Resources Ltd ($LTS)2.0x27.8x
Petroshale Inc ($PSH)0.1x21.7x
Connacher Oil and Gas Ltd ($CLC)9.7x16.7x8.8x17.1x
Pengrowth Energy Corp ($PGF)1.5x2.9x2.1x16.8x
 
Median (138 companies)1.2x1.6x1.5x1.4x2.8x
CNOOC Ltd ($CNU)0.1x0.0x0.9x0.9x1.7x